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China’s Macro Disconnect

From project-syndicate.org

Structural change and rebalancing are formidable undertakings for any economy. China has been focused on these objectives for five years – seeking to transform a powerful yet unbalanced growth model based largely on exports and investment into one driven increasingly by its consumers. Success is essential if China is to avoid the dreaded “middle-income trap” – the economic slowdown that most fast-growing developing economies experience when they reach income thresholds comparable to that of China today. The results have been mixed. China has been highly successful in its initial efforts to shift the industrial ... (full story)

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