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  • #821
  • Jun 25, 2013 5:33am Jun 25, 2013 5:33am
GONE LONG usd/y 97.57 and s/l 97.40, call me stupid
  • #822
  • Jun 25, 2013 5:35am Jun 25, 2013 5:35am
Quoting Cecil Gee
GONE LONG usd/y 97.57 and s/l 97.40, call me stupid
can't ignore what the options are looked like when i said a volatile break out is due on the yen

edit; need to test that theory to satisfy my mind
  • #823
  • Jun 25, 2013 7:03am Jun 25, 2013 7:03am
RUT - BUY vertical spread to close 10m after the open with 50% of my original target.
I have many doubts about go more high today.


thanks for the info of earning calendar.

For today maybe fade the gaps in LEN if go higher.
BAC maybe spread Iron condor for premiun?
TESLA Iron condor sell for premiun ?
I start my analisys of R/R.
  • #824
  • Edited 11:31am Jun 25, 2013 7:42am | Edited 11:31am
Quoting successlife
RUT - BUY vertical spread to close 10m after the open with 50% of my original target. I have many doubts about go more high today. thanks for the info of earning calendar. For today maybe fade the gaps in LEN if go higher. BAC maybe spread Iron condor for premiun? TESLA Iron condor sell for premiun ? I start my analisys of R/R.
TESLA has been a stout sumbitch, I think it will fall this year though.

I am in the red on both trades I took yesterday, SDS w puts just atm, I need a couple good riskon days and a dip well below $42 to see good profit. Will hold til tomorrow at least. Jul NUGT calls, meh, I thought we'd get a gold bounce before the next leg down, if asia settles down we could see better gold buying. Good to see the 10yr note acting crazy again, I want to see TLT dip into $107.xx...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #825
  • Jun 25, 2013 7:49am Jun 25, 2013 7:49am
Quoting successlife
RUT - BUY vertical spread to close 10m after the open with 50% of my original target. I have many doubts about go more high today. thanks for the info of earning calendar. For today maybe fade the gaps in LEN if go higher. BAC maybe spread Iron condor for premiun? TESLA Iron condor sell for premiun ? I start my analisys of R/R.

After analisys BAC-TSLA dont works for premium right now.
I wach LEN for vertical CALL spread for SELL at 38/39 for premiun
Reward I post in 30c. (not fill now) Risk 70c.
25 day for expire - 70% profit Vs 30% max loses.
The only problem is Volatility is not in optimal level now
i will see maybe for debit spread.-
  • #826
  • Edited 8:10am Jun 25, 2013 8:00am | Edited 8:10am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} , I want to see TLT dip into $107.xx...
Good target at 97-95
For now the problem is bounce 200 SMA (weekly chart)
I add to my list IF broken and close bellow SMA200.-
  • #827
  • Edited 11:49am Jun 25, 2013 11:30am | Edited 11:49am
Quoting successlife
{quote} Good target at 97-95 For now the problem is bounce 200 SMA (weekly chart) I add to my list IF broken and close bellow SMA200.-
IF TLT would boogie down that low I'd be a pig in slop. Would mean 10yr rate @3.5% or more. Just a matter of time, prolly too much time for me.

Not feeling too sure about any multiday rally action, need to see asian markets rally...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #828
  • Jun 25, 2013 11:35am Jun 25, 2013 11:35am
Quote
Not feeling to sure about any multiday rally action, need to see asian markets rally

Can you explain litle more about your perception about how use asian markets ?

thanks in advance.
  • #829
  • Jun 25, 2013 11:46am Jun 25, 2013 11:46am
Quoting successlife
{quote} Can you explain litle more about your perception about how use asian markets ? thanks in advance.
I don't have hard and fast rules there, but I am watching the asian markets now because there has been an apparent surge in perceived systemic risk associated with the Chinese interbank lending situation. I am looking for that to pass and for some apparent heavy riskon sentiment to return to the asian markets and, if that comes to pass, a related effect in the western markets.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #830
  • Jun 25, 2013 1:15pm Jun 25, 2013 1:15pm
Quoting The Fool
I am in the red on both trades I took yesterday, SDS w puts just atm, I need a couple good riskon days and a dip well below $42 to see good profit. Will hold til tomorrow at least. Jul NUGT calls, meh, I thought we'd get a gold bounce before the next leg down, if asia settles down we could see better gold buying. Good to see the 10yr note acting crazy again, I want to see TLT dip into $107.xx...
SDS puts turned around with a nice $0.82 drop in the underlying (with a .95% rise in the S&P, SDS returns the inverse leveraged 2x, so it dropped 1.8+%), puts went to $0.28, just need Asia to settle down and another green day in the S&P tomorrow and SDS puts could make 200% roi. Nice to see after hours TLT dropped to $107.76, matching the 52-week low...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #831
  • Jun 25, 2013 1:39pm Jun 25, 2013 1:39pm
eyeing natgas, UNG dipped under $19.50 today, I am looking for long entries mid/late summer to $18.xx...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #832
  • Jun 25, 2013 2:09pm Jun 25, 2013 2:09pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} can't ignore what the options are looked like when i said a volatile break out is due on the yen edit; need to test that theory to satisfy my mind
not quite sure what you were onto there. good breakout moves can be caught anytime, kind of a stairstep setup on e/u now - step at about 1.3215, next treader at 1.1310 m/l, so short entry might be 1.313x, stop at 1.315x, catch the next leg down. I can recall many times these steps up/down running for 500+ pips. If we can keep alive the show of strength in the US economy then USD strength could break e/u 1.30 b4 the end of next week. Jobs numbers next week will be critical, the Most Important NFP of Our Times, no, wait that was last month...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #833
  • Jun 25, 2013 4:53pm Jun 25, 2013 4:53pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} not quite sure what you were onto there. good breakout moves can be caught anytime, kind of a stairstep setup on e/u now - step at about 1.3215, next treader at 1.1310 m/l, so short entry might be 1.313x, stop at 1.315x, catch the next leg down. I can recall many times these steps up/down running for 500+ pips. If we can keep alive the show of strength in the US economy then USD strength could break e/u 1.30 b4 the end of next week. Jobs numbers next week will be critical, the Most Important NFP of Our Times, no, wait that was last month...
just testing a options strategy to use in currencies
  • #834
  • Jun 25, 2013 4:55pm Jun 25, 2013 4:55pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
GONE LONG usd/y 97.57 and s/l 97.40, call me stupid
stops moved to 97.66, still no options breakout on this usd/y
  • #835
  • Edited 8:43pm Jun 25, 2013 7:06pm | Edited 8:43pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} stops moved to 97.66, still no options breakout on this usd/y
gold is breaking though, $1,260 I see in asian trade, I would sell DUST otm puts if I had the free equity, it will prolly see $150 tomorrow if gold can't bounce

gold lookin to break $1,240 now...holycrap gold can't catch a bid! who is selling all their yellow metal? Gotta be a rebound somewhere?!!
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #836
  • Jun 26, 2013 2:05am Jun 26, 2013 2:05am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} gold is breaking though, $1,260 I see in asian trade, I would sell DUST otm puts if I had the free equity, it will prolly see $150 tomorrow if gold can't bounce gold lookin to break $1,240 now...holycrap gold can't catch a bid! who is selling all their yellow metal? Gotta be a rebound somewhere?!!
didn't see this coming so soon in the week, still haven't got a option trade on. Also s/o on usd/y for +8 pips
  • #837
  • Jun 26, 2013 2:11am Jun 26, 2013 2:11am
I'm cconsidering 3 trades today all puts, google / lvs/ c. may have to wait until near close of trading day
  • #838
  • Jun 26, 2013 2:49am Jun 26, 2013 2:49am
gold falling hard

http://www.cnbc.com/id/100843675
  • #839
  • Jun 26, 2013 3:46am Jun 26, 2013 3:46am
Quoting Cecil Gee
I'm cconsidering 3 trades today all puts, google / lvs/ c. may have to wait until near close of trading day
Add TLT to that too
  • #840
  • Jun 26, 2013 4:07am Jun 26, 2013 4:07am
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} Add TLT to that too
If i can get TLT $107 put for around 12c or under then i'll buy, may have to wait until tomorrow. TLT is trading higher in pre market 108.44.. I would like it to trade under yesterday close of 107.88 later today to make that purchase if option price is met. The option closed for 40c so i need some time decay to take place today

iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treas Bond (TLT)
-NYSEArca
107.88Jun 25, 4:00PM EDT|Pre-Market : 108.44http://l.yimg.com/os/mit/media/m/bas...nt-1093278.png 0.56 (0.52%) 4:50AM EDT - Nasdaq Real Time Price
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