Scotland is voting on its own independence and the conventional wisdom is that they will ultimately vote NO, meaning they will stay with Great Britain. Polls show the NO side holding a slim, but consistent lead. And the British Pound has been surging, which is the opposite of what it would do if the UK were about to be thrown into political chaos. And betting markets have been giving long odds to the YES side. So does YES have any hope? One of the smartest analysts we know — who chooses to remain nameless — explained how it could happen via an IM conversation earlier. The theory is that it's possible that the polls ... (full story)