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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #25,961
  • Edited 10:53am Sep 26, 2016 10:40am | Edited 10:53am
S&P Long @ 2142.00 Counter trade
Almost hit its last week POC. Support.

T1 +1 point.
1 lot to go.
FLAT - 1 point. BE Trade

US lunch time now. Could be very/more choppy
Attached Image
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #25,962
  • Edited 11:41am Sep 26, 2016 11:15am | Edited 11:41am
US markets get some support.
So far they don't want to break out down the bottom of the Opening Range.

DOW Long @ 10.028 Counter trade
T1 +16 points
1 lot to go/Trailing
FLAt BE

S&P Long @ 2142.75 Counter trade
T1 + 5 ticks
1 lot to go/Trailing
FLAT BE
Attached Images
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #25,963
  • Edited 12:15pm Sep 26, 2016 11:45am | Edited 12:15pm
US markets Long again/ Counter trades

S&P T1 +2 points
1 lot to go/Trailing

DOW T1 +11
1 lot to go/Trailing
DOW on 50% OR

Costs a lot of effort to move up the markets/Could still drop/Still bearish

Hope they reach the 50% middle of the OR

FLAT both markets BE.
Better wait till the debate is done tonight.
Gone be the biggest boxing game ever! Trump vs. Hillary.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ES 12-16 (15 Min) 26-9-2016.jpg Size: 68 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: YM 12-16 (15 Min) 26-9-2016.jpg Size: 73 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #25,964
  • Sep 26, 2016 10:16pm Sep 26, 2016 10:16pm
I watched the election debat/"show".

It looks there was a little "relief" rally after the US election debat.
All markets (DAX/DOW/S&P)have Gaps/Pockets to fill to the upside.

DAX could open higher now, but still big problems Germans Deutsche Bank
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: US after debat.JPG Size: 276 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: FDXM 12-16 (15 Min) 26-9-2016.jpg Size: 82 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #25,965
  • Sep 27, 2016 1:04am Sep 27, 2016 1:04am
US Over Night markets are now in the GAP zone between Friday lows and Monday Highs.
They probebly go down to test the Y Highs again
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #25,966
  • Sep 27, 2016 1:07am Sep 27, 2016 1:07am
Got stopped on my longs from yesterday.
  • #25,967
  • Edited 2:21am Sep 27, 2016 2:03am | Edited 2:21am
DAX went up to Y POC and 50 zone, which is always a hesitation point.

US markets filling up the Daily GAPs

S&P needs to go up to 2156 to reach the Friday low and fill the Wednesday Pocket
DOW needs to go up 18.165 to reach the Friday low and fill the Wednesday Pocket

US markets in the middle of that Daily GAP.
DAX waits if US markets will fill the GAP now or pull back to Y Highs.
No EU news today

Remind I quote Future prices

S&P CDF 7 points higher price then Futures
DAX CDF 8/9 points higher price then Futures
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #25,968
  • Edited 2:37am Sep 27, 2016 2:24am | Edited 2:37am
DAX Y close @ 10.375 (also WEEKLY POC level of 2 weeks back)
Last Week WEEKLY POC @ 10.350

Germany still worried about Deutche Bank problems.
Also Italy has still a big problem with its biggest bank. (forgot the name) Under water.
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #25,969
  • Sep 27, 2016 2:41am Sep 27, 2016 2:41am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
DAX Y close @ 10.375 (also WEEKLY POC level of 2 weeks back) Last Week WEEKLY POC @ 10.350 Germany still worried about Deutche Bank problems. Also Italy has still a big problem with its biggest bank. (forgot the name) Under water.
You forgot the name? Ferrari?


What is this? Must defend 400 or so game?
  • #25,970
  • Sep 27, 2016 2:42am Sep 27, 2016 2:42am
SHORT @ 10.400
T1 +11 points
1 lot to go. SL BE
Target 380
FLAT BE last lot

Maybe a quick Gap close @ 375 (Y close)

US markets are on top of the Y Opening Ranges. They could pop again here.
DAX is affraid of that
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FDXM 12-16 (15 Min) 27-9-2016.jpg Size: 74 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #25,971
  • Sep 27, 2016 2:48am Sep 27, 2016 2:48am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
SHORT @ 10.400 T1 +11 points 1 lot to go. SL BE Maybe a quick Gap close @ 375 (Y close) US markets are on top of the Y Opening Ranges. They could pop again here. DAX is affraid of that {image}
Great, I just closed my short from 438. Will wait if it retraces then will get in the shorts again.
**DEMO**
  • #25,972
  • Sep 27, 2016 3:02am Sep 27, 2016 3:02am
DAX Initial Balance or Opening Range (IB or OR)
10.382/10.452

Middle 50% @ 417
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #25,973
  • Sep 27, 2016 3:11am Sep 27, 2016 3:11am
They closed the Y GAP @ 377

Now see if that is enough and pop again or make a drop to the Weekly POC @ 350 zone (also 50% extension of the OR)
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #25,974
  • Edited 3:37am Sep 27, 2016 3:18am | Edited 3:37am
BDAX Long @ 380 1 lot
SL BE/Trailing
+10 points locked in
+15 points locked in
FLAT +15 points (BDAX E 25,00 1 point/E375,00)

DAX still bearish, so its a counter trade.
Still on the bottom of the IB/OR.

DAX will wait now for US markets to move, to whatever direction.
As said, US markets still have GAPS to the upside. Possible target later today
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #25,975
  • Sep 27, 2016 3:51am Sep 27, 2016 3:51am
The DAX is waiting on the Yesterday Value Area Low (Y VAL) @ 403 (blue line)
The Yesterday Value Are High (Y VAH) is @ 474 (aqua line)

The value Area is a calculated 70% traded area of the day.
So there is a High and a Low on the 70% traded area, called the Value Area.
Fixed levels of the previous day(s) Not changing anymore.

Today we don't know the total trading range yet, so today value area we call Developing Value Area.
Not so important as the previous days Value Area's.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FDXM 12-16 (15 Min) 27-9-2016.jpg Size: 110 KB
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #25,976
  • Sep 27, 2016 3:58am Sep 27, 2016 3:58am
US markets pulled back to the Yesterday 50% of the OR/IB. Lets see if they gone stall there.

DAX moved down to the last Week WEEKLY POC @ 344 Usually a heavy support.

There is still a Naked POC of Sept. 16 @ 282 which could be tested.
Naked POC is a POC which hasn't been tested yet.

Also the GAP (close of Sept 16) could be closed @ 10.257

(POC is the most trade zone of a day or week/Price Of Controll)
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #25,977
  • Sep 27, 2016 3:59am Sep 27, 2016 3:59am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
BDAX Long @ 380 1 lot SL BE/Trailing +10 points locked in +15 points locked in FLAT +15 points (BDAX E 25,00 1 point/E375,00) DAX still bearish, so its a counter trade. Still on the bottom of the IB/OR. DAX will wait now for US markets to move, to whatever direction. As said, US markets still have GAPS to the upside. Possible target later today
I just took 1 long **DEMO**
  • #25,978
  • Sep 27, 2016 4:03am Sep 27, 2016 4:03am
Quoting attilafx
{quote} I just took 1 long **DEMO**
Problems of the Deutsche Bank is a BIG issue here.

There was a "relief" pop on the US markets overnight , but my MA lines on the US markets are still bearish.
US markets going back to their Y POC's.
The closes of US markets are just below their POC's
It's better to be out wishing to be in... than to be in wishing to be out!
  • #25,979
  • Sep 27, 2016 4:11am Sep 27, 2016 4:11am
Quoting Dutchy Daxy
{quote} Problems of the Deutsche Bank is a BIG issue here. There was a "relief" pop on the US markets overnight , but my MA lines on the US markets are still bearish. US markets going back to their Y POC's. The closes of US markets are just below their POC's
Yeah, it seems. But you also still have your longs?
  • #25,980
  • Edited 6:33am Sep 27, 2016 4:12am | Edited 6:33am
Did DAX maybe close the gap from 19.09 ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: daxgap.jpg Size: 184 KB
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