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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #266,141
  • Dec 9, 2010 2:53am Dec 9, 2010 2:53am
Quoting gsantri
That's ok. I will be happy to help with the little I knew
Good man, i like your avatar, are you French?
All systems of divination, like music itself,work through patterns.
  • #266,142
  • Edited 3:11am Dec 9, 2010 3:00am | Edited 3:11am
Quoting kaspopsicle
Hi Naboo, i'm currently inhabiting planet seriously confused....lol !.
Yeh UK...somewhere in Wales most of the time. Where you? Seem to have got it in my head that you're in London. Well done on your trade earlier, i got up too late to catch it. G/ L rest of today.

yeah london popsi... cheers on trade

just a pointer re mt4.. google Smart Live Markets.. mt4 platform for spread betting.. in the uk tax free.. they seem at first glance to be offering a different approach to the SB world hopefully.

time will tell..but you can demo on mt4 with them for nowt..

done for the day..off to to FX street.. it's free access day for normally paid webinars...
  • #266,143
  • Dec 9, 2010 3:11am Dec 9, 2010 3:11am
Quoting naboo
yeah london popsi... cheers on trade

just a pointer re mt4.. google Smart Live Markets.. mt4 platform for spread betting.. in the uk tax free.. they seem at first glance to be offering a different approach to the SB world hopefully.

time will tell..but you can demo on mt4 with them for nowt..

Brilliant help just what i've been looking for. Thanks Nab. Got in eventually @ 15755 south S/l 25pips tp... anywhere would be good
All systems of divination, like music itself,work through patterns.
  • #266,144
  • Edited 3:33am Dec 9, 2010 3:23am | Edited 3:33am
Just redrawn my ltl short term,package keeps loosing what i've drawn in, on H4, so i'm looking for 15715. Prolly all wrong as usual.reasoning price held below dp on m5. Oops just noticed we got stuck @ 741 for 28 hrs. from 24 Nov
All systems of divination, like music itself,work through patterns.
  • #266,145
  • Dec 9, 2010 3:46am Dec 9, 2010 3:46am
Just back for 1/2hr around the following:

Upcoming Event Risk:
12noon gmt: Uk Boe/Mpc rate decsion, Qe decision and Statement.

The greater probability is for no change to either but if there is an accompanying statement, this will be the thing that is poured over for any clues as to Mpc thinking, ahead of the search for more clues from the minutes due later this month.
-----------------------
Cable's current daily Lo of 5740 is around the 100sma on 1hr from the sell-off from 5841-current daily Hi. Price current Hi-Lo today is 68% of the 20 day average pip range, and week so far is 57% of the 20week average.

G/L
ex member
  • #266,146
  • Dec 9, 2010 3:50am Dec 9, 2010 3:50am
Out @ -1 cos of possible pre news anticipation spike
All systems of divination, like music itself,work through patterns.
  • #266,147
  • Dec 9, 2010 4:00am Dec 9, 2010 4:00am
Quoting kaspopsicle
Good man, i like your avatar, are you French?
I am from Indonesia, precisely bandung.
avatar is the image of Madura people, near Bali.
G/L with your trade. I'm flat news in a minute
  • #266,148
  • Dec 9, 2010 4:05am Dec 9, 2010 4:05am
Darn cheapy interest rate i only piped 1 pip,
  • #266,149
  • Dec 9, 2010 4:05am Dec 9, 2010 4:05am
Was hoping for some knee-jerk volatility around that release...oh well, price's current daily Lo is at or around the 61.8% 5667-5841 so far today...Finishing here with final look at current near-term 1hr screesnhot

G/L for rest of today.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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ex member
  • #266,150
  • Dec 9, 2010 4:09am Dec 9, 2010 4:09am
Closed my short for 60pips. Now looking for long
May the forex be with you |
  • #266,151
  • Dec 9, 2010 4:12am Dec 9, 2010 4:12am
Quoting gsantri
I am from Indonesia, precisely bandung.
avatar is the image of Madura people, near Bali.
G/L with your trade. I'm flat news in a minute
Amazing to meet you ! I got back in @ 740 after news. Sucker for punishment lol. I trade manually. I'm giving this one 15min to see if 200ema crosses 20 ema If it goes back above dp and closes on m5 i'll get out.
All systems of divination, like music itself,work through patterns.
  • #266,152
  • Dec 9, 2010 4:18am Dec 9, 2010 4:18am
Quoting FXFundi
Closed my short for 60pips. Now looking for long
hi fxfundi,
is there indication for price to reverse now?
  • #266,153
  • Dec 9, 2010 4:22am Dec 9, 2010 4:22am
Quoting willkohsg
hi fxfundi,
is there indication for price to reverse now?
The parabolic sar has broken through to the upside as well as the stochastics. Looks good to go long here but I'm only shorting GU so will wait for overbought condition to short. I am looking at 1.5950 - 1.60 maybe by next week before a big move down. Traded at your own risk though and make sure you use your MM. Edit: on the 15 minute chart sorry.
You've got to be IN IT to WIN IT!
  • #266,154
  • Edited 4:39am Dec 9, 2010 4:27am | Edited 4:39am
Quoting Enous
i'm new posting, but i have been reading your's post for allmost a year. I'm from Chile, south america.

GBP it's going up tomorrow, because the bank of England it's going to for a 200 billion in Asset Purchase Facility. Every time that this ocurrs, the GBP goes up, and the EUR follows it. I hope this pattern happens once again.

I´m long since 5770 in the GBP.

Best regards to all, and good luck.

PD: sorry for my english...
Quoting Enous
Thanks paw.

But maybe you can see what happened on thursday november 4, when the bank of england went for a 200B buying assets.

November 2, GBP went down to a low of 5960, wensday trend went high and closed in 6104, the movement started 1 day before the asset purchasing (just like today), and november 4 GBP jumped to closed at 6273 with a high in 6298, almost 200 pips.
Quoting bbakker
lol... Do you know Mervin King then or can you read the BoE committee's mind? Did you see last month's minutes of the meeting at all?

If anything, they will sit on their hands for a little while longer... well that is my prediction!

Good luck with your trade!
My prediction was spot on and to be honest it wasn't rocket science, if you read the MoM from last month.

You basically got your years mixed up!

In November 2010 BoE HELD QE - http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/standa...tive-easing.do

This means they are NOT adding to the existing £200bn QE that was implemented at the end of 2009/beginning of 2010.

The 200bn QE program was initiated in November 2009 -
http://www.supportingukbusiness.com/...trengthens.php

If you are going to trade the news, you need to get your facts right.

I am short since 1.5815 and looking at the daily, this was a nice supply area with a significant price point at 1.5838 and a down trendline confluence on the daily/h4/h1. Didn't quite reach the 50% fib retracement, but does it always? We are below the monthly pvp now as pointed out by Wormboy and Digger1 (Little fakey to get those bulls licking their chops) and I am still bearish on this pair, although we are not out of the woods yet!

I wish you success with your trading!

P.S. - I trade long-term of the daily charts as I cannot day trade... for now.
  • #266,155
  • Dec 9, 2010 4:29am Dec 9, 2010 4:29am
Quoting willkohsg
hi fxfundi,
is there indication for price to reverse now?
It has just hit the 618 on the 1 hour FIB. So indications are good for a reversal - I only trade 4 hour and above as I find lower time frames too risky. I would only look at entring a long at the 1.5700 level. Otherwise look for a short 1.5830 level.
May the forex be with you |
  • #266,156
  • Dec 9, 2010 4:47am Dec 9, 2010 4:47am
Quoting chazzle
Job done ... Partial profit locked
Closed another 1/3 @ 15740 ... 1/3 will let it run a bit more
  • #266,157
  • Dec 9, 2010 4:48am Dec 9, 2010 4:48am
Testing 15735 for 2nd time, i'm still short from 15740 . Call me stupid
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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All systems of divination, like music itself,work through patterns.
  • #266,158
  • Edited 5:03am Dec 9, 2010 4:54am | Edited 5:03am
Quoting kaspopsicle
Amazing to meet you ! I got back in @ 740 after news. Sucker for punishment lol. I trade manually. I'm giving this one 15min to see if 200ema crosses 20 ema If it goes back above dp and closes on m5 i'll get out.
Good to meet you too.
I took some pips from short earlier. You'll get yours.

But another major news from US within 40 min.
I think it's better stay flat for me.
  • #266,159
  • Dec 9, 2010 4:59am Dec 9, 2010 4:59am
Quoting gsantri
Good to meet you too.
I took some pips from short earlier. You'll get yours.

But the another major news from US within 40 min.
I think it's better stay flat for me.
Yeah if i had half a brain i would have been scalping the life out of this channel. Still short on low rr. Thanks for heads up on news
All systems of divination, like music itself,work through patterns.
  • #266,160
  • Dec 9, 2010 5:01am Dec 9, 2010 5:01am
Quoting kaspopsicle
Yeah if i had half a brain i would have been scalping the life out of this channel. Still short on low rr. Thanks for heads up on news

I've been scalping the life out of the cable, euro and swissy for the last 2 1/2 hours.......... not much fun though have to have your wits about you
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