Attachments: News trading discussion - continuation

News trading discussion - continuation

#1,241
Aug 28, 2015 5:38am Aug 28, 2015 5:38am

toppo qqq
| Additional Username | Joined Nov 2009 | 501 Posts

It was a double news releases, USD and CAD, so usualy not a good idea to trade due to mixed currency movements. However, I tried CAD and entered two trades, one about 5 min early as indicators started to suggest a down move.

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#1,242
Aug 28, 2015 5:42am Aug 28, 2015 5:42am

toppo qqq
| Additional Username | Joined Nov 2009 | 501 Posts

Quoting vvFish

Disliked

Tuesday 7:30 01/09/15 AU Interest HOT! (AU Cash Rate), Australia, AUDUSD Average reaction when the trigger 55.00 points in the first minute after the release. 25% probability trades. Tuesday 15:30 01/09/15 CA GDP growth GOOD (CA GDP), Canada, USDCAD Average reaction when the trigger 30.00 points in the first minute after the release. 25% probability trades.

Ignored

Thanks vvFish. You have a good weekend. toppo

#1,243
Aug 28, 2015 5:47am Aug 28, 2015 5:47am

Jerkmiew
| Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Trader | 71 Posts

I wouldn't like to ask is that the news on USd Goods Trade Balance is not important that why no entry on this?

Thank you.

#1,244
Aug 28, 2015 7:21am Aug 28, 2015 7:21am

vvFish
Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,162 Posts

Quoting Jerkmiew

Disliked

I wouldn't like to ask is that the news on USd Goods Trade Balance is not important that why no entry on this? Thank you.

Ignored

now traded only GBPUSD.

Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...

#1,245
Aug 28, 2015 7:36am Aug 28, 2015 7:36am

vvFish
Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,162 Posts

Thoughts on "smart traders"

When a new era of financial markets.

Today, about 25% of analysts believe that the new era of the financial world will come in September, about 37% of them give in October, while 52% expected in December. The situation is changing every day.
Of course we are talking about raising the interest rate the Fed, this event will mark not only a new round of monetary policy leading the Central Bank, but also take us into a new phase of development of financial markets in general.
And so it is related, that the proposed development will have an impact not only on the native currency, but will affect the whole of the financial world. For this reason, central banks in developed countries are trying to coordinate their actions with the actions of the Federal Reserve: in other words, "Why reduce the rate of Australia, the United States if his rise, thereby reducing the rate of raw AUD».
Let's start with the head. For the US, almost no internal barriers (except for inflation), which could prevent the rise in interest rates, but remained outside - the stability of the financial markets. For example, if the stock market will fall at this point is difficult to think about tightening monetary conditions - China made such a factor in the end of August. Since oil prices may ease inflation in the country, we also see this link, but in a "unit of general stability."
Prospective actions of the Fed may greatly affect the decisions of the Central Bank of Australia, New Zealand and Canada. The latter is largely dependent on the oil price dynamics. Australia and is influenced by the Chinese, but we can see that the RBA may achieve some balance as the Fed and from China (which affects the general stability).
The European Central Bank to a greater extent will be varied between the time of the alleged end of its quantitative easing program. Markets saw this date in the area in September 2016, but the growing deflationary risks might throw eyes on the calendar. And while the oil price dropped in June by 30% - the risk of global inflation remains low in the arena, which will affect the common European CPI, as a measure of domestic inflation.
The Bank of England now looks more or less isolated, but it is not without influence. We did not connect it with the Fed, which is now one way or another affects all market participants, as seems to us that the barrier to increasing rates still favor "inflation below the target level," and if you remember the inflation report, such level has been reached will not be easy / not soon.

Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...

#1,246
Aug 28, 2015 7:39am Aug 28, 2015 7:39am

vvFish
Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Trader | 6,162 Posts

New shopping season: what to expect from the fall of 2015.

We are on the threshold of a new shopping season, and I must admit we enter into it with enough heavy luggage behind, which, starting from September 1, will only be only be replenished and replenished.
In September, over the third quarter of 2015, which is "the second" half, which put their market rates - is expected to accelerate the growth rate of key economies, particularly the United States.
Since September begins a period of keen attention to the cycle of the Fed FOMC meetings: September / October / December - when the interest rate will be raised? The issue is so delicate that we constantly see it in a separate post: "Will the Fed rate hike in September?", Then only recall that in October will be exactly one year since the completion of the US QE3.
In September will be announced the final results of the consistency of the second quarter 2015: will finish last quarterly reports, and get final data on GDP growth.
In September, before the first key Federal Reserve FOMC meeting (17/09) will be the publication of Non-Farm (this Friday), which provide the market with the first push of the season.
The summer was hot, and the temperature will only rise in the autumn.

Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...