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BOE Big Mistakes in Forecasting Seen to Require Lesson-Learning

From bloomberg.com

The Bank of England’s forecasting capabilities have deteriorated in the past five years, resulting in “large” errors, and officials should investigate the reasons for such shortcomings, an independent review said today. The report by David Stockton, a former Federal Reserve official, sets out options including encouraging “more assertive” staff to challenge the central bank’s “house view” and incorporating financial-stability risks into forecasts. It said the latter should be “high on the agenda.” The review is one of three commissioned by the central bank’s governing body following a lawmaker push for an inquiry as ... (full story)

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