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AUD/USD

  • #89,061
  • Feb 9, 2015 5:48pm Feb 9, 2015 5:48pm
Quoting yunyoungro
all chinese news is NO good but audusd is still strong. why?????????
Maybe its because of the NAB Business Confidence and HPI numbers were good and tomorrow's Home Loans is expected to be better????
  • #89,062
  • Feb 9, 2015 5:55pm Feb 9, 2015 5:55pm
It's because the reaction to the news wasn't negative enough for the bears.. so they started closing.
They wanted another push lower... and didn't get it.
  • #89,063
  • Feb 9, 2015 5:56pm Feb 9, 2015 5:56pm
Quoting irongoose
{quote} Maybe its because of the NAB Business Confidence and HPI numbers were good and tomorrow's Home Loans is expected to be better????
how about..
hopes & expectations for PBoC easing?
  • #89,064
  • Feb 9, 2015 5:58pm Feb 9, 2015 5:58pm
Quoting diegosilva
{quote} Could you elaborate a bit as it is quite unusual to surge 30 pips in less than 2 minutes without important news released
The fact is that CN import and export related news has already been released an priced in, everyone anticipated bad CN news today which was one of the main reasons for the gap down over the weekend (from import and export news).
A surge of 30 pips up or down hardly means anything, even when there are no news at all. I can't seem to understand why you find it unusual, refer to your short term charts like 15mins and you'll see 30 pips up or down happening several times a day with or without impact news releases.

Anyways I'm just going to add shorts for today, commodities are taking a hit especially when you look at shipment orders, coupled with USD strength from NFP. Good luck.

Edit: Aussie domestic related news hardly causes any long term shifts in monetary policy, and policy from BoA is to have a weaker AUD. That's all that matters for any long term views, monetary policy divergence gives you an almost definite trend.
Luck shines on the positive.
  • #89,065
  • Feb 9, 2015 6:03pm Feb 9, 2015 6:03pm
Quoting HelloOz
{quote} how about.. hopes & expectations for PBoC easing?
Got me! I can tell you one thing though if its going to go south it'll do it after my binary spread option expires in two hours.
  • #89,066
  • Feb 9, 2015 6:04pm Feb 9, 2015 6:04pm
short from .7825 aud/usd


looking at .7800 and .7760 as potential support..
  • #89,067
  • Feb 9, 2015 6:09pm Feb 9, 2015 6:09pm
Long @ .7802. Target: .8000
"It is not enough to have a good mind; the main thing is to use it well"
  • #89,068
  • Feb 9, 2015 6:17pm Feb 9, 2015 6:17pm
Quoting yunyoungro
all chinese news is NO good but audusd is still strong. why?????????
The move is more caused by weakening usd instead of strengthening aud.
  • #89,069
  • Feb 9, 2015 6:21pm Feb 9, 2015 6:21pm
Au must break above 78.35 in order to be bullish
if can break 78.8 that would be even better.
but i think there is no enough bull at the moment
  • #89,070
  • Feb 9, 2015 6:35pm Feb 9, 2015 6:35pm
they are really keeping this pair above 78 i see..

not too many times you see a 25bp drop in interest rate have a 150 pip move down, only to be eaten up within next 12 hours.. ever since that, price has been staying above certain levels

must be because of the possiblity of 3 more rate cuts in next few months.. balance and big boys keeping price a bit higher before the real fall...

the usual bs....
  • #89,071
  • Feb 9, 2015 6:36pm Feb 9, 2015 6:36pm
Quoting Idkurv
Au must break above 78.35 in order to be bullish if can break 78.8 that would be even better. but i think there is no enough bull at the moment
7835's quite a weak resistance which can be easily broken IMO. If it's going to go up, look to 7855's area to be a more effective resistance level for breaks or reversal.
Going to look to London open for more clues.
Luck shines on the positive.
  • #89,072
  • Feb 9, 2015 6:39pm Feb 9, 2015 6:39pm
Quoting Idkurv
{quote} The move is more caused by weakening usd instead of strengthening aud.
wierd..
i dont see E/U or G/U move up..

maybe i should restart my PC.
  • #89,073
  • Feb 9, 2015 6:43pm Feb 9, 2015 6:43pm
Quoting HelloOz
{quote} wierd.. i dont see E/U or G/U move up.. maybe i should restart my PC.
E/U G/U up. U/CAD down.
Luck shines on the positive.
  • #89,074
  • Feb 9, 2015 6:52pm Feb 9, 2015 6:52pm
Quoting YvetteTeo
{quote} E/U G/U up. U/CAD down.
e/u g/u c/u up after aussie up
don't find the correct answer in market. just feel it and follow the wave.
  • #89,075
  • Feb 9, 2015 6:54pm Feb 9, 2015 6:54pm
Quoting Liam0530
they are really keeping this pair above 78 i see.. not too many times you see a 25bp drop in interest rate have a 150 pip move down, only to be eaten up within next 12 hours.. ever since that, price has been staying above certain levels must be because of the possiblity of 3 more rate cuts in next few months.. balance and big boys keeping price a bit higher before the real fall... the usual bs....
I think it is because aud interest rate is still higher than usd.
And before aud rate cut, aud was already down pretty much.
  • #89,076
  • Feb 9, 2015 7:19pm Feb 9, 2015 7:19pm
Quoting YvetteTeo
{quote} 7835's quite a weak resistance which can be easily broken IMO. If it's going to go up, look to 7855's area to be a more effective resistance level for breaks or reversal. Going to look to London open for more clues.
Yes, it is already broken now.
broke sma300 too

I think I will seek to long if it goes down, depends on PA, for scalp only
will see how it goes,
  • #89,077
  • Feb 9, 2015 7:22pm Feb 9, 2015 7:22pm
IMO, bearish gartley is forming on the H1 Chart. looking to Short @ 0.7852 - 58...seeing price heading below 0.7748 from there.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH1999.png Size: 35 KB
  • #89,078
  • Feb 9, 2015 7:57pm Feb 9, 2015 7:57pm
Quoting MJBhinder
IMO, bearish gartley is forming on the H1 Chart. looking to Short @ 0.7852 - 58...seeing price heading below 0.7748 from there. {image}
Hi, thanks for the chart.
not in front of PC , but in case of bearish gartley i think it is good prz , as ema300 is there too , also sto is ovebought (at least for now).
now au is down to .783, will see how it goes.
  • #89,079
  • Feb 9, 2015 8:19pm Feb 9, 2015 8:19pm
Quoting Delta1One
{quote} H4 to D1 suggestion...But care, already got a signal of divergence price vs macd+rsi ps: quite riskee {image}
Agree That the trade is quite Risky.... Good Analysis.
  • #89,080
  • Feb 9, 2015 9:24pm Feb 9, 2015 9:24pm
buy aud/usd???????????????????????????????????
don't find the correct answer in market. just feel it and follow the wave.
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