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News trading discussion - continuation
- #2,764
- May 27, 2016 6:06am May 27, 2016 6:06am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,162 Posts
Ross Hook, I dont think so.....
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,765
- Edited 6:56am May 27, 2016 6:45am | Edited 6:56am
{quote} 100 people - 100 opinions. {image}
Now showing (hidden) rsioma + some repainting dots.
none of those indicators works long term success. Misleading, nothing else .Dont get me wrong please
. I ve been trading +18yr.
Participation is what I am looking for,
not misleading or show-off. you know what I mean?
- #2,766
- May 27, 2016 7:15am May 27, 2016 7:15am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,162 Posts
{quote} What happened to Ross Hook?
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
.......
its friday everbody tired will talk again monday. good weekend
- #2,768
- May 27, 2016 10:28am May 27, 2016 10:28am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,162 Posts
Great weekend to everyone.
Inserted Video
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,769
- May 29, 2016 6:21am May 29, 2016 6:21am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,162 Posts
Thoughts on "smart traders"
Yellen: hike advisable in the coming months.
The probability of an increase in the Fed's interest rate this summer has risen to 60% as a result of the Fed's performance management. It starts really hot summer, the publication of Non-Farm on Friday.
Janet Yellen on the march.
John Williams on Monday reiterated his rhetoric about the willingness of 2-3 times to raise interest rates the Fed, but he also mentioned about Brexit, as a factor capable of transfer decisions from June to July (a confirmed risk factor for FOMC). In any case - to keep interest rates for a long time at the minimum levels shall harm the US economy.
Goldman raised its GDP growth forecasts for the US from 2.7% to 3%
Kaplan (Fedrez) expects two rate hikes this year.
Powell (Fedrez) believes that is too slow rise in interest rates entails the risk of volatility in inflation, lending and price imbalances.
On Friday, the speech of the Federal Reserve became the final chord summarizes and confirms part of the "raising the rhetoric" on the part of individual members of the Federal Reserve System.
Janet Yellen: likely to be useful to increase the interest rate in the coming months. In the coming year, and inflation returns to the target level. The economy has weakened for the first quarter, but it is not critical - it continues to grow. QE and Fedreza policies have helped the economy to recover. The labor market is actually increased. The transformation of part-time employment in total has a high potential.
The probability of a rate hike in June, 28%, 61% in July.
June 23 finally a referendum
The pound sterling remained attentive reader of the local news of the likely withdrawal of England from the EU. For additional excitement to the quotes made the statement of the Prime Minister and Minister of Finance (Cameron and Osborne) to the traditional tone: a way out of the EU will plunge Britain into a long recession and the loss will cost at least 500K jobs.
Poll newspaper Telegraph, who had previously pointed to the benefits of voting "to exit from the EU", updated and points to the advantage of 13 points in favor of those who wish to remain within the EU. The likelihood that Britain will remain in the Union is 82.6%. Rating agency S & P also noted - the output will not lead to good.
According to the results of the second group specifying data, Bureau of Statistics confirms that the country's GDP growth in the second quarter is 0.4%.
Canada is in standby mode
Before the meeting, the Bank of Canada on Wednesday, market nerves were tested once again, oil prices, which fell back to local minima and CAD after them.
The Bank of Canada left interest rates unchanged (0.5%), and the accompanying protocol was not so soft, as expected market participants. It is noted that the economy will shrink in the second quarter as a result of damage caused by forest fires in Alberta, but go on the rise after. Support also provided Canadian oil quotes that touched highs of $ 50 a barrel.
The markets are counting on a further reduction of the RBA rate this year.
Glenn Stevens, in his speech on Tuesday topple it again AUD: target inflation rate tends to level the RBA (2-3%), signs of economic growth are viewed quite well, it is expected behavior of the AUD. Markets assume that the Reserve Bank of Australia may still fall to the interest rate of 1.5% until the end of this year. Falling prices for iron ore is only warmed up such talk.
ECB "breathe" after Breksita.
Knot of the ECB believes that the regulator reaches its incentive limits, it can be muted sign that after «Brexit» talk of additional stimulus from the ECB may flare up with renewed vigor.
The summer will be hot due to the Fed and the UK.
This summer, the markets will answer for himself on two main issues: whether the United Kingdom in the European Union will remain, and whether Fedrez interest rate increase.
Tips have followed since the first week of June - on the nose publication of Non-Farm Payrolls. Also, in the calendar for the next week note the publication of the GDP of Australia and Canada.
Yellen: hike advisable in the coming months.
The probability of an increase in the Fed's interest rate this summer has risen to 60% as a result of the Fed's performance management. It starts really hot summer, the publication of Non-Farm on Friday.
Janet Yellen on the march.
John Williams on Monday reiterated his rhetoric about the willingness of 2-3 times to raise interest rates the Fed, but he also mentioned about Brexit, as a factor capable of transfer decisions from June to July (a confirmed risk factor for FOMC). In any case - to keep interest rates for a long time at the minimum levels shall harm the US economy.
Goldman raised its GDP growth forecasts for the US from 2.7% to 3%
Kaplan (Fedrez) expects two rate hikes this year.
Powell (Fedrez) believes that is too slow rise in interest rates entails the risk of volatility in inflation, lending and price imbalances.
On Friday, the speech of the Federal Reserve became the final chord summarizes and confirms part of the "raising the rhetoric" on the part of individual members of the Federal Reserve System.
Janet Yellen: likely to be useful to increase the interest rate in the coming months. In the coming year, and inflation returns to the target level. The economy has weakened for the first quarter, but it is not critical - it continues to grow. QE and Fedreza policies have helped the economy to recover. The labor market is actually increased. The transformation of part-time employment in total has a high potential.
The probability of a rate hike in June, 28%, 61% in July.
June 23 finally a referendum
The pound sterling remained attentive reader of the local news of the likely withdrawal of England from the EU. For additional excitement to the quotes made the statement of the Prime Minister and Minister of Finance (Cameron and Osborne) to the traditional tone: a way out of the EU will plunge Britain into a long recession and the loss will cost at least 500K jobs.
Poll newspaper Telegraph, who had previously pointed to the benefits of voting "to exit from the EU", updated and points to the advantage of 13 points in favor of those who wish to remain within the EU. The likelihood that Britain will remain in the Union is 82.6%. Rating agency S & P also noted - the output will not lead to good.
According to the results of the second group specifying data, Bureau of Statistics confirms that the country's GDP growth in the second quarter is 0.4%.
Canada is in standby mode
Before the meeting, the Bank of Canada on Wednesday, market nerves were tested once again, oil prices, which fell back to local minima and CAD after them.
The Bank of Canada left interest rates unchanged (0.5%), and the accompanying protocol was not so soft, as expected market participants. It is noted that the economy will shrink in the second quarter as a result of damage caused by forest fires in Alberta, but go on the rise after. Support also provided Canadian oil quotes that touched highs of $ 50 a barrel.
The markets are counting on a further reduction of the RBA rate this year.
Glenn Stevens, in his speech on Tuesday topple it again AUD: target inflation rate tends to level the RBA (2-3%), signs of economic growth are viewed quite well, it is expected behavior of the AUD. Markets assume that the Reserve Bank of Australia may still fall to the interest rate of 1.5% until the end of this year. Falling prices for iron ore is only warmed up such talk.
ECB "breathe" after Breksita.
Knot of the ECB believes that the regulator reaches its incentive limits, it can be muted sign that after «Brexit» talk of additional stimulus from the ECB may flare up with renewed vigor.
The summer will be hot due to the Fed and the UK.
This summer, the markets will answer for himself on two main issues: whether the United Kingdom in the European Union will remain, and whether Fedrez interest rate increase.
Tips have followed since the first week of June - on the nose publication of Non-Farm Payrolls. Also, in the calendar for the next week note the publication of the GDP of Australia and Canada.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,770
- May 29, 2016 7:34pm May 29, 2016 7:34pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,162 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,771
- Edited May 31, 2016 2:36am May 30, 2016 2:45am | Edited May 31, 2016 2:36am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,162 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,773
- Edited Jun 1, 2016 1:50am May 31, 2016 10:35am | Edited Jun 1, 2016 1:50am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,162 Posts
Wednesday
4:30
06/01/16
AU GDP growth HOT!
(AU GDP), Australia, the AUDUSD
Average reaction when trigger 40.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.
Thoughts on "smart traders"
This summer, not only the Federal Reserve is ready for surprises in the form of higher interest rates, but the RBA, only his actions will be reversed (at least so thought the markets).
It is strange that today Building Approvals (Index "construction activity") is well tossed the AUD, but it is only an additional hints to us on the Australian sensitivity statistics.
It would be nice to see the pair before the release, and then witness as a fact would be lower than forecast - the most favorable scenario, as the AUDUSD still remains under pressure.
Height increase the likelihood the US Federal Reserve rate - a stick at both ends, if this fundamental factor will lead to a clearance AUD in particular, the RBA is entitled to hold the horses and not to hurry with additional incentives for its part, but statistics have the right to influence the mood of the Regulator.
We remind you that the Australian delay is particularly pronounced in this publication - keep abreast of risk and money management.
Wednesday
11:30
06/01/16
GB Industry Activity Index GOOD
(GB Manufacturing PMI), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when trigger 20.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.
Thoughts on "smart traders"
Finally (for us), the indicator out of the comfort zone: past publications sent data below the psychological barrier of "50" (in fact 49.2). Nevertheless, the upcoming issue of the cargo leaving the UK from the EU on June 23 referendum, does not give the full degree of market statistics to enjoy England. What is and poostorozhnichat.
It is expected that the index will remain below the surface "50" area, which means "pessimism" and reduction of business activity. The indicator can be seriously ignored by the market participants, as the de jure expected surge in activity after the referendum, when the business clearly understand for themselves further action guidelines.
Do not inflate the lot and expect a miracle from the UK Manufacturing PMI.
Wednesday
17:00
06/01/16
US ISM index of business optimism
(US ISM Manufacturing PMI), USA, USDJPY
Average reaction when trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.
Thoughts on "smart traders"
If not for the Fed and its 60% probability of a rate hike in the near future, perhaps we would not have added to the indicator in the trading plan, but now has a chance to get at least a few points on the movement of the dollar nervousness.
Hence the conclusion: do not neglect the additional risks from the publication, namely the risk of "inactivity" in quotations.
optimistic scenario would schedule more USDJPY to-face rather than vice versa - but the degree of deviation from the fact that the news of her prognosis is determined only by the size of the economists whose mistakes can be found only in the publication of statistics.
4:30
06/01/16
AU GDP growth HOT!
(AU GDP), Australia, the AUDUSD
Average reaction when trigger 40.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.
Thoughts on "smart traders"
This summer, not only the Federal Reserve is ready for surprises in the form of higher interest rates, but the RBA, only his actions will be reversed (at least so thought the markets).
It is strange that today Building Approvals (Index "construction activity") is well tossed the AUD, but it is only an additional hints to us on the Australian sensitivity statistics.
It would be nice to see the pair before the release, and then witness as a fact would be lower than forecast - the most favorable scenario, as the AUDUSD still remains under pressure.
Height increase the likelihood the US Federal Reserve rate - a stick at both ends, if this fundamental factor will lead to a clearance AUD in particular, the RBA is entitled to hold the horses and not to hurry with additional incentives for its part, but statistics have the right to influence the mood of the Regulator.
We remind you that the Australian delay is particularly pronounced in this publication - keep abreast of risk and money management.
Wednesday
11:30
06/01/16
GB Industry Activity Index GOOD
(GB Manufacturing PMI), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when trigger 20.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.
Thoughts on "smart traders"
Finally (for us), the indicator out of the comfort zone: past publications sent data below the psychological barrier of "50" (in fact 49.2). Nevertheless, the upcoming issue of the cargo leaving the UK from the EU on June 23 referendum, does not give the full degree of market statistics to enjoy England. What is and poostorozhnichat.
It is expected that the index will remain below the surface "50" area, which means "pessimism" and reduction of business activity. The indicator can be seriously ignored by the market participants, as the de jure expected surge in activity after the referendum, when the business clearly understand for themselves further action guidelines.
Do not inflate the lot and expect a miracle from the UK Manufacturing PMI.
Wednesday
17:00
06/01/16
US ISM index of business optimism
(US ISM Manufacturing PMI), USA, USDJPY
Average reaction when trigger 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.
Thoughts on "smart traders"
If not for the Fed and its 60% probability of a rate hike in the near future, perhaps we would not have added to the indicator in the trading plan, but now has a chance to get at least a few points on the movement of the dollar nervousness.
Hence the conclusion: do not neglect the additional risks from the publication, namely the risk of "inactivity" in quotations.
optimistic scenario would schedule more USDJPY to-face rather than vice versa - but the degree of deviation from the fact that the news of her prognosis is determined only by the size of the economists whose mistakes can be found only in the publication of statistics.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,774
- May 31, 2016 6:35pm May 31, 2016 6:35pm
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,162 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,775
- May 31, 2016 8:41pm May 31, 2016 8:41pm
Dear Traders, I am hoping to find an indicator which tells me whether the outcome of a news release is either good or bad for that currency. Much obliged Antonioo
, you don't need an indicator to do this. Best way to do this is to look back over history to see what happened during that news release in the past. Typically larger deviations from the forecast figure will have a larger impact. Once you news trade for long enough you know what news is going to move the market and what sort of deviation you are looking at to get the most out of your trade. Example would be a larger than expected figure on AUD GDP, this will appreciate the AUD. Same with CPI, employment change, building approvals etc. Where with AUD unemployment rate you would like to be a lower figure and a lower than expected figure would appreciate the AUD. Sometimes with manufacturing data a figure under 50 will indicate a contraction in the manufacturing industry in that country and will have a larger impact than a figure of the same deviation in the positive direction would do.I hope that helps
'Stability breeds Instability' Hyman Minsky
- #2,778
- Jun 1, 2016 1:40am Jun 1, 2016 1:40am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,162 Posts
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
- #2,780
- Jun 1, 2016 1:56am Jun 1, 2016 1:56am
- Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,162 Posts
{quote} What is the scrip or indicator that show start and end of the trade ? Alsogood trade
1.Limitny
2.Market
Both closed Wheelbarrel Trailing V1.2
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...