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EURUSD

  • #902,501
  • Jun 4, 2014 11:28pm Jun 4, 2014 11:28pm
so...what's up today....the big day? or just more smoke in the eyes of the traders?
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #902,502
  • Jun 4, 2014 11:33pm Jun 4, 2014 11:33pm
Quoting milam
so...what's up today....the big day? or just more smoke in the eyes of the traders?
big day imo
  • #902,503
  • Jun 4, 2014 11:37pm Jun 4, 2014 11:37pm
that small upside move took price to test the Daily-PP & H4-R2 level but has no follow thru power yet
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #902,504
  • Jun 4, 2014 11:41pm Jun 4, 2014 11:41pm
Inserted Video


Letīs Get Ready To Rumble, Mario!
  • #902,505
  • Jun 4, 2014 11:45pm Jun 4, 2014 11:45pm
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} big day imo
so, is it going to go a lot down?
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #902,506
  • Jun 4, 2014 11:46pm Jun 4, 2014 11:46pm
Quoting MaxDoom
that small upside move took price to test the Daily-PP & H4-R2 level but has no follow thru power yet {image}
reason to be bear: 1, 2, 3......I'll be waiting


Inserted Video
  • #902,507
  • Jun 4, 2014 11:47pm Jun 4, 2014 11:47pm
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} The wife is wearing them at the moment so clearing them will be beyond Draghi {image}
Morning champ...!
  • #902,508
  • Jun 4, 2014 11:50pm Jun 4, 2014 11:50pm
Quoting bonnzi
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ENCkTnID2rs Letīs Get Ready To Rumble, Mario!
Bon

Behave!
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #902,509
  • Jun 4, 2014 11:52pm Jun 4, 2014 11:52pm
Quoting math_GB
{quote} Morning champ...!
ah there you are, keep off me shorts
  • #902,510
  • Jun 4, 2014 11:59pm Jun 4, 2014 11:59pm
Quoting milam
{quote} so, is it going to go a lot down?
well we both know that depends on Draghi but I am looking at today's action like this:

biggest anticipated news day since volatility started to return to EU

1) New measures taken = negative for euro
2) No new measures = negative for ECB and negative for euro - because EZ needs measures and ECB will have failed to deliver

a) Probability that large volume positions already established = high
b) Probability that liquidity will be pulled just prior to event = very high (removal of order from market)
c) Probability that (b) will allow and happen spikes prior to event = very high
d) probability of eventual direction being downward continuation = high
e) probability of eventual direction being upside = low

imo
  • #902,511
  • Jun 5, 2014 12:06am Jun 5, 2014 12:06am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} well we both know that depends on Draghi but I am looking at today's action like this: biggest anticipated news day since volatility started to return to EU 1) New measures taken = negative for euro 2) No new measures = negative for ECB and negative for euro - because EZ needs measures and ECB will have failed to deliver a) Probability that large volume positions already established = high b) Probability that liquidity will be pulled just prior to event = very high (removal of order from market) c) Probability that (b) will allow and happen...
ok, thank for sharing.....
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #902,512
  • Jun 5, 2014 12:06am Jun 5, 2014 12:06am
German's Factory Order M/M was 200% better than the forecast. Why is E/U still not going up? What do they want?

Every other pairs/USD are all going up so that means USD is weakening and only EU is going three steps up and then huge steps back down. Better be just the cross traders playing. Otherwise this PA is so stupid that it doesn't make sense. I am going to bed. Tired of this crap.
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #902,513
  • Jun 5, 2014 12:08am Jun 5, 2014 12:08am
Quoting Forexia
German's Factory Order M/M was 200% better than the forecast. Why is E/U still not going up? What do they want? Every other pairs/USD are all going up so that means USD is weakening and only EU is going e steps up and then huge step back down. This PA is so stupid that it doesn't make sense. I am going to bed. Tired of this crap.
EU is much bigger than Germany and Germany is not the problem part. Di d you see the French unemployment number this morning still 10.1% not good at all as one of the better countries in the EU make up etc etc

and not to mention I doubt anybody is willing to put large enough orders in to move the market up this morning prior to the news that over shadows the day
  • #902,514
  • Jun 5, 2014 12:09am Jun 5, 2014 12:09am
Quoting Forexia
German's Factory Order M/M was 200% better than the forecast. Why is E/U still not going up? What do they want? Every other pairs/USD are all going up so that means USD is weakening and only EU is going e steps up and then huge step back down. This PA is so stupid that it doesn't make sense. I am going to bed. Tired of this crap.
You are acting like someone coming to the grand opening of a famous Concert, and complaining a street musician on your way to the opera, is not playing nice ...
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #902,515
  • Jun 5, 2014 12:14am Jun 5, 2014 12:14am
I'll run naked on the streets if interested rate is adjusted.
  • #902,516
  • Jun 5, 2014 12:15am Jun 5, 2014 12:15am
Here is what I think it will happen:

1) Before ECB news euro shoots up in a "what-the-fuck-is-going-on" fashion, taking out a lot of short-term stops
2) ECB cuts rates announces some form of easing, algos read it as a sell, spike is lower.
3) ECB doens't cut depo to negative
4) Euro retraces all the spike lower to trade to the high of the days as short-covering ensues
6 ECB press conference begins:
__i) ECB doesn't show any solid plan for the future, euro rallys higher taking the day high.
__ii) ECB shows a long-term plan on a easing cycle, euro goes lower to new lows.
  • #902,517
  • Jun 5, 2014 12:27am Jun 5, 2014 12:27am
Quoting emmalee25
Here is what I think it will happen: 1) Before ECB news euro shoots up in a "what-the-fuck-is-going-on" fashion, taking out a lot of short-term stops 2) ECB cuts rates announces some form of easing, algos read it as a sell, spike is lower. 3) ECB doens't cut depo to negative 4) Euro retraces all the spike lower to trade to the high of the days as short-covering ensues 6 ECB press conference begins: __i) ECB doesn't show any solid plan for the future, euro rallys higher taking the day high. __ii) ECB shows a long-term plan on a easing cycle, euro...
Whatever measure Draghi will come out with it will take time for the market to digest. During the digestion, PA can only do what it does best which is dropping or consolidating...real direction will show in the next few days imo
  • #902,518
  • Jun 5, 2014 12:31am Jun 5, 2014 12:31am
Where is fatpanda? ...he is always preaching 1.33333

doesnt matter if price is at 1.40 or 1.20
fokyou forexfactory
  • #902,519
  • Jun 5, 2014 12:33am Jun 5, 2014 12:33am
i think the gap will be filled till end of june
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  • #902,520
  • Jun 5, 2014 12:50am Jun 5, 2014 12:50am
However I bought the EU, EJ and GJ now

Attached EU M15
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