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- JackintheBox replied 4 hr ago
Omg... sold last position at 153.70 from 153.06/7. What the heck is going on with USD/JPY. I sold now because carry trading is currently difficult with BOJ in your neck... I had a stop-loss before at 152.50 paid by my winnings earlier - if hit - but ...
- JackintheBox replied 5 hr ago
Hi Steve, have you backtested your strategy? I mean with clear rules? Are you profitable on monthly base? I got never run a system like that to work for me. Would be interesting to know. Thanks
- JackintheBox replied 5 hr ago
Omg, I hope BOJ is not playing on the roll-over in one hour. That would kick some butts including my butt, cause i'm semi big short on EUR/USD. Damn. Seems US-boys are not stepping in anymore today. 5 Minutes left before NY-Close.
- JackintheBox replied 5 hr ago
Seems that BOJ is attacking again... main currencies are still under pressure: USD, EUR, GPB and CHF, - smaller currencies got released. In 12 Minutes NY is closing. Not sure what will happen than. Do they really dare go again for big intervention ...
- JackintheBox replied 5 hr ago
US Dollar release is coming in. USD/CAD was the first one. AUD/USD seems to be next. Seems to be that some pros surfed on the back of BOJ, selling now their stuff cause BOJ is done with dollar selling - at least for the moment.
- JackintheBox replied 5 hr ago
Finally some release of BOJ Dollar Selling. They really push it to the limit in that moment. That's why EUR/USD goes up since hours but very slowly. BOJ stop now selling dollars because USD/JPY is on 153 level. That effects all USD currency and also ...
- JackintheBox replied 5 hr ago
Guess who bought also at the low of 153.06/7 at USD/JPY. I sold few. for some backup - if BOJ dares to attack 153. Who knows. Japan is weird in that case.
- JackintheBox replied 6 hr ago
What we currently see is a coordinated attack of BOJ against the dollar. Funny enough, the USD/JPY is the best pair to trade due to high retrace. I wonder how long powell is still accepting that behaviour. I think currently they are fine because ...
- JackintheBox replied 16 hr ago
Hi, the analyze was after Powell stopped speaking. Probably BOJ read our conversation and decided to listen to us - and dropped it right after NY close for liquidity gap. Of course I was at sleep when they made the intervention. I buy ...
- JackintheBox replied 29 hr ago
Was a nice fake move up while Powell was speaking. I shorted all the way up, lol. I was a tiny, tiny bit worried when EUR/USD stalled at 1.0728 area but my head said: Don't worry. Drop will come, makes no sense what happens currently at EUR/USD. ...
- JackintheBox replied 29 hr ago
Zebi hit the nail here on the head: That was the best oppurtunity to intervene - although it would not have lasted long but he stumbled sometimes yes, I recognized that, too. The dynamic was there. But I also was wondering about the hesitation of ...
- JackintheBox replied 29 hr ago
I don't touch that thing now. Nor EUR/USD neither GBP/USD. I wait for more. The buyers before are big in minus now. If they want to unwind positions we need 10 more pips down or even more. Let's see. I think I call it a day. Now in that moment ...
- JackintheBox replied 30 hr ago
Here my trades this evening. I bought also a lot of USD/CHF for carry trade that night. Worked out so far. image Look at EUR/USD now
- JackintheBox replied 30 hr ago
I had powell on my ear: and all I heard was: inflation on the run, no rate cut discussed etc. etc. and EUR/USD was going up. So: I shorted. When they came to the topic if even a rate hike to 5.75 would be needed to finally push inflation down, ...
- JackintheBox replied 30 hr ago
I think that is the difference between gambling and knowing. I shorted: EUR/USD: 1.0695 -> 1.0702 ->1.0712 ->1.0724 and big short at 1.0729 and sold everything at 1.0722 and 1.0718. The point is: You have to know when it's fake. Made no sense at all ...
- JackintheBox replied 30 hr ago
Guys, Powell said: There is no sign for inflation coming down. -I don't need to know more. Rate Cut 2025.
- JackintheBox replied 35 hr ago
Closed -3 Pips... ISM under 50 . But Price Stability is gone. >EUR/USD don't know where to go.
- JackintheBox replied 35 hr ago
Well... I barked quite loud before... so it's time for me to short now... not sure if EUR/USD or GBP/USD. USD/JPY funny enough is quite strong. If BOJ would not be in the pits I would buy USD/JPY now. I probably will short EUR/USD before news. ...
- JackintheBox replied 38 hr ago
Holiday... as usual. On normal days I would have short at 1.2495 but the weird upmove from 1.2468 to 1.2497 was a classical holiday move - with possible more to come so I left the short. Let's see where we end this evening. Forecasts of ISM are ...
- JackintheBox replied 38 hr ago
LOL, first rate cut. That was a good joke. I promise here officially: The first rate cut will come in 2025. I said that yesterday already. We have not had even one round of numbers where 75% of the numbers show a cool down on US-Economy. So no ...