My Strategy Test Based On Cycles Study

Great thread by the way, I use market cycles as well, however i get my cycles from the weekly chart and would recommend you check that out as well with your formula.. Just wait for an opposing engulfing after 5 to 9 candles in one direction to get a possible move in a different cycle whether bearish or bullish.. Often the next cycle may move nearly as long as previous move so shows cycles easy with just looking at the candles..

This engulfing strategy often helps pick up cycles that i shared below.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=418199

Have a nice day..

Thanks Tinny79.. Your strategy looks like the combination of De Mark Sequential with a Candle Stick Strategy to confirm bottom or top of cycles...Reasonable strategy! Why you limited your strategy with Weekly TF?

Hey Again,

I use similar on 4 hour and Daily.. Just less pips on those time frames.. I also trade the h4 and Daily.. ( Occasionally 1 hour.. )

That is just one of my strategies, the weekly, i was referring the cycle of time is seen easily on weekly on longer term.. As an example EURAUD commonly trends one direction 2 to 3 months and then the other direction 2 to 3 months.. 2 months bull, 2 months bears.. Cycles on the 1 hour are moves within one weekly candle.. Like a cycle within a long term cycle in a way..

Regards,

Understand the idea. Fixed cycles are not always fixed. Often distortions occurs, some cycles disappears and new ones comes out by time.. It can be useful to have such confirmation patterns... Thank you for the information

EUR/USD

1h Astro


1h Fixed


5m Astro

 

1. Momentum have not yet confirmed latest top but strong drop in momentum
2. Fixed and 5m Astro Cycles show higher top in Asian season where 1h Astro cycle already made top
3. Rally from 1.2789 looks to give at least a break soon.

GBP/USD

1h Astro


1h Fixed


5m Astro

 

1. Situation is similar with EUR/USD but Cable looks weaker
2. Drop from 1.5757 looks impulsive. So we could have already seen the final top

EUR/GBP

1H Astro

1H Fixed

5m Fixed

 

1. I feel that we are near top here too. However situation confuse my mind when i look EUR/USD and GBP/USD because i expect one more top on Euro while Cable looks weaker
2. 1H chart momentum already dramaticlly drop before 0.8494 top

Tomorrow Strategy

1. EUR/USD current price movement look like a triangle formation which is common on the 4th wave formation of EW. (May be the only useful formation in EW along with ending diagonal and 5 wave movements patterns) This also enable us to make a top estimation from TRUST
2. So I will move my TP down to 1.2870
3. GBP/USD will go down around one days as cycles prediction. However 1m divergence inspire a correction. I will try a short order around 1.5145
4. EUR/GBP I favor down move for tomorrow. Shorting worth trying

EUR/USD

Daily


Hourly



5m


Strategy

1. On daily chart pink astro composite index still shows upside but some flat
2. Interestingly in 1H astro chart gree line which shows up/down movements index which i expect to show volatility better fit the movement so far. Possible low around 14:00-16:00 UTC+2
3. No divergence on 1h chart so far to look for down move
4. Another bottom but this time from fixed cycles around 16:00 UTC+2
   

I will consider short trade set-up around 7:00 or 8:00 UTC+2 but my main focus will be long trade just before the US session starts. May be a pending order that could be triggered by Non Farm Employment data

GBP/USD

Daily

1h


5m


Strategy

1. My Astro Indexes does not seems anogh accurate to trade after today. Daily low became considerably earlier then i expected and fixed cycles rather weak on accuracy.

I will just watch this market tomorrow. I hope I can do this

EUR/GBP

1d

1h


5m


Strategy

 

1. On daily chart pink astro composite index already signalled bounce top. Red top/bottom index gave turning signal today. So we should see lower prices tomorrow. However bullish situation of EUR/USD is again confusing like yesterday.
2. 1h charts remove some of the confusion because both fixed and astro charts predicts top in Asian season and bottom around 16:00-18:00 UTC+2 which is parallel with Euro predictions

Situation is similar with Euro here. Whort opportunity in Asian season where before US season it is worth opening a long trade

1.2945 looks good point to go short

EUR/USD

1d

1h-astro

1f-fixed


Analysis: From daily chart we see that Mid-term expected bounce is underway. We can see a reaction to current few days bullish development. We need to look at hourly chart to see detailed picture. Astro cycle (pink line on hourly chart) makes double top which can bring same effect on price chart too. Fixed cycles has same phenomena too.

GBP/USD

1d


1h



Analysis: Situation is similar with Euro. We are going up but few days correction is possible. Cable looks little more strong then Euro.

thankyou Almondeyed

EUR/GBP

Daily


Hourly



Analysis: EUR/GBP can be more bearish next week. After Monday some possibility to see bullish development but i will look shorting opportunity afternoon.

EUR/CHF

Daily

Hourly



Analysis: On daily chart turning point warns us for possible reversal (red line) while pink prediction line looks side-lined. General picture not clear but some trading opportunities possible for intraday. (E.Q. On Monday long after 13:00 UTC+2)

USD/CHF


Daily


Hourly



Analysis: Current price development is look like the inversion of current prediction line on daily chart (pink line). So situation is not clear on daily chart. On 1h chart fixed cycle shows bullish development while astro cycles are little confusing. I think we can see 0.5 -1.5 days bounce but i will not turn bullish with this picture until Wednesday:

GBP/CHF

Daily

Hourly



Analysis: Situation is not so clear. Daily chart prediction line turns up (pink) but turning point line (red) no signal.1h Astro chart is similar but instead of upmove sidelined market possible. Fixed cycle shows a correction day on up move

Monday Strategy:

EUR/USD: I will look short trade around 12:00 UTC+2
EUR/GBP: Expect bearish week. I will consider shorting around 15:00 UTC+2
EUR/CHF: Looks bearish but i will stay away
GBP/USD: Expect correction on rally but i doubt it will be tradable or not
GBP/CHF: May be short around 04:00 UTC+2
USD/CHF: I will stay away