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  • #345,681
  • Dec 14, 2010 10:40am Dec 14, 2010 10:40am
Quoting dbfusion
on my charts on bigger view...
You got my vote. check this out:
http://f-cta.blogspot.com/
  • #345,682
  • Dec 14, 2010 10:41am Dec 14, 2010 10:41am
Quoting gatorinla
angle your line some and it may look different. i played yellow earlier. the others and there more then shown.. we will see.

3399 should happen before 3430

I agree couple different ways to look at it I guess. I just hope I dont get my profit stopped out pre fomc however I want to be cautious for this.
Know when to hold em, Know when to fold em!
  • #345,683
  • Dec 14, 2010 10:47am Dec 14, 2010 10:47am
Quoting Abu-Rami
You got my vote. check this out:
http://f-cta.blogspot.com/
thanks

nice blog you got there .
I SEE YOU !!
  • #345,684
  • Dec 14, 2010 10:50am Dec 14, 2010 10:50am
a medium term chart (5hrs candles) with intra-week volumes... the background colors show smart money actions according to ask-bid balance from tick volumes: green = buying, red = selling. the pattern is pretty clear to me - medium term shows that we are in "sell the rallies" mode.

from my point of view this rally looks short-lived, similar to the other ones which have been sold. it should be just a matter of time until price starts dropping again; looking at daily ask-bid balance (1hr candles), i think it already started and it was confirmed when price broke through 1.3415 area (in fact that's why it is testing it again now)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR_USD+ intrawk.png Size: 68 KB
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #345,685
  • Dec 14, 2010 10:53am Dec 14, 2010 10:53am
I like the peace before the storm!! )
  • #345,686
  • Dec 14, 2010 10:56am Dec 14, 2010 10:56am
Quoting Martingale
I like the peace before the storm!! )
Ym Ym... i'm closing my eyes and opening my first long order
  • #345,687
  • Dec 14, 2010 10:57am Dec 14, 2010 10:57am
Quoting Scrat
a medium term chart (5hrs candles) with intra-week volumes... the background colors show smart money actions according to ask-bid balance from tick volumes: green = buying, red = selling. the pattern is pretty clear to me - medium term shows that we are in "sell the rallies" mode.

from my point of view this rally looks short-lived, similar to the other ones which have been sold. it should be just a matter of time until price starts dropping again; looking at daily ask-bid balance (1hr candles), i think it already started and it was confirmed...
im looking for inches atm.. put beyond that it looks open.. med if 3350 ish (below 3362) is molested then its time for some to reconsider. but as always a bounce will intice some. just have to see what side the line this news puts us over.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #345,688
  • Edited 12:14pm Dec 14, 2010 10:58am | Edited 12:14pm
Quoting Martingale
I like the peace before the storm!! )
Repeating pattern ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: pattern.jpg Size: 129 KB
  • #345,689
  • Dec 14, 2010 11:01am Dec 14, 2010 11:01am
Quoting Abu-Rami
Ym Ym... i'm closing my eyes and opening my first long order
looks like a flag to me on 1 min chart
I SEE YOU !!
  • #345,690
  • Dec 14, 2010 11:03am Dec 14, 2010 11:03am
Quoting dbfusion
looks like a flag to me on 1 min chart
Naaah, I don't look to chart less than 15M.
  • #345,691
  • Dec 14, 2010 11:03am Dec 14, 2010 11:03am
Quoting Martingale
I like the peace before the storm!! )
eah , still seems healthy bull in a bear format.
fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #345,692
  • Dec 14, 2010 11:03am Dec 14, 2010 11:03am
Quoting Abu-Rami
Naaah, I don't look to chart less than 15M.
then small flag on m15
lol
I SEE YOU !!
  • #345,693
  • Dec 14, 2010 11:04am Dec 14, 2010 11:04am
Quoting Mehrdad
Repeating pattern ?
those are not exactly the same. your second one showed signs of going north with the ihs w.o hitting the lower tl.. then using upper tl as a launch.
the other one is a flag with the possibility of a spiked double top..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #345,694
  • Dec 14, 2010 11:04am Dec 14, 2010 11:04am
Quoting Scrat
a medium term chart (5hrs candles) with intra-week volumes... the background colors show smart money actions according to ask-bid balance from tick volumes: green = buying, red = selling. the pattern is pretty clear to me - medium term shows that we are in "sell the rallies" mode.

from my point of view this rally looks short-lived, similar to the other ones which have been sold. it should be just a matter of time until price starts dropping again; looking at daily ask-bid balance (1hr candles), i think it already started and it was confirmed...
Nice overview mate...

Rejection off my 365ema (daily) earlier (or nearby my PW1.3470) and now expecting the price will go down and revisit temporary sup TL per H4 (see arrow).

But, shit happens...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: chart2.gif Size: 33 KB
  • #345,695
  • Dec 14, 2010 11:04am Dec 14, 2010 11:04am
Quoting dbfusion
then small flag on m15
lol
:nerd:
  • #345,696
  • Dec 14, 2010 11:06am Dec 14, 2010 11:06am
Quoting orangeRANGE
Nice overview mate...

Rejection off my 365ema (daily) earlier (or nearby my PW1.3470) and now expecting the price will go down and revisit temporary sup TL per H4 (see arrow).

But, shit happens...
For me i don't trust any indicator... always late...
  • #345,697
  • Dec 14, 2010 11:07am Dec 14, 2010 11:07am
Quoting Mehrdad
Repeating pattern ?
oh, you mean a flag? well, these happen often in a trendy market.
  • #345,698
  • Dec 14, 2010 11:07am Dec 14, 2010 11:07am
it's true we have a bull flag on the 5m. these usually signal continuation. but i am expecting a failed break up. if we do get one the 1.3410 is key for me. it's a monthly pivot in my chart and price as tried to break it and failed up till now. if we do have a convincing break i'll be looking for 1.3296 with bumps on 3385, 1.3335 and 1.3310.

close above 1.3430 invalidates it and bulls would still be in charge. 1.3515 is my bullish target. i already expected it to have been touched but 1.3495 stopped it. so that target is still pending. and a failed bull target is a bearish sign for me.

hapipipin
dreams do come true.
  • #345,699
  • Dec 14, 2010 11:09am Dec 14, 2010 11:09am
Quoting Abu-Rami
Ym Ym... i'm closing my eyes and opening my first long order
well, don't you better go Straddle? pending stop buys and sells.. problem is they are often taken by high volatility
  • #345,700
  • Dec 14, 2010 11:09am Dec 14, 2010 11:09am
I am fully convinced pa is pricing in and m1, m5, m15, m4 all showing bull.

20 minutes for fomc ladies
Know when to hold em, Know when to fold em!
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