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The similarity system

  • #7,161
  • Aug 27, 2014 9:10pm Aug 27, 2014 9:10pm
Quoting wireash
{quote} im not sure but it doesnt look like i even have a file mql4 so i have the old version cause i know the new one had problems ill call IBFX tomorrow and find out thank you theres another dissim at 1.3251 but i dont think its gonna go there
Just go to MT4 and click on File, Open Data Folder. Voila, pardner.
  • #7,162
  • Edited 10:31pm Aug 27, 2014 10:21pm | Edited 10:31pm
This up has cracks. On the following time-frames, we have cracks at

1min @ 1.32133
5min @ 1.32137
15min @ 1.32127
30min @ 1.32127
60min @ 1.32155

Therefore the following probabilities have been generated!!!

Price movement and closing probabilities going forward.!!!

>1.32700 = 0.01

>1.32370 = 0.30

=1.32155 = 1.00

<1.32000 = 0.85

<1.31900 = 0.55

What do these numbers mean?
At the time the numbers were calculated the current price always has probability 1. To have an idea of where price will go, One has to look at other price levels above or below the current one. It is clear that price levels below 1.32155 have higher probabilities. Therefore, I will call DOWN for EURUSD with main target 1.31900.

Give or take 10 pips above 1.32155, that price is a turn around price and eurusd will play around it with sight on target.
  • #7,163
  • Aug 27, 2014 10:38pm Aug 27, 2014 10:38pm
Quoting rehorst
{quote} Just go to MT4 and click on File, Open Data Folder. Voila, pardner.
YUP thats how you do it i actually just updated my meta trader cause i never did it before
it kept asking me evry time i opened mt4 if i want to make changes and i alwais said no
thanks again
  • #7,164
  • Aug 27, 2014 11:09pm Aug 27, 2014 11:09pm
Quoting Eurusdd
Ok fellow traders. I got this important information that I would like to share with you. There is a serious mis-price formed at 1.3405. There is a 2nd degree problem at 1.3344. This points to the development of a new trend. So, I will urge bears to be careful. Today or by friday eurusd is heading in that direction for correction and maybe continuation!!! I am sorry for returning!
Hi Eurusdd, I´m qouting this interesting post for the third time. What i find interesting is your ranking of the problem areas. To my Eyes there´s a problem also at 1.3371-1.3379. If you also recognise a problem at that area, what rank would you give it?

Best Regards

Waez
  • #7,165
  • Aug 27, 2014 11:21pm Aug 27, 2014 11:21pm
Quoting Waez
{quote} Hi Eurusdd, I´m qouting this interesting post for the third time. What i find interesting is your ranking of the problem areas. To my Eyes there´s a problem also at 1.3371-1.3379. If you also recognise a problem at that area, what rank would you give it? Best Regards Waez
The time component is very important in matters of this sort. If you ask me whether the current target of eurusd is 1.3379, I will say my calculation gives that number <0.01 since I have 1.32700 with probability 0.01. So, that number is not the current target according to the current probabilities.

That will be a <1% event!!!

But there is a problem on the daily chart at 1.3430 and that one is above your number. so, daily wise it is strong!!! I am keeping my eyes on that one and careful to avoid following the flock down there. But right now, we have a direction.
  • #7,166
  • Aug 28, 2014 1:12am Aug 28, 2014 1:12am
Hy, all. I know this isn't the place to make this question but I see no other means to contact eurusd, so sorry everyone for bringing up the question here.
Eurusd, what is your stance on binary options? Regarding your thread with data strings sometimes we can predict the color of the next bar with high probability and considering the returns in binary options if we can do this correct more often than not, in specific percentage of course, we can make all the money we need in no time.
  • #7,167
  • Aug 28, 2014 1:52am Aug 28, 2014 1:52am
Quoting Eurusdd
This up has cracks. On the following time-frames, we have cracks at 1min @ 1.32133 5min @ 1.32137 15min @ 1.32127 30min @ 1.32127 60min @ 1.32155 Therefore the following probabilities have been generated!!! Price movement and closing probabilities going forward.!!! >1.32700 = 0.01 >1.32370 = 0.30 =1.32155 = 1.00 <1.32000 = 0.85 <1.31900 = 0.55 What do these numbers mean? At the time the numbers were calculated the current price always has probability 1. To have an idea of where price will go, One has to look at other price levels above or below...
hi Eurusdd,

first of all thank you for all the knowledge you shared with us, i really appreciate it.helped me to see the market differently.

could you give a hint on how you calculate these probabilities. i know you calculate them with Markov model but i think i missed something for developing the state diagram and i know about your dna and all but i have some difficulties to put them together.i would appreciate if you could give me a hint here.
  • #7,168
  • Aug 28, 2014 1:53am Aug 28, 2014 1:53am
Quoting Eurusdd
This up has cracks. On the following time-frames, we have cracks at 1min @ 1.32133 5min @ 1.32137 15min @ 1.32127 30min @ 1.32127 60min @ 1.32155 Therefore the following probabilities have been generated!!! Price movement and closing probabilities going forward.!!! >1.32700 = 0.01 >1.32370 = 0.30 =1.32155 = 1.00 <1.32000 = 0.85 <1.31900 = 0.55 What do these numbers mean? At the time the numbers were calculated the current price always has probability 1. To have an idea of where price will go, One has to look at other price levels above or below...
Thanks a lot Eurusdd. At your example you begin the calculation at 1.32155. Can we do calculation at any price/any time, or it must be at certain level?
  • #7,169
  • Aug 28, 2014 2:20am Aug 28, 2014 2:20am
Quoting pooyan2012
{quote} hi Eurusdd, first of all thank you for all the knowledge you shared with us, i really appreciate it.helped me to see the market differently. could you give a hint on how you calculate these probabilities. i know you calculate them with Markov model but i think i missed something for developing the state diagram and i know about your dna and all but i have some difficulties to put them together.i would appreciate if you could give me a hint here.
Yeah you are right. Binary options is easy for me but I don't like the returns. Most of them are "you put X in and get 0.8X if you win". That is not so nice! That means you have to be really good. with my record of no three losses in a row, it can be done. Anyway, whatever I have done here is a test case. I am sharing 20% of what I know with more intelligent people!
  • #7,170
  • Aug 28, 2014 2:27am Aug 28, 2014 2:27am
No, the probabilities are not generated for every price level but NODES in the price flow that are generated using the similarity principle. Once the numbers start to pop up on the different time frames, like the picture below shows, we have a node and then we can calculate whether it will attract or repel price.

Right now 1.32155 is repulsive. it is EXPECTED to push price down..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 8 KB
  • #7,171
  • Aug 28, 2014 2:38am Aug 28, 2014 2:38am
Quoting samaralala
1.32185 significant resistance and where i plan to sell once more.
Nice call mate

I am short at 131.12 my stop are now at BE!

Good luck
  • #7,172
  • Aug 28, 2014 2:42am Aug 28, 2014 2:42am
Any down will be restricted above 1.31761, a repulsive price level. This restriction will be in place for the next 678 mins.
  • #7,173
  • Aug 28, 2014 2:52am Aug 28, 2014 2:52am
Russians military invasion of Ukraine ( NEWS) has taken place? Some town under Russian control. I think this is important.
If you fall, I shall be there. - The floor
  • #7,174
  • Aug 28, 2014 3:01am Aug 28, 2014 3:01am
1.31900, main target taken. Be careful following further on!!! That node is complete.
  • #7,175
  • Aug 28, 2014 3:03am Aug 28, 2014 3:03am
nice call hehe grab a few pips and got out.
Pivot Boss in the making~
  • #7,176
  • Aug 28, 2014 3:10am Aug 28, 2014 3:10am
Quoting Eurusdd
1.31900, main target taken. Be careful following further on!!! That node is complete.
Do you mean following UP or DOWN? I am highly bias now for continuation of downtrend that's all?
If you fall, I shall be there. - The floor
  • #7,177
  • Aug 28, 2014 3:17am Aug 28, 2014 3:17am
Quoting Eurusdd
1.31900, main target taken. Be careful following further on!!! That node is complete.
I think we should get back down to 1.3176

Will it reach the 13167 again?
  • #7,178
  • Aug 28, 2014 3:20am Aug 28, 2014 3:20am
Quoting Eurusdd
Any down will be restricted above 1.31761, a repulsive price level. This restriction will be in place for the next 678 mins.
Exactly where it stopped. Nice Work. Can News PUSH it or is this controlled by some higher force?
If you fall, I shall be there. - The floor
  • #7,179
  • Aug 28, 2014 3:22am Aug 28, 2014 3:22am
Quoting samaralala
{quote} Do you mean following UP or DOWN? I am highly bias now for continuation of downtrend that's all?
For me, once a node is complete I am done. anything else is extra. Just be care, 1.31765 +/- 10 pips is a dedicate level. You could see your profit erased! I will take profit now or reduce exposure!!!


EURUSD is expected tp end the 600 mins above that number. so take or give 10 pips
  • #7,180
  • Aug 28, 2014 3:25am Aug 28, 2014 3:25am
Quoting Eurusdd
{quote}For me, once a node is complete I am done. anything else is extra. Just be care, 1.31765 +/- 10 pips is a dedicate level. You could see your profit erased! I will take profit now or reduce exposure!!! EURUSD is expected tp end the 600 mins above that number. so take or give 10 pips

next 600 min will end above 1.3176?
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