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Euro/Dollar

  • #2,681
  • Jan 15, 2013 10:54am Jan 15, 2013 10:54am
Thanks Mr. Juncker... The Volatilty we needed to get long
  • #2,682
  • Jan 15, 2013 10:56am Jan 15, 2013 10:56am
Quoting Crassius
Thanks Mr. Juncker... The Volatilty we needed to get long
Juncker Says Euro exchange rate dangerously high
  • #2,683
  • Jan 15, 2013 10:57am Jan 15, 2013 10:57am
Should be very solid support between 3280 and 3250
  • #2,684
  • Jan 15, 2013 10:59am Jan 15, 2013 10:59am
A good setup, soon. Time to prepare our entries.

http://s2.postimage.org/cq67noc9l/eu_daily.png
Never laugh at anyone's dreams. "Dalai Lama"
  • #2,685
  • Jan 15, 2013 11:41am Jan 15, 2013 11:41am
Quoting Crassius
Shorting NZDUSD current levels 8380 layered back to the 8400 figure...
Just closed these - 1 pip... They more or less did not budge during the risk off swoon... dont want them overnight...
  • #2,686
  • Jan 15, 2013 11:48am Jan 15, 2013 11:48am
Quoting Crassius
... target on the last half remaining lowered to 89.10
Lowering this profit target to 88.98... If C = A this swing, as it often does max extent of current upswing = 89.06... I'll book the profit just ahead of the figure should it make there.
  • #2,687
  • Jan 15, 2013 11:53am Jan 15, 2013 11:53am
Quoting Crassius
What I mean by this is illustrated in the attached chart...

What the chart looks like now compared to then...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: count.png Size: 10 KB
  • #2,688
  • Jan 16, 2013 1:21am Jan 16, 2013 1:21am
Short NZDUSD again from 8375...
  • #2,689
  • Jan 16, 2013 1:29am Jan 16, 2013 1:29am
EURUSD of course is in the much discussed major support zone of wave 4 of one lesser degree...

Quoting Crassius
What I mean by this is illustrated in the attached chart... .

one problem I see here is that everyone.. and I mean EVERYONE's stop is going to be in the same place... just near 3240....

It may prove to tempting a target to the market to avoid tripping those stops.... weakness much below 3240 needs to be respected though... it does change the chart structurally hence the pile of stops that are going to be lined up in the same place....

One count I have working could see the pull back extend as deep as 3225... where A would equal C....
  • #2,690
  • Jan 16, 2013 2:15am Jan 16, 2013 2:15am
Nowaltney helping Euro Longs on CNBC
  • #2,691
  • Jan 16, 2013 2:46am Jan 16, 2013 2:46am
Crassius,
Thanks for your comments on EW! I am working to get better at it and to trade it. Your explanations are very helpful for me to look ahead at what may be coming next and then what to do about it.
  • #2,692
  • Jan 16, 2013 2:47am Jan 16, 2013 2:47am
Quoting Brapp
Crassius,
Thanks for your comments on EW! I am working to get better at it and to trade it. Your explanations are very helpful for me to look ahead at what may be coming next and then what to do about it.
Glad to hear it
  • #2,693
  • Jan 16, 2013 2:51am Jan 16, 2013 2:51am
Quoting Crassius

One count I have working could see the pull back extend as deep as 3225... where A would equal C....
Scratch that worse case count... The Nowatny comment mini-rally scratches that.. I've moved my stop back to 3238... If the support zone eventually gets taken out after testing and bouncing out twice, then I want to be flat because the market will be signalling change that needs respecting...

Hopefully we have tested and re-tested that support and we head higher from here...
  • #2,694
  • Jan 16, 2013 3:26am Jan 16, 2013 3:26am
Moving Stop on EURUSD longs up to 3250
  • #2,695
  • Jan 16, 2013 4:14am Jan 16, 2013 4:14am
What I'm thinking.... on very small scale... need 5 waves up in the fuschia degree.. wave (i) Fuschia already in...
Attached Image
  • #2,696
  • Jan 16, 2013 5:00am Jan 16, 2013 5:00am
Quoting Crassius
Short NZDUSD again from 8375...
Out of these - 6 pips.... it will eventually correct to 8345 area... but I don't have patience for it...
  • #2,697
  • Jan 16, 2013 5:09am Jan 16, 2013 5:09am
Quoting Crassius
Moving Stop on EURUSD longs up to 3250

Moving this back to 3238... the market needs to thoroughly take out the support zone...
  • #2,698
  • Jan 16, 2013 5:14am Jan 16, 2013 5:14am
We tested the support zone on initial knee jerk reaction to a politician (Junker) wagging his lips...

Then we re-tested in European session...

Now New York has re-tested it....

Are we done yet?
  • #2,699
  • Jan 16, 2013 5:22am Jan 16, 2013 5:22am
Quoting Crassius
Moving this back to 3238... the market needs to thoroughly take out the support zone...
you came pretty close to the stop...........passed on the european mkt last night and what was up with the gap down for FTSE100 on the open?

took a quick scan around but seems i missed something or not....
  • #2,700
  • Jan 16, 2013 5:28am Jan 16, 2013 5:28am
Quoting roro53
you came pretty close to the stop...........passed on the european mkt last night and what was up with the gap down for FTSE100 on the open?

took a quick scan around but seems i missed something or not....
I don't know.. I don't follow FTSE... worst pre-market news re: Britain is Fitch warns of Britain will lose it AAA status...
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