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- HyperD replied Jun 9, 2021
Thanks FXEZ for the links.
- HyperD replied Jun 9, 2021
Hi Jairo, I can't find on web search Kelly formulas that include volatility, that's the main reason I'm sharing Peter Ponzo [RIP] algorithm, to compare both scenarios. Sometimes gk Kelly suggests more than 100% the X% [leverage greater than 1:1?]. ...
- HyperD replied Jun 6, 2021
Hi, I'm doing experiments on Kelly criterion trying to find something useful. On the attachment there is a modified version of an excel from author: Peter Ponzo [In memory of], aka Gummy. The example is applied to BTC-USD. [You could experiment with ...
- HyperD replied Jul 27, 2014
In any leverage situation we could easily ruin the account if we don't get a lucky consecutive win streak. We have the same possibilities (3.13%) for 5 consecutive wins than for 5 consecutive loses if chance is 50/50. This system is very risky but ...
- HyperD replied Jul 26, 2014
I think this random, high leverage & High DD method needs an EA for live trading. That way our nerves don't stop it in the remote scenario it could reach 1 million or more.
- HyperD replied Jul 25, 2014
Why 312 indicators? This can't be right.
- HyperD replied Jul 25, 2014
I don't think making a 20% per month could be considered a Holygrail system. I expect much more for a Holygrail.
- HyperD replied Jun 21, 2012
Hi stockmarcus, For the prediction only past data history is used, 1 minute frame, another examples: image image image Its rare but sometimes it could be possible to predict consecutive seconds with no error, in this example 11 seconds image
- HyperD replied Jun 21, 2012
Prediction is hard but possible, red is predicted vs blue actual values. In this experiment 4446 data were used to predict from 4447 to 4678. image image
- HyperD replied Oct 5, 2010
The problem is that there is an increase market of noobs/lazy people that want to pay for "learn to trade", obviously the gurus/mentor appeared charging "reasonably monthly fees" for the service, thehouse, Mentors don't need to know how to trade, ...
- HyperD replied Oct 4, 2010
I don't believe in mentors or gurus, 99.9% of them are scam artists.. Regards
- HyperD replied Sep 27, 2010
Hi esuffw, I disagree, there are many hidden patterns in Forex.. Regards
- HyperD replied Aug 3, 2010
I think Ill go down to 136.25 and then go up to 136.31 in the next minute
- HyperD replied Jul 6, 2010
I am reading with attention your trading system, but I don't agree with the rules.. I think every strategy its different and has its own rules.. Regards
- HyperD replied Jun 22, 2010
Hi sasavisnic67, The chart represent actual values (blue) vs predicted values (red), In a previous chart in page 1, you could see that the price was predicted 9 times in a row (both lines coincide), very hard to get 9 consecutive exact ticks if ...
- HyperD replied Jun 18, 2010
Hi fxsignal, Unfortunately there are many people in finance that don't believe in price prediction, they say each tick is a 50% chance (history doesn't matter), in other words impossible to predict.. In my intraday experiments price sometimes could ...
- HyperD replied Jun 16, 2010
I'm also doing price prediction experiments, The next image is an intraday successful prediction EURUSD, the red line represent predicted values and the blue line actual values, the prediction is based on past history data, in other words Price has ...
- HyperD replied Jun 16, 2010
Hi, I agree, price prediction is possible, and also a stop loss will help to minimize loses in case prediction goes wrong. Regards
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