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  • #964,621
  • Feb 27, 2015 2:56am Feb 27, 2015 2:56am
Thoughts on the EUR hitting 1.125x before heading back down again?
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Up and coming champion Pip collector.
  • #964,622
  • Feb 27, 2015 2:59am Feb 27, 2015 2:59am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Whats up mate, aint problems in Greece kicked in far?
lets see where 10y sgonna trade and land are we
ECB is expected to review g lending assistance
4m extention is 4m only aint it
grexit is out of the picture but now greeks alone need to present something in next 2m . april is next date for some interest etc.

but this is nothing i guess
  • #964,623
  • Feb 27, 2015 2:59am Feb 27, 2015 2:59am
Quoting hathor
1.11855 should be strong support. An H4/H1/M30/M15... candle opened at this level and it is the low either.
Quoting hathor
{quote} {image}
possible launching point was hit yesterday, it can act like 1.12750 (till yesterday)
f(z)=z2+c
  • #964,624
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:00am Feb 27, 2015 3:00am
Quoting KzX
Only IF they will be able to brake 30, next stop is 60 - 30p moves as usual.
And off we go...pulback/reversal around 60 (+-5p), if broken 85 (+-5p)
  • #964,625
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:02am Feb 27, 2015 3:02am
Quoting ill_be_back
Pending SHORT EU at 1.12390
Aaaand Triggered
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #964,626
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:04am Feb 27, 2015 3:04am
Quoting 21vs7
greeks alone need to present something in next 2m . april is next date for some interest etc. but this is nothing i guess
Yes, is nothing.
Situation in my view:
They have to present all the time, there is la commy in lead dealing with Russia and China,.. very small incompetitive nation with huge debts to Eurosystem via loans and more importantly - Target 2. Bailing out such a small country is so cheap compared to loss of credit should they depart, is a non issue. Few billions for commy and stfu Tsipras. Is cowards yes, I would FO Tsipras, but on the other hand, poor Greeks,.. got under pressure, elected commy, so yes, is a problem, but short term. Election period not very long, few years, and he cant screw that much in the meanwhile.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #964,627
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:13am Feb 27, 2015 3:13am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} so that move was about 100 pips after the break.... I managed to get 70% of it so worked out well I am currently waiting to see if we get rejection and a short opportunity at the D-PP level 1.1253 otherwise it is short below 1.1197 or 1.1183 depending on the PA. No trades in between these levels and no point getting wedded to positions at the moment as the potential upside to 1.16xx still exists which I posted a while back now here: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...70#post8063970 {image}
Good to see you posting again- where ya been
  • #964,628
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:13am Feb 27, 2015 3:13am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Yes, is nothing. Situation in my view: They have to present all the time, there is la commy in lead dealing with Russia and China,.. very small incompetitive nation with huge debts to Eurosystem via loans and more importantly - Target 2. Bailing out such a small country is so cheap compared to loss of credit should they depart, is a non issue. Few billions for commy and stfu Tsipras. Is cowards yes, I would FO Tsipras, but on the other hand, poor Greeks,.. got under pressure, elected commy, so yes, is a problem, but short term. Election period not very long, few years, and he cant screw that much in the meanwhile.
well all that said again...was there ever any greek problem eh?

I dont think u covered my half of half sell
  • #964,629
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:15am Feb 27, 2015 3:15am
Quoting Pharm0r
1.1279 is 50% of yesterday's move, it may become important. You'll notice a few previous D wicks in the area as well- two of which touched exactly.
This is where I'll exit my longs. - spread, maybe before gdp..
  • #964,630
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:22am Feb 27, 2015 3:22am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Good to see you posting again- where ya been
busy busy you know
  • #964,631
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:25am Feb 27, 2015 3:25am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} busy busy you know
US GDP data out in a while, any expectations ? Better than expected should send the pair down , what are the experts views on this ?
  • #964,632
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:26am Feb 27, 2015 3:26am
Shorting this move...
  • #964,633
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:27am Feb 27, 2015 3:27am
will short on 1.1294 target 1.1180
  • #964,634
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:27am Feb 27, 2015 3:27am
Long for 50 pips
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If you believe in yourself anything is possible !!
  • #964,635
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:29am Feb 27, 2015 3:29am
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} well all that said again...was there ever any greek problem eh? I dont think u covered my half of half sell
Depends what you call problem. If you call problem 100 pips volatility, coz crowd overreacts, yes, there was a problem.

My microorders are massive!.. see how I pushed PA, am Rockefeller.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #964,636
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:31am Feb 27, 2015 3:31am
Quoting Likerty
{quote} Where are you looking for monthly close to be decided at? I would expect this obvious reference point to be brought higher in order to make next week's plays at a greater distance from the risk limits.. Many eyes are tracking 1.1280/320's for short plays so all the choppyness in between these and say - monthly close around 250's (or higher) would make a fine screw-out range...
I haven't decide yet the closing range because the low of the month its still open. News play (details for that play later) will be the decider. In general 3 areas open, a close at the very lows (wherever they are set) has preference, the "normal" range will be to be around 1.120x/1x area and finally the 1.127x/8x you are mentioning .... it will depend on the play this afternoon ....

We'll chat before and after news for details and final call for that ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #964,637
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:37am Feb 27, 2015 3:37am
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} can you statistically back your statement? green pips to you too

I guess in his situation RED PIPS are in order. Since he is shorting it.

I am not sure about the technical analysis or fundamentals for shorting, US GDP may come good but not as expected so it bounces back up or it may be great news and it could trend lower. As far as I see, it is in an uptrend on the H1 H4 charts now which to me it is preparing for a sell off at the news so that the Market Makers can make a living but that's me, a contrarian.
  • #964,638
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:44am Feb 27, 2015 3:44am
sell divergence on M30
  • #964,639
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:50am Feb 27, 2015 3:50am
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} can you statistically back your statement? green pips to you too

I trade it successful in my live account since 2010 .

I have no statistics for it , because I also trade intraday the other days andso my trackrecord is cluttered with other orders.

But I ll continue trading it .
Its like (Fofo)Frankfurt open fake out .
I also have no statistics for it , but bad results for opening orders that time, so I skipped it since 5 or 6 years, too expensive for me .

Guido
Risiko birgt immer auch die Chance.
  • #964,640
  • Feb 27, 2015 3:52am Feb 27, 2015 3:52am
Quoting Tradezilla
{quote} I guess in his situation RED PIPS are in order. Since he is shorting it. I am not sure about the technical analysis or fundamentals for shorting, US GDP may come good but not as expected so it bounces back up or it may be great news and it could trend lower. As far as I see, it is in an uptrend on the H1 H4 charts now which to me it is preparing for a sell off at the news so that the Market Makers can make a living but that's me, a contrarian.
I asked the guy concerning statistical reasoning of his statement (bald one). that is all.
dont know where he entered risk, management etc

yeah, its building something. one needs some bad carma from one part of the currency pair and we will be moving
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