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Deutsche Bank's Shocking Admission: "QE In Europe Will Be Ineffective"
Euroglut: a new phase of global imbalances This report argues that both “secular stagnation” and “normalization” are incomplete frameworks for understanding the post-crisis world. Instead, “Euroglut” – the global imbalance created by Europe’s massive current account surplus will be the defining variable for the rest of this decade. Euroglut implies three things: a significantly weaker euro (we forecast 0.95 in EUR/USD by end-2017), low long-end yields and exceptionally flat global yield curves, and ongoing inflows into “good” EM assets. In other words, we expect Europe’s huge excess savings ... (full story)
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Fireworks are fun ... as long as you don't blow your fingers off.
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