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Abenomics and other Drivers of Holiday Markets
The main feature in the foreign exchange market continues to be the yen’s weakness. This weakness, based on expectations that the new Japanese government will succeed in driving the dollar to JPY90 with a combination of more aggressive monetary and fiscal policy (“Abenomics), is offering support to the other currencies. The yen sales are a combination of momentum and carry strategies. There are two other forces in the market as well. First, the market is anticipating a further reduction in tail risks in Europe. Of course the large moves away from the abyss this year are clearly the doing of the ECB with its ... (full story)