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- 233 Results (228 Replies , 5 Comments )
- Simon73 replied Jan 9, 2014
A lot of people think this. At the Oanda the long/short ratio is 59/41% !!! I think this is a new record. The short positions was always between 15-25% If this shorts gets covering above 1,2400-1,2460 we could go easily and fast up, like in last ...
- Simon73 replied Dec 18, 2013
Are we heading to 1,2280?
- Simon73 replied Dec 12, 2013
Jordan just started to speak, and we dropped 6 points
- Simon73 replied Dec 12, 2013
My view: There are two elipsis in the chart. The first was in September. There was a big chance of tapering, and the market was USD long and CHF short. When FED did not taper, we could the CHF short positions liquidations for 15 days. It pushes the ...
- Simon73 replied Dec 5, 2013
Why we are trading EURCHF? Interesting read: url
- Simon73 replied Dec 5, 2013
Yes it is very interesting why uchf is so weak. Good ADP, GDP Claims from US and we are near0.9000. May be some year end factor too.
- Simon73 replied Dec 4, 2013
Today close is key. Below 1,2280 bearish targeting 1,2250 and 1,2220. Above 1,2280 daily reversal candle. Test again 1,2300-1,2330
- Simon73 replied Dec 3, 2013
we have reached two very strong support lines at 1,2275. It should be bounce from here. The range is only 75 pips!. When will it break out? If this bounce is not enough to break out 1,2350, we need to go lower for some fresh, strong buyers, who ...
- Simon73 replied Nov 28, 2013
Y/Y GDP previous: 2,5 expected: 1,7 Actual: 1,9 Q/Q previous: 0,5 expected: 0,4 Actual: 0,5 So the Q/Q GDP is stagnant, but the Y/Y is much worse then it was. (Yes a little bit better than expected) Not game changer data
- Simon73 replied Nov 25, 2013
5:30pm CHF SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks The World's Central Banks getting more and more agressive in the recent months (Currency war): FED: QE3 still working, Taper has delayed, and extrem low rate period extended. There are a lot of verbal ...
- Simon73 replied Nov 21, 2013
We have a clear trendline which is work as a cap for the upside move. Now it is about 1,2353. In the downside there are two trendlines and we have the 1,2280 strong level. The two trendlines now:1,2303 and 1,2270. And we have the old 200 DMA which ...
- Simon73 replied Nov 20, 2013
Yes it is true, but if we go lower more big boys will buying We have 3 known big risk events till Year End: dec NFP, dec SNB meeting and dec FMOC meeting. All 3 could effect this pair.
- Simon73 replied Nov 20, 2013
There are very strong supoorts and resistances at these levels. And you are may be right: the market seems tired to break any of these levels for this year. Year End is usually profit taking for the big guys: this could have donwside effect ...
- Simon73 replied Nov 18, 2013
If you want to find some reason to sell CHF and buy EUR/USD/GBP, here is one reason. Look the 10 year Goverment yields: Japan: 0,63 Swiss: 0,97 Germany: 1,7 Canada: 2,5 USA: 2,7 UK: 2,73 Spain: 4,03 Italy: 4,08 With the last year improvment in EU ...
- Simon73 replied Nov 15, 2013
5.th attempt to break out the big trend line. If it could break anytime, opens the way for 1,25-1,26 or 1,2750 Now the trendline resistance is 1,2362
- Simon73 replied Nov 7, 2013
looks like we dont wait for ECB decision. Slowly going higher. A lot of short position's stops not activated yet. I wonder what is the level, where shorts closing their positions. There will be a big jump, if we could activate these stops. target is ...
- Simon73 replied Nov 5, 2013
Just Oanda
- Simon73 replied Nov 5, 2013
One more interesting thing: The long/short ratio was above 90% after the SNB peg. Now it is 75%. So much more short positions now than in the past two years. It is ideal to go up ...
- Simon73 replied Nov 5, 2013
Fundamentally: There was a lot of risk events in the past months, but all had finished with happy end: - Syria, Italy, German Election, Taper/no Taper, USA shut down, USA debt ceiling etc EU economy has a lot of progress (PMIs, GDP, PIIGS CDS price) ...
- Simon73 replied Oct 31, 2013
It seems after today EU CPI, market is pricing ECB rate cut on next week. Jordan said on June meeting: SNB is ready to do more (negativ rates or lift up peg) if ECB use negativ rates. It seems EURCHF could not go up without an SNB action