I mean it is impossible to determine when a trend starts and even more difficult when it ends.
take an extreme example of the Fed.
if the Fed decides to raise rates by 1% they know that this decision will have a huge impact and that the EURUSD will decline sharply, but even the Fed will be unable to predict or will be completed this fall (thus the end of the trend in court)
the beginning of a trend is not random, it is simply unpredictable and end of a trend even more.
if we can determine the start of a trend and its end, so we are billionaire because it means we know the course ahead.
we just have a probability that the trend continues we believe this is all :-)
take an extreme example of the Fed.
if the Fed decides to raise rates by 1% they know that this decision will have a huge impact and that the EURUSD will decline sharply, but even the Fed will be unable to predict or will be completed this fall (thus the end of the trend in court)
the beginning of a trend is not random, it is simply unpredictable and end of a trend even more.
if we can determine the start of a trend and its end, so we are billionaire because it means we know the course ahead.
we just have a probability that the trend continues we believe this is all :-)