Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 240 | Forex Factory

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Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #4,781
  • Oct 1, 2014 2:21am Oct 1, 2014 2:21am
Quoting lobogabor
{quote} I am upset with the approach, have the same for HTF, all these can be done manually the same way, so dunno what the real issue is, and of course testing continuously as recommended on page No.1., but understood - trade like a robot, really stick to one thing what works, if not, you can restart your carrier from the beginning - I guess, so OK. I hope I managed clean it up right, if not I try again lol . Your page is yours, sorry for bothering! Good luck!
Testing is great and encouraged on Post #1, but testing the timeframes and rules on that post. Fibonacci and lower timeframes are not part of that post, so adding those things so others can "think" about it, will confuse many, believe me. Most of us just need a little push to stop doing what we are doing and add some new thing to the rules set. The funny thing is that most will never test the fully tested rules for months, they will "think" they can add more nuances and make it better (which is perfect and great), but they will not have the patience to test the rules and concepts as they are described, pity but that's the way human nature works. Those that overcome that nature will have a chance, most will be caught in a loop!

Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #4,782
  • Oct 1, 2014 6:52pm Oct 1, 2014 6:52pm
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Testing is great and encouraged on Post #1, but testing the timeframes and rules on that post. Fibonacci and lower timeframes are not part of that post, so adding those things so others can "think" about it, will confuse many, believe me. Most of us just need a little push to stop doing what we are doing and add some new thing to the rules set. The funny thing is that most will never test the fully tested rules for months, they will "think" they can add more nuances and make it better (which is perfect and great), but they will not have...
Alfonso,
Wanted personal note, but do not seem to find it...
You are right.
I agree, and I know from my practice what new things might cause (close to 100% of cases a significant fall back in results in my case), also I know rules are on the 1st page, and this one does not comply. I asked to remove post, so far did not happen, please help if that can be removed more efficiently, with my consensus.
Tnx, and all the best, good luck!Keep up the good work, it is really great!
  • #4,783
  • Oct 1, 2014 7:17pm Oct 1, 2014 7:17pm
Quoting lobogabor
{quote} Alfonso, Wanted personal note, but do not seem to find it... You are right. I agree, and I know from my practice what new things might cause (close to 100% of cases a significant fall back in results in my case), also I know rules are on the 1st page, and this one does not comply. I asked to remove post, so far did not happen, please help if that can be removed more efficiently, with my consensus. Tnx, and all the best, good luck!Keep up the good work, it is really great!
You can remove the post yourself within the first 24 hours. Just be logged in, click on "EDIT" @ the top of your post, click on "DELETE POST" @ the bottom of your post.

  • #4,784
  • Edited 8:51pm Oct 1, 2014 8:26pm | Edited 8:51pm
Quoting srt
{quote} You can remove the post yourself within the first 24 hours. Just be logged in, click on "EDIT" @ the top of your post, click on "DELETE POST" @ the bottom of your post.
Yup, obstacle: out of 24hrs window...window for editing is closed.. but I hope administrators or owner can solve, I also keep trying. Tnx!
Submitted several requests to admins...so far no results.
Worst case it stays there and will get lost in the gazillions of massages, but since Alfonso is totally right, in this particular case I wanna have it removed. It was my fault. Did not consider consequences what change in the plan can cause, however I do know, and have experienced it myself several times.
  • #4,785
  • Oct 2, 2014 7:45am Oct 2, 2014 7:45am
HI ALfenso
am new here.
thisis for CadJPY.
I see month and week are uptrend.
daily just broke uptrend line. on daily it has a valid demand zone but it is nested on the weekly DZ.
can we placed a limit order there?
please advise
Attached Image
  • #4,786
  • Oct 3, 2014 6:38am Oct 3, 2014 6:38am
Quoting lionfx
HI ALfenso am new here. thisis for CadJPY. I see month and week are uptrend. daily just broke uptrend line. on daily it has a valid demand zone but it is nested on the weekly DZ. can we placed a limit order there? please advise {image}
Welcome to the thread my friend. CADJPY MN is up, WK is up, that D1 DZ would be within WK demand, looks like a good zone yes. Nikkei is bouncing off WK demand zone with WK and MN up, that could help the CADJPY if the level is triggered. See the next post for a Nikkei long I was triggered last night.

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #4,787
  • Oct 3, 2014 6:53am Oct 3, 2014 6:53am
Triggered long on NIKKEI index.

  1. Monthly is up
  2. Weekly is up
  3. D1 lost momentum

According to the realignment rules, in order to set and forget D1 longs (D1 is my entry TF), we need to wait for price to reach Weekly demand zone... only IF WK is up. Since the sequence MN up, WK up is there, we are allowed to set and forget.

Below you can see my D1 entry long, I've also attached my previous D1 long on Nikkei index, also located within a WK demand zone.

Hope the analysis is clear to you.
Have a great weekend

Alfonso

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nikkei2.png Size: 83 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nikkei1.png Size: 63 KB
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #4,788
  • Oct 7, 2014 10:26am Oct 7, 2014 10:26am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Welcome to the thread my friend. CADJPY MN is up, WK is up, that D1 DZ would be within WK demand, looks like a good zone yes. Nikkei is bouncing off WK demand zone with WK and MN up, that could help the CADJPY if the level is triggered. See the next post for a Nikkei long I was triggered last night. Cheers, Alfonso
thanks for your response.

do I put a limit entry or look for a confirmation entry?
  • #4,789
  • Oct 8, 2014 12:46am Oct 8, 2014 12:46am
Quoting lionfx
{quote} thanks for your response. do I put a limit entry or look for a confirmation entry?
I always set and forget my trades if the bigger picture is in a trend, else I will wait for confirmation with brand new levels, opposing levels being removed, etc, as explained in the rules and multiple videos you can watch over here and the YouTube channel.

Hope that helps,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #4,790
  • Oct 9, 2014 9:39am Oct 9, 2014 9:39am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EurUsdMonthly.jpg Size: 223 KB
  • #4,791
  • Oct 9, 2014 4:03pm Oct 9, 2014 4:03pm
Quoting Whenever
{image}
Yes, it has higher odds of getting through. It looks like now EURUSD is getting some steam, US Index over-extended and reached Monthly supply zone. I don't think the removal of that non-fresh and non original zone will happen in a short time, price needs to reach a good selling spot so that it can recharge and attack that zone again to penetrate it further.

Hope it makes sense!
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #4,792
  • Oct 11, 2014 7:12am Oct 11, 2014 7:12am
hello sir .... how what broker do you use sir.
  • #4,793
  • Oct 11, 2014 2:43pm Oct 11, 2014 2:43pm
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Yes, it has higher odds of getting through. It looks like now EURUSD is getting some steam, US Index over-extended and reached Monthly supply zone. I don't think the removal of that non-fresh and non original zone will happen in a short time, price needs to reach a good selling spot so that it can recharge and attack that zone again to penetrate it further. Hope it makes sense! Alfonso

I have to say that it is just...amazing...looking at such a chart (years long) how prices react to the demand zones...
I think you got it, Man !

My compliments for all your work (I mean the work you did in all the time, for yourself), and for all the power you put into this journey.
It WILL bring you to an higher level of knowledge and existence (and I know you know that too).

Respect and Gracias.
  • #4,794
  • Oct 11, 2014 5:41pm Oct 11, 2014 5:41pm
Alfonso, sorry to communicate this, but your forexfactory.com admin support sucks. In spite of my many requests to remove my own post in agreement with you, happened NOTHING.
I think it must be either a negligence or a conspiracy from your blog administrator side, you decide what it is, but it stinks.
Good luck, and thanks for all of your help!
  • #4,795
  • Edited 7:14pm Oct 11, 2014 7:00pm | Edited 7:14pm
Quoting lobogabor
Alfonso, sorry to communicate this, but your forexfactory.com admin support sucks. In spite of my many requests to remove my own post in agreement with you, happened NOTHING. I think it must be either a negligence or a conspiracy from your blog administrator side, you decide what it is, but it stinks. Good luck, and thanks for all of your help!
Alfonso has no control over what happens @ FF after something's been posted even on his own thread. If you need to remove/modify a post you made it must be done within the first 24 hours or it's too late. Contact Twee if you want to complain.
  • #4,796
  • Oct 12, 2014 12:44pm Oct 12, 2014 12:44pm
Dear Sir,

Will this be called valid Trendline break or not in Daily Timeframe.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gold-sd.jpg Size: 180 KB
  • #4,797
  • Oct 13, 2014 3:20am Oct 13, 2014 3:20am
Hi Alfonso
for EURAUD
on Monthly we can see price has broken the ascending TL and has rejected the M DZ.
on weekly price has broken the descending TL , removed opposing SZ but hasn't got 1 :2 yet. so it is a potential DZ there.
on daily, price has broken the descending TL , now looking for a confirmation trade to long .

is my analysis correct?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euraud 13 oct.PNG Size: 47 KB
  • #4,798
  • Oct 13, 2014 4:00am Oct 13, 2014 4:00am
Quoting esanjayplaye
Dear Sir, Will this be called valid Trendline break or not in Daily Timeframe. {image}
The ascending TL you painted is incorrect, TLs can only be painted with 2 valleys valleys or 3 or more CPs. You connected a valley and a CP, that's not valid. The Descending one could also be adjusted to the latest 2 imbalances, that looks more like a weekly TL, you will see that if you switch to the weekly chart!

Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #4,799
  • Oct 13, 2014 4:05am Oct 13, 2014 4:05am
A new live webinar will be held this Friday 17th October.

A new live webinar will be held this Friday 17th October 2014. We'll go through a bunch of currency pairs/instruments and locate trade setups and IF THEN scenarios for longer term trading. Those that have attended previous supply and demand webinars will know what an IF THEN scenario is all about.

  1. TITLE: Long term trade analysis
  2. DATE: Friday, October 17th
  3. TIME: 9:00 AM - 10:30 AM CEST | At London open
  4. LINK TO JOIN: if you have joined previous webinars, you will have the link on your inbox, else use fill in this form to obtain the link

What will the webinar cover?

  1. Longer term position trade analysis. You can use this analysis for lower timeframe entries on H4 and lower
  2. We'll use the Sequence and The Realignment to locate setups
  3. How to trade with D1 supply and demand imbalances
  4. Under which conditions we should hold a trade and why

You can join now and you will be notified 1 day and 1 hour before it starts.
Hope to see you there!
Cheers,
Alfonso

Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #4,800
  • Oct 13, 2014 4:06am Oct 13, 2014 4:06am
Quoting lionfx
Hi Alfonso for EURAUD on Monthly we can see price has broken the ascending TL and has rejected the M DZ. on weekly price has broken the descending TL , removed opposing SZ but hasn't got 1 :2 yet. so it is a potential DZ there. on daily, price has broken the descending TL , now looking for a confirmation trade to long . is my analysis correct? {image}
Yes, a per your charts your analysis looks correct my friend!
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
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