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- The Fool replied May 24, 2024
well the Thursday red candle was long overdue. Hedge trades are likely all gonna die worthless, but the IC PnL is happy. Looking to ride the Jun21 IC as is up to CPI day, Jun12.
- The Fool replied May 24, 2024
we'll see if the bears can squeeze some more air out the bubble Friday, but I'll be looking to btfd, for next week the combo shown my go-to, risk $800 to make up to $10k on a 20 lot.... image
- The Fool replied May 23, 2024
sell in May, go away, or ride the NVDA wave to new ath? spx gets a delayed reaction to the spooky fomc minutes, but it won't last, I'd bet... image
- The Fool replied May 22, 2024
looking like SPX will rally off strong NVDA show, as I expected. I have good hedge trades to catch a bull extension above 5350 to close the week, hopefully they will pay enough to roll up the bear calls. Going into the long weekend we'll see what ...
- The Fool replied May 22, 2024
as noted in Jun21 IC with 5000/4975 puts and 5375/5400 calls for $4.75 net. Was aftaid of a big bounce off NVDA ER but decided to ride it out some more. Today rolled up the puts to Jun21 5150/5125 (16 delta) for net credit gain of $2, now total ...
- The Fool replied May 22, 2024
Brace for NVDA impact.....
- The Fool replied May 21, 2024
AI tulip mania taking hold and markets will swing around NVDA earnings this week. Not likely they can report anything but good news. Meanwhile, cracks in the consumer economy keep growing. We are due for some big red drops down, just need a shock of ...
- The Fool replied May 20, 2024
Lotsa Fedspeak & NVDA to move the week ahead, but I expect more upside for SPX....the JPow put firmly established.....only a big miss in NVDA could make for a pullback chance.
- The Fool replied May 17, 2024
Looking for a decent red candle(s) to roll up the IC, hard to find in the bull market and I expect that to continue into June. I don't mind iterative rolling, but of course I want to do that with successive gains. Not likely in bull runs when the ...
- The Fool replied May 16, 2024
out @ $2,70, a double+, about all she was giving as that pinned 5300....these don't pay nearly as well as Friday/Monday spreads, but they are < 1/2 the cost of those to put on.
- The Fool replied May 16, 2024
I always trade these AM/PM time spreads, especially when there's a good chance of a 00-pinner....5300 was the target here. I have never held these to see what I might get with residual calls Friday, too much overnight risk...Have a $5 tp set for ...
- The Fool replied May 16, 2024
tough to trade these things in a one-way market, not the best choice. But, I have been here before. Looking at SPX ATR to pull back towards 40 going into June, a relatively slack week ahead of the holiday, low vol is what I need now with 36dte, ...
- The Fool replied May 15, 2024
1-way bull market is a gift.... image
- The Fool replied May 14, 2024
I can't touch this,,,,iv's in the May options over 600% image
- The Fool replied May 14, 2024
Going $15 wide on the put spread means a bigger tail risk and thus more debit for the insurance legs. You could simply move down the spread strikes so that the insurance would very moist likely not be needed, but the risk still there... image
- The Fool replied May 14, 2024
video In the btfd market, this weekly call combo all you need to know to get rich like macdaddy TF: With the Friday ExMove for SPX at about 66, that puts SPX at about 5290 for Friday close. This will change off PPI tomorrow, though. So, I'll put ...
- The Fool replied May 13, 2024
ROLLED calls to Jun21 5375/5400 for a 20c debit, added Jun21 5000/4975 puts for $2.45 credit, now have a 39dte IC @ $4.75 net credit - 15 delta puts & 25 delta calls. Expect to adjust early if market dips on PPI/CPI this week...
- The Fool replied May 10, 2024
wow the bulls threw the bears a bone, a little red doji....I like that gap down below 5100, though....if the CPI comes in hot next week, easy to see that filling. Looks like I will be able to roll bear calls ok Monday - will look at 20-25 delta Jun ...
- The Fool replied May 10, 2024
image image Data reflects bull market conditions over the 15 yr period, and useful to know that the deltas are not the safest measure of calls touched/exp itm....
- The Fool replied May 10, 2024
about $3 underwater on bear calls but I am hanging in. Looking for a little pullback prior to the PPI/CPI. If I get that, I will roll up and out Monday, probably all the way to Jun opex,,,,and will add the bull puts. Good segment today on tastylive ...