After using random numbers to generate charts, I was astonished at how similar it looked to forex. Has anyone done some testing on this?
When you see it, BET big.
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DislikedHi, That's interesting and bold conclusions. To create such a graph, a random number algorithm with a given limit and conditions is used. But you forget that in the real chart there is the influence of fundamental news that happens with a certain probability, which depends on other circumstances that happen with a certain probability, ect. In the real forex market, there are only facts and a statement of facts. Assumptions and probability calculations. Thank you for sharing such interesting material.Ignored
DislikedThe journey is long and challenging! I recognise your revelation from things I've considered. Keep going! {image} {image}Ignored
DislikedJust look at the two images attached below. Looks exactly like the real charts. {image} {image}Ignored
Disliked{quote} The only thing you have proven here is that even a random walk generates movement. Random walk still generates a trend. Random walk still moves away from any reference line (eg. a moving average). https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...3#post10342703 Now, if random walk generates trends, the conclusion is that these trends also DO exist in forex.Ignored
DislikedYou should probably quit now. It seems you have already decided, so it's over. Good Luck. As for my take on trading, I only make money on vertical movement, so I use a sample size that is large enough to show me when it occurs. In line with that, I also discovered a long time ago that my losses were mainly in consolidation zones, so I also used sample sizes to devise a way to project when the market was in consolidation. That technique helps me to focus on discovering the sweet spots, where price moves vertically. If you seriously think trading...Ignored
DislikedAfter using random numbers to generate charts, I was astonished at how similar it looked to forex. Has anyone done some testing on this?Ignored
DislikedYou should probably quit now. It seems you have already decided, so it's over. Good Luck. As for my take on trading, I only make money on vertical movement, so I use a sample size that is large enough to show me when it occurs. In line with that, I also discovered a long time ago that my losses were mainly in consolidation zones, so I also used sample sizes to devise a way to project when the market was in consolidation. That technique helps me to focus on discovering the sweet spots, where price moves vertically. If you seriously think trading...Ignored
Disliked{quote} Yeah price is influenced by the news. But the news is unpredictable. I don't believe the market is 100% random, but the random charts made me understand how close to random it is. Quite close, I was soo surprised. I think it will be extraordinarily hard, if possible to extract an edge out of forex.Ignored
DislikedYou should probably quit now. It seems you have already decided, so it's over. Good Luck. That was the beginning of understanding sweet spots. So, if you want to go down this rabbit hole, I would say you have left the reservation and you should formally quit Forex. Choices, choices.Ignored
DislikedHowever, after about 3 weeks of contemplation, I realized my tests were skewed because they covered a 24-hour clock. Once I targeted the hours when a currency of the pair had open banks and open government, the consistency improved greatly. That was the beginning of understanding sweet spots. So, if you want to go down this rabbit hole, I would say you have left the reservation and you should formally quit Forex. Choices, choices.Ignored
Disliked{quote} Nicely explained................without giving too much away. {image}Ignored