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  • #10,041
  • Sep 24, 2012 6:15am Sep 24, 2012 6:15am
Quoting DaddyBear
Based on daily ADX, the retracement could be completed at 4:00 EST on 9/20. IMO
Am I missing something Daddybear? You posted this 4 days after your predicted completion date. Or did you mean the retracement was already completed back on last Thursday?
  • #10,042
  • Sep 24, 2012 7:39am Sep 24, 2012 7:39am
... wondering if it might hold.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: intermediate trendline.gif Size: 29 KB
  • #10,043
  • Sep 24, 2012 8:25am Sep 24, 2012 8:25am
Quoting doblece
... wondering if it might hold.

Attachment
It may hold. Let us see.

Price went near Demand Zone around 1.0390 with a Stoch Divg.

Possible Long at 1.0420, as it went up above Fib 50% once more, and Stoch now well above 80, could wait for Stoch to go lower again.

As it is Mon, not expecting much from it.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-09-24_AU_M15_Long.png Size: 57 KB
  • #10,044
  • Sep 24, 2012 8:49am Sep 24, 2012 8:49am
The market is boring today. That means its time to get excited. Boring markets bring us exciting markets. Be patient, the fireworks will soon begin. Put in your orders.
  • #10,045
  • Sep 24, 2012 1:26pm Sep 24, 2012 1:26pm
we are in the way down to 1.0166 again?
are we on track for hs with right side of head being formed?

let's see if we are and

only time will tell

thanks,

G
Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
  • #10,046
  • Sep 24, 2012 1:50pm Sep 24, 2012 1:50pm
Quoting pauladkinsau
Am I missing something Daddybear? You posted this 4 days after your predicted completion date. Or did you mean the retracement was already completed back on last Thursday?
Paul , I was talking about last Thursday's retracement ending not last night's PA. Sorry for the confusion.
daddybearforex. com
  • #10,047
  • Sep 24, 2012 4:00pm Sep 24, 2012 4:00pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Paul , I was talking about last Thursday's retracement ending not last night's PA. Sorry for the confusion.
NP DB.

I am not sure I see fireworks ahead. I suspect will be range trading for a while.

I know many people don't worry too much about fundamentals, but just for the record, next week China goes into a 1 week holiday (Mao Zedong took over on October 1, 1949). Around October 18 we will have formal confirmation of the new leaders - Xi Jinping as President and Li Keqiang as Premier. In between, around October 10 or 11 I think, we will have the Q3 GDP announcement.

It doesn't mean we won't have any actions or announcements about the economy in China. But those will be limited to PBoC - perhaps a further reduction of interest rates or the RRR.

Messrs Xi and Li don't take over until mid-March 2013.
  • #10,048
  • Sep 24, 2012 4:11pm Sep 24, 2012 4:11pm
Quoting pauladkinsau
NP DB.

I am not sure I see fireworks ahead. I suspect will be range trading for a while.

I know many people don't worry too much about fundamentals, but just for the record, next week China goes into a 1 week holiday (Mao Zedong took over on October 1, 1949). Around October 18 we will have formal confirmation of the new leaders - Xi Jinping as President and Li Keqiang as Premier. In between, around October 10 or 11 I think, we will have the Q3 GDP announcement.

It doesn't mean we won't have any actions or announcements about the economy...
Why Xi Jinping did not show up last week?
daddybearforex. com
  • #10,049
  • Sep 24, 2012 5:37pm Sep 24, 2012 5:37pm
Hey everyone,

Hope you are all making the big green pipies!

My cousin is starting up a new mobile accessories business and is looking for a good cool and fun name for his business, can you give some ideas please??
  • #10,050
  • Sep 24, 2012 5:42pm Sep 24, 2012 5:42pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Why Xi Jinping did not show up last week?
Choose your preferred reason:
1. He hurt his back swimming
2. He broke his leg playing soccer
3. He survived an assassination attempt
4. He was abducted by aliens for brain wave alteration.
5. He was too busy preparing for taking over the world's second biggest economy.
6. A dingo took him (Australian readers will understand that joke).

Remember the first rule of newspapers - you have to fill the column inches, and if you don't have a story, make one.
  • #10,051
  • Sep 24, 2012 6:19pm Sep 24, 2012 6:19pm
Quoting Daytrader74
Hey everyone,

Hope you are all making the big green pipies!

My cousin is starting up a new mobile accessories business and is looking for a good cool and fun name for his business, can you give some ideas please??
Fudge factory?
  • #10,052
  • Sep 24, 2012 6:24pm Sep 24, 2012 6:24pm
Quoting pauladkinsau
Fudge factory?
How about "Fudge on the go!"
daddybearforex. com
  • #10,053
  • Sep 24, 2012 7:38pm Sep 24, 2012 7:38pm
Quoting foxybunny
It may hold. Let us see.

Price went near Demand Zone around 1.0390 with a Stoch Divg.

Possible Long at 1.0420, as it went up above Fib 50% once more, and Stoch now well above 80, could wait for Stoch to go lower again.

As it is Mon, not expecting much from it.

Attachment

Tue 25-Sep, possible Early Bird Long A/U 1.0441.

Early Bird as in still early Asian session.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-09-25_AU_M15_Long.png Size: 57 KB
  • #10,054
  • Sep 25, 2012 1:39am Sep 25, 2012 1:39am
Attached Image


  • #10,055
  • Sep 25, 2012 4:37am Sep 25, 2012 4:37am
Quoting foxybunny
Tue 25-Sep, possible Early Bird Long A/U 1.0441.

Early Bird as in still early Asian session.

Attachment

Tue 25-Sep, now well into Lon session, and almost US session.
Much better time than the Early Bird.

Price has really just bounced 50% to 61.8%, in range or sleeping.

As it is not above 61.8%, not a Bull.
As it is not below 50% and 38.2%, not a Bear either.

Price AGAIN bounced 50% fib, Long A/U 1.0415 with a better timing and Stoch down.

Is the Market now awake? Up or Down?
Market to decide.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-09-25_AU_M15_Long_b.png Size: 56 KB
  • #10,056
  • Sep 25, 2012 7:14am Sep 25, 2012 7:14am
This board reflects the market - very quiet !!!
  • #10,057
  • Sep 25, 2012 2:42pm Sep 25, 2012 2:42pm
fudge what happened to gold while i was asleep??
  • #10,058
  • Sep 25, 2012 5:49pm Sep 25, 2012 5:49pm
i wrote this in another thread you can view it here 736 Posts (http://www.forexfactory.com/search.php?do=process&provider=Member&searchuser=235713)

i'm waiting for at 1.0340 then 1.0300

look at downward yellow wedge
i'm seeing an hs with right side of head forming 1.0166

i also see that some retracement up will occur for the stochastic to 50% then back down to lower 20%.

my 2 trend lines are about to cross another which will carry the price lower to target of 1.0166

let's see where we go.....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: auh48.gif Size: 26 KB
Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
  • #10,059
  • Sep 25, 2012 7:45pm Sep 25, 2012 7:45pm
Quoting foxybunny
Tue 25-Sep, now well into Lon session, and almost US session.
Much better time than the Early Bird.

Price has really just bounced 50% to 61.8%, in range or sleeping.

As it is not above 61.8%, not a Bull.
As it is not below 50% and 38.2%, not a Bear either.

Price AGAIN bounced 50% fib, Long A/U 1.0415 with a better timing and Stoch down.

Is the Market now awake? Up or Down?
Market to decide.

Attachment
Market (A/U and Stock) decided Down during my zzzzz...

Possible Short below Fib 50% below 1.0412.

There was a small Stoch Divg on M15, this Stoch Divg was much clearer on H1.

Price stall at Fib 38.2% 1.0354.

This old Fib seem still in play.
Price zones reset, and at the moment Short is preferred.


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-09-25_AU_M15_Short_c.png Size: 58 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-09-25_AU_H1_Short_d.png Size: 67 KB
  • #10,060
  • Sep 25, 2012 7:47pm Sep 25, 2012 7:47pm
Quoting doblece
... wondering if it might hold.

Attachment

Doblece, seem did not hold, can have your chart updates on your pitchfork to see possible down target projections ?
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