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- AaronWard commented Sep 29, 2015
yeah. cut out the middle man. We create money, give it to banks and then borrow it back from them, hoping they will then distribute it to the society at large but in stead they put it in a big box and then take more money from the government. Simply ...
- AaronWard replied Sep 28, 2015
S&P also looks ready to blow. The next major resistance after186x is a long way down.
- AaronWard replied Sep 27, 2015
1. rational markets and EMH are more or less the same thing: url 2. a zero sum game and a EMF are competing theories to explain the same phenomenon, namely the average player will on average make less money trading than if they just bought into an ...
- AaronWard replied Sep 27, 2015
Sadly the only way to never lose money is not to play. I believe that one needs to change strategies with market conditions. Most strategies work under the correct market conditions. All strategies fail with the wrong market conditions.
- AaronWard replied Sep 27, 2015
Hi Red, Good to see you alive and well. My thoughts/questions 1. EMH is bogus. Markets are a function of crowd psychology and not some idealized "rational behavior". The reason why it is hard to beat the market is that when you remove the ...
- AaronWard commented Sep 27, 2015
That is why they are so concerned about inflation. With inflation, taxes will rise enough to offset the increased interest payments. Without inflation, increased interest rates will create a negative cycle of increased debt at higher interest.
- AaronWard replied Sep 26, 2015
This is a great topic. Ability to spot breakouts, fakeouts and reversals really is the holy grail of trading. I like fundamentals (big ticket items like CB changes in policy, not the constant noise of tweets and reports) and higher time frames and ...
- AaronWard commented Sep 26, 2015
My thoughts exactly. Also, to be fair to JY on Wednesday she said that the majority of her colleagues think a rate hike is appropriate
- AaronWard commented Sep 25, 2015
Good bye and good riddance
- AaronWard commented Sep 24, 2015
The never ending story. Yeah, we are happy to raise the rates... if we feel like it. And we will feel like it if the economy looks the way we want it. and no, these other things like China don't really matter...unless they do.
- AaronWard commented Sep 20, 2015
if stocks and oil pops and China disappears from the front page we will get our hike. If two out of the three then we will probably get a hike. If none of the three then no hike. And the presumes that all stays well with the US economy. So in other ...
- AaronWard commented Sep 17, 2015
Well you are consistent.
- AaronWard replied Sep 17, 2015
Ah... mystery solved. thanks
- AaronWard replied Sep 17, 2015
Yeah, Fool is a wilely trader I pay close attention to. I have frequently found myself on the wrong side a trade and him on the right side. What I am curious about is the little box under your name with a red square that reads "Euro rates". when I ...
- AaronWard replied Sep 17, 2015
It never fails to amaze me how you make these predictions and then are right far more often that not. I struggle with the simple question of UP v Down. I do have a question for you though. Based upon your recent posts you are Bullish on ...
- AaronWard replied Sep 17, 2015
You also have to remember that that is a million pounds, not a million dollars, so a UK millionaire is richer than a US millionaire, and thus somewhat more rare.
- AaronWard replied Sep 17, 2015
Yeah. Impossible to say for sure. Why would somebody reveal their bank account on the internet. And if they did, how could you ever verify their claims? Statistically speaking though there should be a few millionaire on this website. I got the 4% ...
- AaronWard commented Sep 17, 2015
Nah. If I could make that much I would wait a couple years more and then buy the world... Seriously, what you say has the ring of truth. I have made 10% in a day, but when all my wins and losses are averaged out it works out to just about .3%. I ...
- AaronWard replied Sep 17, 2015
Do you base your conclusion on anything? People with money are not less interested in money, they are more and as a general rule the people on this website are very interested in money. Further, forex is not only about investing, there is a large ...