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- rbfx replied Dec 19, 2016
Microsoft Excel. Data fetched from CFTC with VBA.
- rbfx replied Dec 11, 2016
I seem to be repeating myself. As of Tuesday (Dec 6th), COMEX speculators still held a sizeable net long position. image
- rbfx replied Nov 19, 2016
As of Tuesday COMEX speculators still held a sizeable net long position image
- rbfx replied Oct 16, 2016
COMEX speculators positioning relative to OI image Still super long. Expecting a continuation to $1200 within the next two weeks if real yields stay where they are or continue to drift upward.
- rbfx replied Sep 25, 2016
Bullish crude oil comments from Algerian oil minister earlier today image
- rbfx replied Sep 19, 2016
RBNZ will have an OCR meeting this week. The announcement will happen on Wednesday 22:00 BST. The bank is between a rock and a hard place. It has all but promised further cuts, but the real estate market is looking increasingly bubbly. The RBNZ TWI ...
- rbfx replied Sep 11, 2016
It is surprising to see that CTAs have such a modest net long position in NZD/USD after the recent uptrend. image
- rbfx replied Sep 5, 2016
Comedy hour: parliament discusses E-petition 131215 relating to EU referendum rules url
- rbfx replied Aug 30, 2016
Well, that's certainly not consensus. At the moment one full 25bp hike is not discounted in the FFR futures curve until June '17.
- rbfx replied Aug 30, 2016
Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer on the wire image
- rbfx replied Aug 28, 2016
COT charts for Cable traders. Positioning in CME GBP futures, primarily used by CTAs, has become even more bearish during a consolidation in price. If measured in number of contracts a new ATL has been reached. image image
- rbfx replied Mar 23, 2016
AUDNZD A massive inverse H&S is almost complete. Will there be a break-out? A basic OLS regression based on Citi ToT indices and the 2yr swap spread indicates that it's undervalued, even after the recent rally. Currently no positions. image image
- rbfx replied Oct 31, 2015
Halloween chart orgy Light sweet crude oil, daily (CLZ15) We heard from several international oil companies this week. Cost cutting and project postponement was a recurring theme, which probably helped cause the whiplash reversal. Back to range ...
- rbfx replied Oct 26, 2015
Hi Olu, The range is tight. I'm a bit surprised it has lasted this long.To me, it seems likely that a downward break-out will be the next step before settling into a wider one. I will be looking for signs of a reversal around $40 in CL_Z15, if it ...
- rbfx replied Oct 21, 2015
USD/SGD is at an interesting level. Leaning towards the bearish side myself but not planning to initiate any positions. image
- rbfx replied Oct 12, 2015
You can't, at least not easily. Foreign exchange is not a level playing field.
- rbfx replied Oct 11, 2015
NZD made a comeback last week along with other risky assets. Short-end yields are also bouncing and, more importantly, milk prices started recovering over a month ago. If COT data is a guide to general positioning then there's a good chance we'll ...
- rbfx replied Sep 24, 2015
I know what you mean. Being able to observe the market with 2+ monitors (with access to all the relevant instruments) will often give you a very different view of what it's up to.
- rbfx replied Sep 24, 2015
H&S formation of sorts in GBP/USD with neckline at 1.517. An upward break-out could occur simultaneously in EUR/GBP. Declining UK yields and continued market volatility are likely to be the triggers. image
- rbfx replied Sep 24, 2015
Both platinum and gold are receiving a solid bid today. With UST's rallying and volatility in EMs, gold is likely to outperform while platinum is also dragged higher. A relative value trade might be a better choice.