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- t13ru commented Oct 31, 2013
[quote=Spreadbetter;7061770]Ive met some of the brightest and best quants in the City, some through work and others through Wilmott. We've all arrived at the same conclusion regarding the predictive 'nature' of the markets, it doesn't exist. It's ...
- t13ru commented Oct 31, 2013
Sorry but at first there are plenty of models doing just that they predict price movement ... whole econometry is just about that. Polynomial fit is just another Mathematical method to determine trends and therefrom next price movement ...
- t13ru commented Oct 31, 2013
Hey I am not a geek I hold MSc in Econometry not Computer science ... been working on MSc in Computer science though ... But I think I pointed out enough resources you might use just imagine what possibilities the programming languages combined with ...
- t13ru commented Oct 31, 2013
Well you can see for yourself try any program that allows you to make sophisticated analysis but I must warn you learning curve is steep if you lack math bacground. Try Wolframs Mathematica or its freeware alternatives like Cran R or Scipy or ...
- t13ru commented Oct 31, 2013
I can agree with you that regresional based stochastic modelling is by far more precise than traditional technicals however both methods are based on raw data interpretation and I am some times surprised how close the traditional methods are to my ...
- t13ru commented Oct 17, 2013
yea it almost looked like they were short on USD :-)
- t13ru commented Jul 29, 2012
Another "nice" fundamentals for EU ...
- t13ru commented Jul 24, 2012
Sure weak Euro is better for countries in debts ... they pay less on interrest and debservice such as restructurizing debt. As it looks it is needed and desirable even for Germany to keep Euro on downtrend if they cant devaluate they let it inflate ...
- t13ru commented Jul 18, 2012
I do not dispute methodics you developped, I would be interrested to learn more about it. And yes what else than research and exact science (I mean Economery) should be used for analytical purpose. If you would like to exchange observations and ...
- t13ru commented Jul 18, 2012
Curve fiting is good method I use it, but 3rd-order polynomial in general form solely without OLS linear regression or something similar how would be long-term trend found? Curve-fitting is great method I use it my self, but solely 3rd-order ...
- t13ru commented Jul 18, 2012
Expression of human traits has more to do with sociomeric mehods which of course are derived from statistics and because of fact that manual traders mostly do not change their methods so therefore math works. But its not the only reason HFT traders, ...
- t13ru commented Jul 9, 2012
But USD still on the rise ... cant see why
- t13ru commented Jul 6, 2012
These "games" are illegal in civilised countries and regulated markets...
- t13ru commented Jul 6, 2012
Hm another manipulation like QE3 in 2012 who pay those guys for such "news"?
- t13ru commented Jul 6, 2012
Hm dont think the are on drugs because firing vs hiring eployees has negative ratio ... check here at least its official report not QE3 bubble url besides FED defined really clearly when so called QE3 may happen ... 2015
- t13ru commented Jul 6, 2012
Hm and what did Merkel expected? Germany cant stand alone in Europe. I wonder how badly the Germany, France and UK will be hurt by consequences of not acting in time, when it would cost them less than these days. Well it does not matter market will ...
- t13ru commented Jul 6, 2012
Well I do not doubt bearish trend on EUR on all its pairs, but I expected something more let say exact of technical analysis ... even 5 year old child may draw picture like that in so called technical analysis ... where are calculations, where are ...
- t13ru commented Jul 6, 2012
ECB simply cant do more when ECB does not have mandate for it. Its not regular central bank. Even Spanish or Greek central bank has more under its discretion than ECB does.
- t13ru commented Jul 6, 2012
Its because even Germany knows that it wont hold its economic situation for long if it would not cooperate with others in EU... its that simple if European nations stands separated they would not hold where they are, they will be beaten down so only ...
- t13ru commented Jul 6, 2012
If US launch QE3 it will default on its humongous debt. Think of it, they cut governmen spendigs, job creation is almost stalling consumer spendigs fall ... I see no bullish perspective on USD when there is just talks on QE3? Besides if the rise of ...