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- SammyD replied Jul 29, 2014
Half the story here is the strengthening USD, I'm not scrubbed up on GBP but I don't think they're looking at the same level of resurgence esp considering ongoing performance issues in mainland europe... I don't doubt there'll be a drop against the ...
- SammyD replied Jul 29, 2014
Yep... there goes 1.8% of our GDP... Good thing we have/had projected growth of 3.7% next year... Read the currencies page of interest dot co dot nz every day and you'll be up with the best. They also have a great NZ focused risk event calendar ...
- SammyD replied Jul 27, 2014
I'm thinking further drops this week for NZD Everything on Calendar either looks negative for NZD or positive for USD In NZ we've got milk payout update from Fonterra later in he week - will be down - the question is how far? US Fed meeting - ...
- SammyD replied Jul 24, 2014
Still assuming the dollar stays level that's only 3.5% return - once you knock off inflation (say a modest 2% - unless you live in the eurozone) that leaves you with 1.5% which isn't much of a profit. If you then take into account the possibility of ...
- SammyD replied Jul 21, 2014
While the RBNZ is raising interest rates direct intervention would indeed be expensive and a waste in time - basically paddling in circles with OCR paddling one way and intervention the other. This is one of the key reasons there hasn't been any ...
- SammyD replied Jul 21, 2014
Hi all, Interesting times for the NZD! Couple more articles here (Roger can get a bit ahead of himself but again the fundamentals are clear) url url I'm a Kiwi - couple of notes on why RBNZ is raising interest rates - much to home owner & ...
- SammyD replied Jul 13, 2014
Agreed regarding why NZD is so high right now. The past six months have largely been a one-way bet which combined with the size NZD USD interest rate differential have been perfect conditions for carry trade & accordingly significantly inflated the ...
- SammyD replied Jul 13, 2014
Certainly a when not if - question is how long can the carry trade persevere in the face of deteriorating fundamentals in NZ and upswing in the US? Whole milk prices have dropped by 30% this year (NZ's major export) which should cut $3 Billion from ...
- SammyD replied Jul 10, 2014
Looks like a little bit of risk-off care of our friends in Portugal, will be interesting to see if this holds and potentially takes off the peak here... I wonder if a bit of risk might up RBNZs chances of being able to clip a few retreating bulls in ...
- Posts by Member Search: 'SammyD'