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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #44,221
  • Mar 18, 2014 8:02am Mar 18, 2014 8:02am
Quoting atx_sonu
{quote} EJ bounced and back. Ahh my head hurts!. I'm hoping this would be the FINAL FIGHT of 101.2 . Shorted it again from 101.53 don't know why but just did SL 102.00.
If you are feeling the heat well.... you are in profit now.
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #44,222
  • Mar 18, 2014 8:35am Mar 18, 2014 8:35am
Oh Yen.... Trading like a WTF... currency these days...
Trade what you see, not what you think!
  • #44,223
  • Mar 18, 2014 9:28am Mar 18, 2014 9:28am
Quoting Exodus
{quote} If you are feeling the heat well.... you are in profit now.
Had given back to YEN many many times before.... In recovery mode right now. about 25 pips in so far, not comfortable with fomc tomorrow. EJ and GJ are in position to go long. What's your thoughts?
  • #44,224
  • Mar 18, 2014 10:03am Mar 18, 2014 10:03am
Quoting atx_sonu
{quote} Had given back to YEN many many times before.... In recovery mode right now. about 25 pips in so far, not comfortable with fomc tomorrow. EJ and GJ are in position to go long. What's your thoughts?
I am long UJ and EJ. Scalped some pips on UJ today. I trade small and run long.

America currently trying to provoke CCCP imho, provided they don't succeed all is well.

Japanese are buying Euro-bonds so pressure on EJ is bullish; EZ balance of trade is +ve so more bullish pressure.
Tomorrow Janet will tighten QE some more (my bet) and US$ get stronger again, we could really use a lift on the Nikkei...

UJ sitting above 101.2 at the moment, if that fails I see 100.3 next. I believe the BoJ will not let UJ go below 100.
UJ direction goes into question if Japan abandons gas-powered electricity and returns to Nuclear.
However a number of Japanese industries are repatriating (some) production on the basis that UJ remains above 100.
More jobs give strength to Abe's push toward 2% inflation in Japan.
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #44,225
  • Mar 18, 2014 12:31pm Mar 18, 2014 12:31pm
Target 101.13 now. There is a hidden divergence on M30 and H1. The downtrend continues
  • #44,226
  • Mar 18, 2014 1:27pm Mar 18, 2014 1:27pm
We'll see about that, thole
  • #44,227
  • Mar 18, 2014 3:25pm Mar 18, 2014 3:25pm
Do y'all think the Gov Kuroda Speech will stir up some volatility tonight or not likely?
He who knows when he can fight and when he cannot, will be victorious.
  • #44,228
  • Mar 18, 2014 4:45pm Mar 18, 2014 4:45pm
Quoting hathor
{quote} Hi iyas120! Is that an indicator (which shows some lower timeframe)? Would you tell me the name of it?
Hi hathor.. i get the indicator from http://pipware.com , right now i still using MT4 ver 509 so it still work, on >600 it doesn't work this is the thread on FF http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...&goto=lastpost
  • #44,229
  • Mar 18, 2014 8:07pm Mar 18, 2014 8:07pm
I see a nice bullish divergence.
Trend is still bearish. Can see a move up until it hits a resistance.

Trade with caution and stop loss.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #44,230
  • Mar 18, 2014 8:37pm Mar 18, 2014 8:37pm
Here is a chart I am following at the moment, JPY is generally considered a risky pair for me however I am a hypocrit I guess because last week I was Full on with CAD,EUR,andUSD - JPY and this week NZDJPY. lol Looks like price seems to be holding up this level lower 87's quite nicely. Also makes a rising channel fit the picture as the rejection. We have lots of support near 87, 86.90 and 86.70 to go before anything fun happens. I am looking to get in back short with the JPY crosses.

Just noting it now, todays high made a perfect swing to the 61 fib level and is now pushing lower. Problem for me here is very ranging conditions which makes it hard for S/R traders. Hope everyone is having a good week so far.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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All posts are my personal opinion
  • #44,231
  • Mar 18, 2014 9:02pm Mar 18, 2014 9:02pm
Quoting Exodus
{quote} I am long UJ and EJ. Scalped some pips on UJ today. I trade small and run long. America currently trying to provoke CCCP imho, provided they don't succeed all is well. Japanese are buying Euro-bonds so pressure on EJ is bullish; EZ balance of trade is +ve so more bullish pressure. Tomorrow Janet will tighten QE some more (my bet) and US$ get stronger again, we could really use a lift on the Nikkei... UJ sitting above 101.2 at the moment, if that fails I see 100.3 next. I believe the BoJ will not let UJ go below 100. UJ direction goes into...
Im not much on the fundamentals. It is very hard to absord all the news. Yup i also got 100.3 UJ has been screwing a lot for the past month and half, on the other hand EJ is moving nicely on the daily chart. UJ is still sitting on 101.3, going to see what london brings to this pair . if nothing happens gonna move my SL to BE for fomc . Thank you for your input .
  • #44,232
  • Mar 18, 2014 9:18pm Mar 18, 2014 9:18pm
any link to the Gov Kuroda Speech?
  • #44,233
  • Mar 19, 2014 6:02am Mar 19, 2014 6:02am
If the FOMC tapers further, do you guys think USD/JPY will go higher or lower?
  • #44,234
  • Mar 19, 2014 6:38am Mar 19, 2014 6:38am
Quoting lhet
If the FOMC tapers further, do you guys think USD/JPY will go higher or lower?
More than $10b taper, negative
$10b taper, sideways and will look for other events
No Taper Positive for Yen.
  • #44,235
  • Mar 19, 2014 8:36am Mar 19, 2014 8:36am
Quoting lhet
If the FOMC tapers further, do you guys think USD/JPY will go higher or lower?
If more than $10 bln taper is announced, then USD/JPY will prob. go higher as that's not expected by the market which only knows and expects $10 Bln taper atm.
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #44,236
  • Edited 10:17am Mar 19, 2014 8:57am | Edited 10:17am
Quoting iyas120
{quote} Hi hathor.. i get the indicator from http://pipware.com , right now i still using MT4 ver 509 so it still work, on >600 it doesn't work this is the thread on FF http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...&goto=lastpost
Thanks!
f(z)=z2+c
  • #44,237
  • Mar 19, 2014 9:59am Mar 19, 2014 9:59am
Thanks! @Noob_Trader and Forexia
  • #44,238
  • Mar 19, 2014 10:22am Mar 19, 2014 10:22am
UJ
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #44,239
  • Mar 19, 2014 10:52am Mar 19, 2014 10:52am
someones going to lose their job if this fomc smashes the dollar
Do what's right for you
  • #44,240
  • Mar 19, 2014 11:23am Mar 19, 2014 11:23am
Quoting dashlat
UJ {image}
Highly unlikely scenario
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