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Elliott wave outlook

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  • #5,901
  • Jan 21, 2013 11:02am Jan 21, 2013 11:02am
Quoting Luis Carlos
Because it looks like as 4 to me. Gj gives me a headache and 121.30 I see as a possibility now... No clear
121,30??? in eu/j or in g/j?

or you mean 120,30 in eur/j

just for right understand what you wrote
I'll Sell when price is heading to Hell
  • #5,902
  • Edited 11:15am Jan 21, 2013 11:05am | Edited 11:15am
Gonna watch cables low today. The move down troubles me... i can't help but to think its corrective. A fresh low and it would obviously invalidate the following (2nd) chart, but i wonder if we haven't reached the top of the wedge for our wave 'E' yet?

Lots of bearish talk also leads to a push back up.

Maybe we have just seen a WXY move with an irreg 'X' as before in 'C'?

Just a suggestion for the record.

http://i1168.photobucket.com/albums/...y21-01-13a.png

The bounce off of todays low was 100% of wave 'W/A';

http://i1168.photobucket.com/albums/...y21-01-13b.png

Something to keep an eye on.
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  • #5,903
  • Jan 21, 2013 11:07am Jan 21, 2013 11:07am
hi carlos
you tracking eur/jpy possible wave 5 120.00
  • #5,904
  • Jan 21, 2013 11:11am Jan 21, 2013 11:11am
Friday afternoon, looking for a 4th/5th to complete a 'C';

http://i1168.photobucket.com/albums/...y18-01-13h.png
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  • #5,905
  • Jan 21, 2013 11:12am Jan 21, 2013 11:12am
Quoting braintec
121,30??? in eu/j or in g/j?

or you mean 120,30 in eur/j

just for right understand what you wrote
ej
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #5,906
  • Jan 21, 2013 11:12am Jan 21, 2013 11:12am
Quoting StarTracker
Hi there everyone. I'm always reading this thread and I wanna thank you all (Luis Carlos, Cableguy, Olu, Braintec, ND, WoodyNeo, Invisible and all others - specially who have jnowledge and kindly share with us, and even who make questions (sometimes my doubts too) making this space very interesting to see. I'm only interested in Eur-USD and Silver, so I ask specially ND (seems to me, the only one who keeps silver in close sight), about these last movements : did they make you change your mind ? Can you put a updated chart ? Thanks in advance.
Silver is close to invalidation point, i will try to post chart tomorrow during the New York session...
  • #5,907
  • Jan 21, 2013 11:13am Jan 21, 2013 11:13am
Quoting dopodopo
Luis what about last move up is " a" retrece to 119.23 as " b" then resume higher to 12021 as ""c/B"". then down at 116 46 as C ? Might work?
yes, also too
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #5,908
  • Jan 21, 2013 11:18am Jan 21, 2013 11:18am
Quoting Luis Carlos
ej
this is a possibility that runs in my head from this morning,

he reach target and then a big question mark,

i prefere it falls to 115 116 or 111 and the up to the moon

this way is more easy for all to follow and make pips

the other one is very troubled because it can correct or it can go up further but if it move up a trap is behind the corner, about me
I'll Sell when price is heading to Hell
  • #5,909
  • Jan 21, 2013 11:20am Jan 21, 2013 11:20am
Quoting The Cableguy
Gonna watch cables low today. The move down troubles me... i can't help but to think its corrective. A fresh low and it would obviously invalidate the following (2nd) chart, but i wonder if we haven't reached the top of the wedge for our wave 'E' yet?

Lots of bearish talk also leads to a push back up.

Maybe we have just seen a WXY move with an irreg 'X' as before in 'C'?

Just a suggestion for the record.

http://i1168.photobucket.com/albums/...y21-01-13a.png

The bounce off of todays low was 100% of wave 'W/A';

http://i1168.photobucket.com/albums/...y21-01-13b.png

Something...
It is nice the wxy fractal in the first chart. My fxcm chart is terrible, it doesnt have the 1.638 high from jan 2, gives bad extension..
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #5,910
  • Jan 21, 2013 11:28am Jan 21, 2013 11:28am
it is possible one more low at pound dollar 1.58 is a buy. 1min
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #5,911
  • Jan 21, 2013 11:30am Jan 21, 2013 11:30am
uj friday count today count
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Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #5,912
  • Jan 21, 2013 11:42am Jan 21, 2013 11:42am
reading to the left and right around, many traders are setting for bullish movement over jpy pairs

for this reason i think we have to pay attention, is to easy too easy....

bank in america today closed....

so a misunderstanding is on the way, i think, the will do something but not all what trader expect

if i'm right price move down and after a couple of weeks or a month it will rise

why didn't buy a crystall ball last time!!!

I'll Sell when price is heading to Hell
  • #5,913
  • Jan 21, 2013 11:54am Jan 21, 2013 11:54am
to be honest iīm in AUD JPY since mid october,
this pair is much overbought we have a bearish butterfly on weekly chart.

Technically imho ready for a proper correction but it doesnīt happen due to relativ AUD/USD strenght.
If the BoJ canīt achieve what abe "promised" the MKTīs well see a "blow off" back to the 86 in this pair.

crystall ball collectiv order? iīm in
just do it
  • #5,914
  • Jan 21, 2013 12:01pm Jan 21, 2013 12:01pm
Quoting braintec
reading to the left and right around, many traders are setting for bullish movement over jpy pairs

for this reason i think we have to pay attention, is to easy too easy....

bank in america today closed....

so a misunderstanding is on the way, i think, the will do something but not all what trader expect

if i'm right price move down and after a couple of weeks or a month it will rise

why didn't buy a crystall ball last time!!!

Hi Braintec

I agree with your idea. jpy is seriously oversold and I believe the market has factored the first wave of QE into the current price of the usdjpy now. The 2% inflation figure has been known since day1 when Abe became leader. If the markets are dissapointed by the size of the QE or the target we could easily see 500 pips down like an avalanche. So care must be taken. Remember 'Buy the rumour Sell the fact".

On a lighter not so that this post will qualify as an EW post I will say the following: usdjpy is waving....
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #5,915
  • Jan 21, 2013 12:15pm Jan 21, 2013 12:15pm
Quoting Olu
Hi Braintec

I agree with your idea. jpy is seriously oversold and I believe the market has factored the first wave of QE into the current price of the usdjpy now. The 2% inflation figure has been known since day1 when Abe became leader. If the markets are dissapointed by the size of the QE or the target we could easily see 500 pips down like an avalanche. So care must be taken. Remember 'Buy the rumour Sell the fact".

On a lighter not so that this post will qualify as an EW post I will say the following: usdjpy is waving....
hi Olu,

i really do not believe in oversold and overbought but i'm sure that all is combined to grab money to small traders like me.

we'll se what happens but for sure i will wait that spikes settle down before take a trade.

time to go in bed to be really fresh tomorrow morning very early for me.
I'll Sell when price is heading to Hell
  • #5,916
  • Jan 21, 2013 1:08pm Jan 21, 2013 1:08pm
GBPJPY another possibility
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 13jan21.1.PNG Size: 71 KB
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #5,917
  • Jan 21, 2013 1:17pm Jan 21, 2013 1:17pm
GBPJPY another possibility
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 13jan21.12.PNG Size: 72 KB
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #5,918
  • Jan 21, 2013 2:13pm Jan 21, 2013 2:13pm
http://http://g1301.hizliresim.com/15/q/j6j7z.pnghttp://a1301.hizliresim.com/15/q/j6j32.png
  • #5,919
  • Jan 21, 2013 4:16pm Jan 21, 2013 4:16pm
http://http://a1301.hizliresim.com/15/q/j6mbj.png
  • #5,920
  • Jan 21, 2013 6:57pm Jan 21, 2013 6:57pm
I am cautious on the eoro$ because it can happen that falls to below 1.2600 and I have to say that wave 5 to achieve any level of wave 3 0.618. What you think?
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