Disliked{quote} Its difficult to time but I see it trending down for the rest of the month. If a poor PPI number prints today then yields and USD/JPY will both fall so it may hit our target sooner.Ignored
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USD/JPY Discussion 7 replies
NZD/JPY Discussion 12 replies
long eur/jpy, gbp/jpy, usd/jpy 11 replies
EUR/USD Bollinger Band Discussion 3 replies
Suidster's GBP/JPY Discussion 19 replies
Disliked{quote} Its difficult to time but I see it trending down for the rest of the month. If a poor PPI number prints today then yields and USD/JPY will both fall so it may hit our target sooner.Ignored
Disliked{quote} Bond prices are RISING which means yields are falling. Surely you knew that?Ignored
Disliked{quote} And what does demand do in the bond market? Drops price, right? So if bond prices are dropping and the US is giving away free money to allow the US stock market go up and your a foreign investor in Japan who lives in a stagnate/ deflationary economy, where you going to put your money?Ignored
Disliked{quote} Which bond prices are rising? Can you show me on the chart you’re looking at? {image}Ignored
Dislikedno fancy charts, just common logic. We seen one of the highest demands for 10 year treasury bonds yesterday. This will drive yields down for certain. As yields have a high correlation with usd/jpy we have a great opportunity to short. Short usd/jpy to 108.70Ignored
Disliked{quote} I was Short, and get in another when bar have Cross {image}Ignored
DislikedAn intresting bit of recent. history. The last time there was such a huge demand for bonds was in March 2020. I should say ALMOST, as Thursday's auction was the highest, in history. Now to clear up any confusion: Bonds go up and the bond yield goes down. They have a 100% inverse correlation . The yield is highly correlated to USD/JPY. In March 2020 USD/JPY fell to 101.20 as yields nosedived. The bond market is rarely, if ever wrong and Im not saying USD/JPY will fall that far, but it will fall hard. Consult your fancy charts and trade accordingly...Ignored
Disliked{quote} nothing to do with bonds, but the possibility of operation Afghan Storm 2.0 after president of Afghan fled e country on sunday. impulse move IMOIgnored
DislikedAn intresting bit of recent. history. The last time there was such a huge demand for bonds was in March 2020. I should say ALMOST, as Thursday's auction was the highest, in history. Now to clear up any confusion: Bonds go up and the bond yield goes down. They have a 100% inverse correlation . The yield is highly correlated to USD/JPY. In March 2020 USD/JPY fell to 101.20 as yields nosedived. The bond market is rarely, if ever wrong and Im not saying USD/JPY will fall that far, but it will fall hard. Consult your fancy charts and trade accordingly...Ignored
Disliked{quote} What frightens me is that you have subscribers who may be influenced by you. That is the most ridiculous answer I have ever heardIgnored
Disliked{quote} The easiest way to put it that most people understand is that if people are fleeing to safe haven investments they are purchasing bonds causing yields to go down. There's "demand" for bonds. That's what qe is and how the fed keeps rates low. They're purchasing bonds.Ignored
Disliked{quote} 1) "people are fleeing to safe haven investments they are purchasing bonds" - not true. explainer: most bonds are purchased by Asset Managers (AMs) that are sitting on a ton of cash. instead of letting the cash sit idle in the bank they purchase bonds to earn the meager yield till they know what to do with it. judging off indexes, which are all at all time highs, many AMs are not willing to get into it now(akin to buying the top). hence they are sitting on tons of cash and turn to bonds. what i'm saying: the next time indexes sell off. yields...Ignored
Disliked{quote} The only thing I said is it's traditionally seen as a safe haven. Common sense tells you that am's are buying the dips, but that's because there's really nowhere else to put your money with yields as low as they are. Everyone already knows this. It's not some big secret. You're looking way to deep into a simple comment.Ignored