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- Custos replied Apr 28, 2020
thanks hayseed
- Custos replied Apr 28, 2020
Let's agree to disagree
- Custos replied Apr 27, 2020
Hi numbnuts, thanks for explaining your approach. I agree, it is important to look at things that other people are also looking at.
- Custos replied Apr 27, 2020
The issue I see with that approach is that price is only the result of fears, hopes and actions that were taken in the real world, no matter which asset you trade or invest in. To be able to invest successfully long-term you need to identify the ...
- Custos replied Jul 11, 2018
Your criteria might not be enough, but it is a good start. One thing you might want to think about: How history turned out is just one scenario out of infinite scenarios. It might not be enough to just backtest on how history played out to be able ...
- Custos replied Feb 23, 2017
I imagine that the hordes of programmers as goldman are able to write code for a quantum computer. If not them, then google or apple can do it.
- Custos replied Feb 23, 2017
Maybe to clarify - such supercomputers cost 10s to 100s of millions of dollars. If they benefit anybody, then the really big players (at least in the beginning). I don't think that machine will always only be a machine. Give it a couple of decades, ...
- Custos replied Dec 21, 2016
So, let me get this straight. You don't have any personal money to trade live, you also don't have a license to trade other people's money. I don't understand your question. If I need to explain you how life works, then here it goes: get a real job, ...
- Custos replied Dec 21, 2016
I think you are generally right about the technical analysis bit, but I don't think market structure and so on is the answer. Trying to outsmart other traders' behaviour also seems to be a fool's game. In the long-term the behaviour is too erratic ...
- Custos replied Dec 13, 2016
It has always been international - that is the whole point of a currency exchange.
- Custos replied Dec 7, 2016
Hi HeyYou, backtests are a double-edged sword. It is so easy to do datamining and optimize a system beyond belief. While it may seem realistic, it is vital to look that you developed a system without falling into the trap of datamining. As you ...
- Custos replied Dec 7, 2016
Even 5 to 10% per month is not sustainable over the long-term. If it could be done, we would hear all about it in the news and money would pour into that asset manager. Unfortunately, 5 to 10% a year is more like it for any professional money ...
- Custos replied Dec 7, 2016
Sorry blueknight - I am not sure on which planet you live, but typical interest rates for savings accounts in the developed world is below 1% PER YEAR, not per month. If you have above 500k you even have to PAY interest with some banks. If one could ...
- Custos replied Aug 25, 2016
sorry but I must disagree a 100%. Even, if you are a zen master or a robot, you won't get anywhere except at depleting your account. If you don't have a robust trading method that can consistently take money out of the market, you will ultimately ...
- Custos replied Jan 26, 2016
Hi Dunston, without trying to side-track your thread, I would like to discuss with you how the COT analysis could be used in conjunction with other methods. I basically have two assumptions: The COT analysis makes sense as you can see what the smart ...
- Custos replied Jan 5, 2016
Studies over multiple decades showing what the annual compounded return was from different technical indicators.
- Custos replied Sep 6, 2015
Thanks for your comment. You are obviously right, that macro factors are really important, especially in the short to medium term. But when it comes to long-term moves, I believe only two things are relevant: interest rates and QE. Everything else ...
- Custos replied Oct 13, 2014
sorry, my bad, thought it just shows a backtest.
- Custos replied Oct 13, 2014
unfortunately one can curvefit everything. Even a simple supposedly random system can be curvefitted to show insane equity curves. You guys should study some statistics and get some reality back. To do proper statistical work is amazingly difficult. ...
- Custos replied Oct 12, 2014
wow man, you are so smart. I hope you are a lawyer or something, cause your conclusions are as sharp as the sun is bright.