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EURUSD

  • #834,561
  • Sep 12, 2013 3:16am Sep 12, 2013 3:16am
EURJPY Bias is Long for 2 reasons.

If it fails it's looking at 130
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Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #834,562
  • Sep 12, 2013 3:29am Sep 12, 2013 3:29am
mini sp500 1694.40 next . point
  • #834,563
  • Sep 12, 2013 3:36am Sep 12, 2013 3:36am


http://gallery.mailchimp.com/a787fd5...ail_header.jpg
The Limits of Bluffing
September 11, 2013 | 0738 GMT
http://www.stratfor.com/sites/defaul...?itok=TMovO4fI

U.S. President Barack Obama's address to the nation Tuesday evening hit all the expected points.
The president tried to articulate how an unanswered chemical weapons attack would impact U.S. national security, and he shed a bit more light on the intelligence that the United States has collected to link the regime to the attack. He also tried to define a limited U.S. strike as strong enough to hurt the regime, but not so damaging that the United States would be left to clean up the aftermath. To tie it off, the president made a moral argument rooted in American exceptionalism to rally a skeptical Congress. In spite of these efforts, the U.S. administration remains trapped in the same growing web of bluffs it was in before Obama delivered this message.
These bluffs have marked the turning points of the Syria crisis thus far. Bluffing is an age-old tactic in diplomacy. When faced with limited options, it can be a very powerful tool, if employed properly. As Machiavelli advised five centuries ago, "It is very wise to simulate madness at the right time." Indeed, a bluff timed with precision at a high pressure point that achieves the desired result without firing a single shot can transform a mediocre name in political history into a legacy overnight. That said, it would be difficult to impress Machiavelli with the bluffs used so far in the context of the Syria crisis.
Obama made the first bluff last August during the final campaign stretch for his re-election. Speculation had re-emerged over a strike on Iranian nuclear facilities, and Israel was trying to pressure Obama to draw a red line on Syria's alleged small-scale use of chemical weapons in July 2012 and Iran's continued pursuit of nuclear weapons. At the time, Obama could have reasonably concluded that there was a low probability of an embattled Syrian regime risking foreign intervention by carrying out a large-scale chemical weapons attack when it could still rely on its conventional forces to battle the rebels. But just one year later, the regime appears to have called Obama’s bluff and deployed chemical weapons in sizable amounts.
With the credibility of U.S. ultimatums at stake, not just for Syria, but for any power willing to challenge Washington, Obama needed to cobble together a coalition in haste, but he found out that even his impassioned allies, in Europe as well as in Congress, were losing their enthusiasm for military intervention.
Then came Russia's grand bluff. Russian President Vladimir Putin saw an opportunity to assert Russia as a great power with the influence to make the United States bend and its allies quiver. Moscow's bluff came in the form of a well-timed proposal to secure, seize and destroy Syria’s chemical weapons stockpiles. To the relief of many, the move actually seemed to extinguish the military threat to Syria. In reality, Russia's proposal was a non-starter. Sending hundreds of U.N. inspectors and technicians to secure 1,000 metric tons of chemical weapons stockpiles spread across at least 50 sites in a country embroiled in a brutal civil war is a long, arduous and highly complicated process – a mission that would require ground troops at a time when no country, not even Russia, appears prepared to take that risk. Still, the proposal sounded good enough for the White House and its European allies to apply the brakes to the military option and shift to the diplomatic route.
Now it is time for the United States to call the Russian bluff on the proposal. When U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry goes to Geneva on Thursday to meet with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, he will press him on the details of the proposal in an attempt to poke holes in the plan with the world watching. Russia will try to show that an ambitious diplomatic endeavor of this nature cannot be rushed, and certainly cannot be sabotaged with American threats of military action or threats from France to send Bashar al Assad to the Hague. The United States can put off a U.N. Security Council meeting to avoid negotiating with Russia over a watered down resolution, but it cannot meet a Russian demand to take the military option off the table. If Obama wants to preserve any credibility in this crisis, he must maintain a credible military threat if and when the diplomatic proposal flops.
Russia can always distance itself from fault if U.N. members refuse to commit ground troops to the operation or if the United States tries to cast the Russian proposal as a delay tactic unworthy of further consideration. Obama, however, will be left with the inevitable choice of backing out of a military campaign or proceeding with a limited strike based on a stale premise and possibly without the full endorsement of Congress. At some point, the bluffing game will run its course. The final move in this game will go to Obama, and no matter what moves have been made in the meantime, he'll still probably be looking at a weak hand.
  • #834,564
  • Sep 12, 2013 3:41am Sep 12, 2013 3:41am
Quoting John Gray
USDJPY. Bounce off Market Close Support, targeting 101 upper TL of channel. {image}
mater of time it will be taken out down site looks brighter for short time
Mohan
  • #834,565
  • Sep 12, 2013 3:41am Sep 12, 2013 3:41am
Mini sp500 16.00 hours. time lisbon will touch 1704.40
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  • #834,566
  • Sep 12, 2013 3:51am Sep 12, 2013 3:51am
Quoting hadox
{quote} nice entry kiwi, I'm looking for some action at 1.325x/6x area , what are you aiming for?

sorry bro had to go out, but now she is below the rising tl I am in sell rally mode, right now last hour printed doji so waiting for this hour to confirm, didn't want that there, but it could be a sucker doji,, we will see soon, rising 50 sma 1hr holding up show for now don't forget got super Mario in 40mins
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #834,567
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:24am Sep 12, 2013 4:24am
Rough outlooks, subject to change via PA. Sorry for the child-like drawings.
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  • #834,568
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:28am Sep 12, 2013 4:28am
Quoting mohan76
{quote} mater of time it will be taken out down site looks brighter for short time
Taken down meaning..?
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #834,569
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:30am Sep 12, 2013 4:30am
Here it is now, all seems bad for euro, and come this man, give his speech, and suddenly euro seems so bright. They really love playing god, don't they?
Don't blame the tools. Blame the carpenter.
  • #834,570
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:30am Sep 12, 2013 4:30am
Quoting KecoaKecil
Here it is now, all seems bad for euro, and come this man, give his speech, and suddenly euro seems so bright. They really love playing god, don't they?
And the market follows.
Even the worst trade can close with profit. Just give it time.
  • #834,571
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:31am Sep 12, 2013 4:31am
wondering if we'll have another low.. although it seems to be bought atm.. maybe that's the plan..
  • #834,572
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:33am Sep 12, 2013 4:33am
Quoting attila
wondering if we'll have another low.. although it seems to be bought atm.. maybe that's the plan..
too funny..
  • #834,573
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:36am Sep 12, 2013 4:36am
I guess 3232 could be a near target atm before we continue our upside move... watch it closely...
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #834,574
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:37am Sep 12, 2013 4:37am
GU H1

Chanced a cable long here for a new high
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  • #834,575
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:37am Sep 12, 2013 4:37am
Quoting attila
{quote} too funny..
They just make candles
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #834,576
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:38am Sep 12, 2013 4:38am
Quoting Avir
{quote} They just make candles
candles.. candles.. candles.. they don't matter..
  • #834,577
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:39am Sep 12, 2013 4:39am
Quoting hoom
I guess 3232 could be a near target atm before we continue our upside move... watch it closely...
not a time for guess if don't know for sure stay on sideline and wait this knuckle head Italian to finish blabbering, market will have no logic in 1min
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #834,578
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:41am Sep 12, 2013 4:41am
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} not a time for guess if don't know for sure stay on sideline and wait this knuckle head Italian to finish blabbering, market will have no logic in 1min
on wire
Mohan
  • #834,579
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:41am Sep 12, 2013 4:41am
I think we are in for a short squeeze again. chf is still getting bought. don't like the way usd/chf is reacting
  • #834,580
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:42am Sep 12, 2013 4:42am
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} not a time for guess if don't know for sure stay on sideline and wait this knuckle head Italian to finish blabbering, market will have no logic in 1min
you mean dragass?
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