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The US Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25-5.5% on Wednesday and will indicate that September is the earliest opportunity to seriously consider an interest rate cut. The main focus will be their updated dot plot, which outlines the individual members’ views on the path for interest rates. In March, they signalled that three rate cuts ...
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The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data today released the May 2024 Survey of Consumer Expectations, which shows inflation expectations declined at the short-term horizon, remained unchanged at the medium-term horizon, and increased at the longer-term horizon. Labor market expectations were mixed. Households’ expectations for the stock market improved, reaching a three-year high. Households were also more optimistic about their financial situation a year from now. The main findings from the May 2024 Survey are: Inflation • Median inflation expectations at the one-year horizon declined to 3.2% in May from 3.3% in April, were unchanged at the three-year horizon at 2.8%, and increased at the five-year horizon to 3.0% from 2.8%. The survey’s measure of disagreement across respondents (the difference between the 75th and 25th percentile of inflation expectations) decreased at the one-year horizon, increased at the three-year horizon, and remained unchanged at the five-year horizon. post: US NY Fed 1-Year Inflation Expectations May: 3.17% (prev 3.26%) post: NY FED: MAY THREE-YEAR AHEAD EXPECTED INFLATION UNCHANGED AT 2.8%.
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