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- The Fool replied 4 hr ago
in otc markets, maybe so. In futures and options, you have data direct from the exchanges in real time.
- The Fool replied 19 hr ago
if the Powell put regains a firm footing, I'd say gold will be falling back under $2,100 in the coming month or so. Preferred to trade options, where GLD has decent volume and 2x weekly expiries. image 10c calendar shown makes $1.00 or better on a ...
- The Fool replied 21 hr ago
I expect some upward trending in the coming data-slack week. I may get some long deltas with a RUT or XSP time spread. Probably RUT. I have become something of a specialist in being wrong about RUT direction. But, if I'm right, I'll make some money ...
- The Fool replied 21 hr ago
Why use the COT Reports when real-time "commitment of traders" is being reported live constantly in the futures and options markets - i.e., in the volume and Time & Sales data?
- The Fool replied 28 hr ago
a fun Tarantino fairytale based on the Manson episode, with a reimagined, happy ending, has a good soundtrack... video video
- The Fool replied May 3, 2024
NEAR the close I sold May20 bear calls, 5275/5300, for $2.50
- The Fool replied May 3, 2024
weekly spinner forming, always worst case for double diagonals. The calls netted 50c and the puts lost about 60c, all the small hedge trades were near total loss...all-in-all just a small losing week. Will be looking to sell some IC's...
- The Fool replied May 1, 2024
LOOKING now at rolling down the calls, will do it Thurs if for cheap....starting to feel like an exercise in futility...
- The Fool replied May 1, 2024
market not buying what JPow is selling... image
- The Fool replied May 1, 2024
closed the near put diagonals, 25c loss...the lower ones remain, likely big losers; call diags remain, quite fotm, but they only cost 10c. Pretty much a fizzle as JPow reasserts the Fed put....
- The Fool replied Apr 30, 2024
..probly will roll it back down for another 50c debit...wasn't looking for a 2σ move today....
- The Fool replied Apr 30, 2024
Do you want the penny or the position? I was looking at a single May03 long put to hedge the diag tail, didn't want to pay $400....missed getting it and now it costs 2-3x as much. Will bite the bullet Wed morning & put it on or close the diag for ...
- The Fool replied Apr 30, 2024
might regret that roll. I left a lot down at 4930/4920 still, though. While SPX fotm calls were cheap today, I bot some to guard the call diag tails. Hope to do the same at the 4980/4970 put end, we'll see, maybe Amazon can ride in & save the day...
- The Fool replied Apr 29, 2024
rolled 4930/4920 puts up to 4980/4970, for 15c debit
- The Fool replied Apr 28, 2024
RIP Goldilocks? The Fed higher for longer will break the bull market? SPX H&S neckline target all the way down to 4400 or lower, by late Summer. image image
- The Fool replied Apr 28, 2024
sell in May go away? Cheap SPX diagonals can pay 30x but you gotta guard that tail image
- The Fool replied Apr 28, 2024
Well....how did I get here? video video
- The Fool replied Apr 28, 2024
FXY, the yen ETF, has decent volume, over 4:1 calls to puts..... image
- The Fool replied Apr 28, 2024
,,,,likely do another cheap put roll Monday, Weekly ex move <50....options market saying vol to come in,,,,FOMC a non-event....
- The Fool replied Apr 26, 2024
ROLLED up the put side 80 pts for a 25c debit, dbldiag looks like this now. I'll be looking to harvest something before the FOMC, depending on where SPX is... image