For Bond Traders, a Fed Hike This Year Is Looking Like a Toss-Up

  • Treasuries wrap up biggest monthly advance in a year
  • Futures imply 56% chance of quarter-point boost in 2016

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.

Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg
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The bond market is even more skeptical about the chances of a Federal Reserve interest-rate increase this year after the Bank of Japan’s surprise policy move.

QuickTake The Fed Lifts Off