Below is a graph of trades for the EURUSD over the past 8 years. One trade per day, based on the direction of an MA cross. (Remember, all the "experts" say trading dailys is "easier" )

What is the point?

The first half of the graph shows modest profit over the first 900+ trades.... the remaining 2/3 you would have lost your A$$.

HAHA all you forex statisticians out there.... explain WHY the algorithm failed even though the huge population of the first few years leads you to conclude (statistically) that this is a profitable/breakeven strategy.

WHAT IS THE BIG PICTURE OF THIS THREAD?????

It doesn't matter how many trades you try to base your kelly criteria for your setups on.... the market WILL CHANGE so you can't really conclude anything.

What is the point?

The first half of the graph shows modest profit over the first 900+ trades.... the remaining 2/3 you would have lost your A$$.

HAHA all you forex statisticians out there.... explain WHY the algorithm failed even though the huge population of the first few years leads you to conclude (statistically) that this is a profitable/breakeven strategy.

WHAT IS THE BIG PICTURE OF THIS THREAD?????

It doesn't matter how many trades you try to base your kelly criteria for your setups on.... the market WILL CHANGE so you can't really conclude anything.