Dislikedjamjamjam
"The key is to be rigorous about defining probabilities, not just using intuition.
I know there are others who only rely on pure intuition, but for me personally, most of the time, the only type of rational intuition that has worked reliably is backwards. Therefore I prefer to use probabilities and rigorous empirical tests based on historical behavior to make inferences about the future. "
Interesting concept, can you give some examples.
Ignored
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=253224
#7
The most difficult and time consuming process for me is to generate the actual hypothesis (through intuition or other means) to test itself.
There are a million roads to ruin or profit, most lead to ruin. The trick is to find the other ones (and it ain't easy, no matter what anyone tells you). The time consuming part is sifting through the paths to find a small nugget of edge every now and then (and having a parachute handy in case you should happen upon a sinkhole).