At initial inspection, I thought your Excel program was right on, nice work! (as I look at it at this moment).
After coffee, I tweaked the program and ran some numbers for you to compare as you asked.
Same rules, but different win %, this is what I came up with:
winning trade % ...........chance to hit -10 units in 30 trades at RRR 1:1
50% .......... ................4.18%
40% .......... ................25%
30% .......... ................64%
I hope that helps... fun stuff guys, thanks for the thoughts and contributions.
After coffee, I tweaked the program and ran some numbers for you to compare as you asked.
Same rules, but different win %, this is what I came up with:
winning trade % ...........chance to hit -10 units in 30 trades at RRR 1:1
50% .......... ................4.18%
40% .......... ................25%
30% .......... ................64%
I hope that helps... fun stuff guys, thanks for the thoughts and contributions.