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Aussie Trading Room and Cartoons Gallery

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  • Post# 21,361
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  • Dec 22, 2012 3:18am | Edited at 4:19am
  • Tim_isoara ● Online
    Joined May 2009 | 931 Posts | Status: trader
Quoting Mr. Scott
Tim, I agree with your excellent analysis and also long here at 1.04 level looking for retrace.

But shouldn't your green 4 be A?

Although I agree with your result, I am not sure I understand your process.

Is EWP. 3 green is a five wave move. 4 green should bee three wave move (abc=4)
  • Post# 21,362
  • Quote
  • Dec 22, 2012 4:49am
  • IberoForex
    Joined Jul 2012 | 560 Posts | Status: Member
The talks about the fiscal cliff, I think the SP500 can show that no one believes can happen!

However I'm looking for new high!
Attached Images (click to enlarge)
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Size: 158 KB Click to Enlarge

Name: SP5009weeks.jpg
Size: 128 KB
  • Post# 21,363
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  • Dec 22, 2012 9:41am
  • forexalien ● Online
    Joined Nov 2012 | 4,434 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting DaddyBear
alien, I like this message. If there is a progress in the cliff talk this weekend, the Aussie will be back to the stage in no time. Although it will be a short holiday week, the cliff will make the market very volatile.
Thank You DB......I am always trying to find new ways to Paint a Picture Story so the world players can understand it easier.....
  • Post# 21,364
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  • Dec 22, 2012 9:52am
  • DaddyBear
    Joined Jan 2011 | 14,761 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting HelloOz
is your 1.06 still on the card?
once fiscal cliff issue is resolved, USD will be bullish.
we could have a relief rally for emerging markets, risk currency but i dont know if we will see 1.05 again.
1.06 is still in the cards. If the cliff talk moves ahead, the Aussie shall move up IMO.
  • Post# 21,365
  • Quote
  • Dec 22, 2012 9:58am
  • DaddyBear
    Joined Jan 2011 | 14,761 Posts | Status: Member
This is the weekly chart as of 12/21/12. The green cloud held up the Aussie on Friday. The yellow DTL is the upper trend line of the popular ABCDE triangle, which is incorrect. This DTL was broken two weeks ago.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • Post# 21,366
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  • Dec 22, 2012 10:06am
  • DaddyBear
    Joined Jan 2011 | 14,761 Posts | Status: Member
I believe Friday's drop was related to 12/21/12, the end of the world story. The cliff was only the smoke.
  • Post# 21,367
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  • Dec 22, 2012 10:16am
  • DaddyBear
    Joined Jan 2011 | 14,761 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting DaddyBear
This is the weekly chart as of 12/21/12. The green cloud held up the Aussie on Friday. The yellow DTL is the upper trend line of the popular ABCDE triangle, which is incorrect. This DTL was broken two weeks ago.
This is the daily chart as of 12/21/12 with my projection of INDI X. The monthly pivot is holding up the Aussie.
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  • Post# 21,368
  • Quote
  • Dec 22, 2012 10:21am
  • DaddyBear
    Joined Jan 2011 | 14,761 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting DaddyBear
This is the daily chart as of 12/21/12 with my projection of INDI X. The monthly pivot is holding up the Aussie.
I use the "lunar phase" to look into the Aussie's moves. When the Moon reaches its Full Moon status, it has to move to First Quarter Moon and vice versa. No if or but.



NASA
  • Post# 21,369
  • Quote
  • Dec 22, 2012 10:26am
  • DaddyBear
    Joined Jan 2011 | 14,761 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting DaddyBear
This is the weekly chart as of 12/21/12. The green cloud held up the Aussie on Friday. The yellow DTL is the upper trend line of the popular ABCDE triangle, which is incorrect. This DTL was broken two weeks ago.
The rationale behind my belief of a test of the upper cyan trend line is simply because the finale has not occurred so far.


  • Post# 21,370
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  • Dec 22, 2012 10:30am
  • DaddyBear
    Joined Jan 2011 | 14,761 Posts | Status: Member
I see last week's red candle a setback from the test of the yellow TL not a onset of a down move as some people suggested in this forum. From this point forward, a new steeper channel will be established. IMO


  • Post# 21,371
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  • Dec 22, 2012 10:41am
  • trendpal
    Joined May 2012 | 32 Posts | Status: Member
It looks like the Aussie is rebouding here with the test of the up trendline and 100 SMA both around 1.040.
  • Post# 21,372
  • Quote
  • Dec 22, 2012 10:43am
  • DaddyBear
    Joined Jan 2011 | 14,761 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting trendpal
It looks like the Aussie is rebouding here with the test of the up trendline and 100 SMA both around 1.040.
Welcome trendpal. Could you post your chart? -DB-
  • Post# 21,373
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  • Dec 22, 2012 11:02am
  • Tim_isoara ● Online
    Joined May 2009 | 931 Posts | Status: trader
Inserted Video

For all aliens
  • Post# 21,374
  • Quote
  • Dec 22, 2012 11:04am
  • trendpal
    Joined May 2012 | 32 Posts | Status: Member
Here it is. This is daily chart. It's quite amazing how the 100 SMA was held since the uptrend started back in June.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Quoting DaddyBear
Welcome trendpal. Could you post your chart? -DB-
  • Post# 21,375
  • Quote
  • Dec 22, 2012 11:09am
  • maximmm
    Joined Jul 2011 | 1,311 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting DaddyBear
This is the weekly chart as of 12/21/12. The green cloud held up the Aussie on Friday. The yellow DTL is the upper trend line of the popular ABCDE triangle, which is incorrect. This DTL was broken two weeks ago.
Nope - even with major fiscal cliff progress, aud will not reach 1.06 - not until 1.015 is tested
  • Post# 21,376
  • Quote
  • Dec 22, 2012 12:05pm
  • mry2001
    Joined Jul 2006 | 323 Posts | Status: Member
I agree with u . AUD will drop down to parity or lower.

GU also appears to be topped out.
  • Post# 21,377
  • Quote
  • Dec 22, 2012 12:46pm
  • Tim_isoara ● Online
    Joined May 2009 | 931 Posts | Status: trader
Quoting mry2001
I agree with u . AUD will drop down to parity or lower.

GU also appears to be topped out.
When will drop? Put chart please.
  • Post# 21,378
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  • Dec 22, 2012 1:02pm | Edited at 1:18pm
  • Luis Carlos
    Joined Jun 2009 | 4,947 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting Tim_isoara
Retracement for 4 green.Than down to end 5 green
Hi Tim. You are progressing very well. But I will bug you a little.. What happen if that green 1 2 you have is a b

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...97#post6291397
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • Post# 21,379
  • Quote
  • Dec 22, 2012 1:33pm
  • Tim_isoara ● Online
    Joined May 2009 | 931 Posts | Status: trader
Quoting Luis Carlos
Hi Tim. You are progressing very well. But I will bug you a little.. What happen if that green 1 2 you have is a b

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...97#post6291397
Hi Luis, than my 3 green is c. Thank you for...bug me a little...
  • Post# 21,380
  • Quote
  • Dec 22, 2012 1:52pm
  • Mr. Scott
    Joined Dec 2012 | 1,169 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting Tim_isoara
Is EWP. 3 green is a five wave move. 4 green should bee three wave move (abc=4)
Thank you for clarification.

I was looking at it within EWP framework as well, and I agree with 1.046 as reasonable move and retrace.

Just trying to understand your process. Thanks for response.

GL. Nice setup and RR here.
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