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- syncopat replied Dec 5, 2012
also last night BIS sold EURUSD at 1.312's. I would imagine they see it going down.
- syncopat replied Dec 2, 2012
There are a couple of other considerations here. One, the RBA is collecting and holding foreign currencies because they will profit when the AUD does go down. So the RBA may be one of the big movers when they want to be. Of course us paeons do not ...
- syncopat replied Nov 20, 2012
By the way, the Greeks did not meet the conditions the Troika set, one of which was to legislate some of the changes the Troika set and they agreed to. This means to me they may not get money this week. If this becomes a media event, and Greek ...
- syncopat replied Nov 6, 2012
Problems problems problems — Everything would be OK if it weren't for the fact the Chinese reporting system does not equate to reality. Not only this but the Chinese have more problems they are not letting the world know about but it is not a ...
- syncopat replied Nov 5, 2012
Next — Well we still have the US election to consider and of course the G20 meetings, Euro summit, etc. The S&P defense of 1400, if broken, will have a negative effect on the AUD (my opinion only lol). So will the drop in gold prices but that ...
- syncopat replied Nov 5, 2012
More psychology — The evidence of history shows overwhelmingly that the banks get it wrong all the time. Last week one of the fed governors in the United States admitted it was their intention through monetary policy to weaken the US dollar. ...
- syncopat replied Nov 1, 2012
Get your trigger finger ready — It seems to me that one of the factors that is at the forefront of the RBA is housing sales. Generally speaking if a reserve bank decreases their prime interest rate that change may be passed on to home buyers ...
- syncopat replied Oct 31, 2012
yeah yeah yeah — He should tell George Soros. Wasn't it the Bank of England that made a similar statement and then Soros made a billion or so shorting the pound just over the weekend. Typical of the 'Extend and Pretend' mentality in the ...
- syncopat replied Oct 29, 2012
Some more inputs — There is no doubt in my mind that the markets get manipulated by misinformation. I track closely where the major stops probably are and they often get hit without any new major announcement. That being said there are other ...
- syncopat replied Oct 29, 2012
So it is a matter of timing — When the Canadian dollar appreciated a few years ago the oil companies cried and complained because oil is sold in US dollars. That means they were actually making less because the price of oil had not changed in ...
- syncopat replied Oct 28, 2012
More complexity — More support at 1.0343 for now. This is also related to the resistance of the US dollar index trading right into resistance. You notice on this chart how the AUD did way better than the CAD against the USD. The Canadian ...
- syncopat replied Oct 24, 2012
The other side of the coin — I wish I didn't have to disagree with you but you mentioned a couple of things in your posts I question. "I agree that printing is going on everywhere but the more rates get cut the less attractive the carry trade ...
- syncopat replied Oct 18, 2012
Ready Set Go — It wouldn't surprise me if the Euro summit mentions something that startles the marketplace into a bearish frenzy. On the other hand the greedy bankers may continue with the strategy of 'pretend extend' which in the short term ...
- syncopat replied Oct 9, 2012
Logic — You think the DX high will hold. And what other reason to go long?
- syncopat replied Oct 4, 2012
Just another bear — Thanks for all your work. I didn't know it existed till tonight. I agree with most of what you have said and only want to point out that I believe there may be some currency wars again as the world economy is being effected ...
- syncopat replied Oct 1, 2012
Attractiveness — Like I said I do not know that. However, there are some huge commodity type businesses in Australia which could be attractive and also the last Chinese stimulation worked well so why would it not do the same again even though ...
- syncopat replied Oct 1, 2012
AUD Cut - Are you kidding? Just kidding. — I agree with you JP but here is my caveat. I am just passing this on because I have not seen these facts myself. I was always wondering what has kept the AUDUSD above parity or even better above .9500 ...
- syncopat replied Aug 7, 2012
S&P correlation — Looking for a reversal around 1.2475 - however, since the S&P just broke a trendline around 1400 why not bring politics into this!
- syncopat replied Jul 29, 2012
Technicals & Fundamentals — I believe the market is pricing in three things. 1. Potential QE 3 2. USA drought 3. What better alternative? Or is China really slowing down and the manipulators (central banks) telling the world all is right ...
- syncopat replied Jul 25, 2012
Overvalued? — If you live near the USA all the talk is about QE3. However, I think QE3 would yield diminishing returns. From my sources the market place has priced in somewhat of a fed reserve reaction like QE3. So if there is word some day ...