Wednesday
11:30
01/20/16
GB salaries with bonuses
(GB Avg Earnings - incl bonus), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 35.00 points in the first minute after the release.
34% probability trades.
Following the recent Bank of England protocols did not reduce inflation expectations, but judging by the performance of Mark Carney (later and after) the Bank is serious about the index (Brent below $ 30 hard to miss).
The Central Bank needs more trumps for further action, and the CPI at 0.2% and the weak growth in wages that did not accompany.
Markets and did not include in their estimates of the likely increase in interest rates this year.
A key factor in the release of the British labor market, respectively speaks dynamics of wage growth, and according to statistics of historical reactions quotes, interest lies precisely in the UK Avg Earnings - incl bonus (focus here is the highest) - just him and acknowledge.
Nevertheless, McCafferty is the only member of the MPC, who voted for a rate hike - it will be a thriller for the next meetings of the Regulator.
Please note that the British labor market indicator is not included in the results and it is not recommended to be traded because of the conflict.
Wednesday
15:30
01/20/16
The core US consumer price index
(US Core CPI), the United States, USDJPY
Average reaction when the trigger 35.00 points in the first minute after the release.
10% probability trades.
In the press to "declare" Ben Bernanke and his key idea was that all positive for the US, we have seen and are unlikely to see something extra in 2016. States was the engine of 2015, in December, for the first time in a decade the Fed to raise interest rates.
If at the beginning of the year the markets were counting on four iterations of raising interest rates, now fluctuates within a range of 3-4 with a touch of the lower threshold. For example, we are talking about that Williams, who in the beginning of January was 4, and now in his speech appeared slovooborot 3-4, depending on the incoming statistics.
Headache the US economy remains a global reduction in inflationary pressures, and of course China. At some point the end of 2015. China has been excluded from the references of minutes of meetings of the Fed, but it seems that it's high time he firmly rooted per minute FOMC.
Next week will be followed by the publication of the provisional statistics of the quarterly GDP growth and inflation is satisfied with the data. The most interesting for the dollar remains the first meeting of the FOMC, which will follow next week as January 27.
The Consumer Price Index is not a panacea (the Fed uses the PCE indicator for monitoring inflation), perhaps we can not recommend midget rejection, but they can "have the place to be", but not guaranteed
Wednesday
17:00
01/20/16
CA overnight rate BC
(CA Overnight Rate), Canada, USDCAD
Average reaction when the trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
50% probability trades.
The rate may be reduced to 0.25%. At the moment, there is already "raid" the differences official forecasts, some sources do not imply lower interest rates from the current 0.5%, other guess its 0.25% reduction. In any case, all the reasons for this is.
Tabor notes for reducing catastrophically low oil prices, camp for safety rates notes premature action by the Bank of Canada still have time.
It is necessary to further monitor the forecast until the publication of the results of the Bank of Canada. The situation may change, and its position is precarious and only plays into our hands.
At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Crude Oil Inventories.
Check expected number a couple of minutes before the publication .
I don't have statistics at the moment.
Good luck everybody!
11:30
01/20/16
GB salaries with bonuses
(GB Avg Earnings - incl bonus), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when the trigger 35.00 points in the first minute after the release.
34% probability trades.
Following the recent Bank of England protocols did not reduce inflation expectations, but judging by the performance of Mark Carney (later and after) the Bank is serious about the index (Brent below $ 30 hard to miss).
The Central Bank needs more trumps for further action, and the CPI at 0.2% and the weak growth in wages that did not accompany.
Markets and did not include in their estimates of the likely increase in interest rates this year.
A key factor in the release of the British labor market, respectively speaks dynamics of wage growth, and according to statistics of historical reactions quotes, interest lies precisely in the UK Avg Earnings - incl bonus (focus here is the highest) - just him and acknowledge.
Nevertheless, McCafferty is the only member of the MPC, who voted for a rate hike - it will be a thriller for the next meetings of the Regulator.
Please note that the British labor market indicator is not included in the results and it is not recommended to be traded because of the conflict.
Wednesday
15:30
01/20/16
The core US consumer price index
(US Core CPI), the United States, USDJPY
Average reaction when the trigger 35.00 points in the first minute after the release.
10% probability trades.
In the press to "declare" Ben Bernanke and his key idea was that all positive for the US, we have seen and are unlikely to see something extra in 2016. States was the engine of 2015, in December, for the first time in a decade the Fed to raise interest rates.
If at the beginning of the year the markets were counting on four iterations of raising interest rates, now fluctuates within a range of 3-4 with a touch of the lower threshold. For example, we are talking about that Williams, who in the beginning of January was 4, and now in his speech appeared slovooborot 3-4, depending on the incoming statistics.
Headache the US economy remains a global reduction in inflationary pressures, and of course China. At some point the end of 2015. China has been excluded from the references of minutes of meetings of the Fed, but it seems that it's high time he firmly rooted per minute FOMC.
Next week will be followed by the publication of the provisional statistics of the quarterly GDP growth and inflation is satisfied with the data. The most interesting for the dollar remains the first meeting of the FOMC, which will follow next week as January 27.
The Consumer Price Index is not a panacea (the Fed uses the PCE indicator for monitoring inflation), perhaps we can not recommend midget rejection, but they can "have the place to be", but not guaranteed
Wednesday
17:00
01/20/16
CA overnight rate BC
(CA Overnight Rate), Canada, USDCAD
Average reaction when the trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
50% probability trades.
The rate may be reduced to 0.25%. At the moment, there is already "raid" the differences official forecasts, some sources do not imply lower interest rates from the current 0.5%, other guess its 0.25% reduction. In any case, all the reasons for this is.
Tabor notes for reducing catastrophically low oil prices, camp for safety rates notes premature action by the Bank of Canada still have time.
It is necessary to further monitor the forecast until the publication of the results of the Bank of Canada. The situation may change, and its position is precarious and only plays into our hands.
At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Crude Oil Inventories.
Check expected number a couple of minutes before the publication .
I don't have statistics at the moment.
Good luck everybody!
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...