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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #4,701
  • Nov 28, 2010 2:47pm Nov 28, 2010 2:47pm
Quoting majid.hesari
thank you for your explanation shahab about usdchf
do you saw eurusd d1

price make +hd(Hidden Divergence)on 61.8 fibo and maybe Resistance change to Support
It seems good, try a long at 1.3150 ish.
By the way, I prefer to draw the fib from low to high not just in the 2nd part of it, if you want to keep that at least add the other one too.
  • #4,702
  • Nov 28, 2010 11:43pm Nov 28, 2010 11:43pm
Hello Shah:

The COT data on your timingchart site seems be not updating. The firgure for 26th, Nov is same with 19th,Nov. I have checked several currency pairs, all the same issue. Could you have a look?

Thanks

Mike
  • #4,703
  • Nov 29, 2010 5:10am Nov 29, 2010 5:10am
arrived to Ceiling the Channel
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf.gif Size: 26 KB
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  • #4,704
  • Nov 29, 2010 11:52pm Nov 29, 2010 11:52pm
on 86.50 to 87.50 we have good fibo zone on median line price goes down with 26 bar but goes up with 48 bar yet
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: oil h4.gif Size: 89 KB
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  • #4,705
  • Nov 30, 2010 2:41am Nov 30, 2010 2:41am
hd- on 61.8fibo in d1 and rd- in h4
but price goes down with 32 bar and goes up with 21 bar
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy d.gif Size: 23 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy h4.gif Size: 21 KB
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  • #4,706
  • Nov 30, 2010 4:45am Nov 30, 2010 4:45am
IN 1.2882 price enter the prz (potential reversal zone )of bat pattern maybe price change direction
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurchf d.gif Size: 21 KB
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  • #4,707
  • Nov 30, 2010 5:47am Nov 30, 2010 5:47am
Long Gold based on my TFM/SR model
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gold11.gif Size: 20 KB
  • #4,708
  • Nov 30, 2010 5:50am Nov 30, 2010 5:50am
still holding long U/Cad
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ucad12.gif Size: 22 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: ucad1.gif Size: 23 KB
  • #4,709
  • Nov 30, 2010 5:52am Nov 30, 2010 5:52am
Quoting shahab8b
G/J, still might fall further
G/J As expected
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gj 1.gif Size: 22 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gj2.gif Size: 21 KB
  • #4,710
  • Nov 30, 2010 5:55am Nov 30, 2010 5:55am
Quoting Zkf
Hello Shah:

The COT data on your timingchart site seems be not updating. The firgure for 26th, Nov is same with 19th,Nov. I have checked several currency pairs, all the same issue. Could you have a look?

Thanks

Mike
Hi Mike,
Please take a few min and read the first page of my thread. After that if you still have questions let me know, I'll be happy to be of help.
  • #4,711
  • Nov 30, 2010 5:59am Nov 30, 2010 5:59am
Quoting majid.hesari
IN 1.2882 price enter the prz (potential reversal zone )of bat pattern maybe price change direction
Nice chart, I like his one
  • #4,712
  • Nov 30, 2010 6:03am Nov 30, 2010 6:03am
Quoting majid.hesari
hd- on 61.8fibo in d1 and rd- in h4
but price goes down with 32 bar and goes up with 21 bar
when looking at hidden div, I prefer the first one (the reference previous low/high) to be below 50 RSI on a bearish set up and above 50 RSI on a bullish set up.The reason is I think down trend should be below 50 and uptrend above 50 when looking at the fist swing, for 2nd swing it's fine to cross 50 limit as you can locate the hidden div.
At your chart ,U/J. You've got daily chart and in daily I think hidden div will be a bullish one (if it happens) but if you switch to weekly chart you will see you are right to be bearish due to bearish hidden div.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: uj.gif Size: 19 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: uj1.gif Size: 19 KB
  • #4,713
  • Nov 30, 2010 6:33am Nov 30, 2010 6:33am
Thank you for your guide shahab
show me the money
  • #4,714
  • Nov 30, 2010 9:13am Nov 30, 2010 9:13am
can i post my charts in this thread and ask opinion on my analysis?
  • #4,715
  • Nov 30, 2010 11:28am Nov 30, 2010 11:28am
Quoting torontobboy2
can i post my charts in this thread and ask opinion on my analysis?
Yes, sure you can.
  • #4,716
  • Nov 30, 2010 12:39pm Nov 30, 2010 12:39pm
Hi
Lookin on A/U daily we are still in uptrend move dont U think ? I put TP at 9.4 but this uptrend line dont convince me of that.
http://img508.imageshack.us/img508/5100/audusdp.gif
http://img508.imageshack.us/f/audusdp.gif/
  • #4,717
  • Nov 30, 2010 12:45pm Nov 30, 2010 12:45pm
Quoting shahab8b
AUDCAD,
Head & Shoulders in play but look for trading long the AB=CD pattern+23% fib then switching to short
AUDCAD
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aucad2.gif Size: 29 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: aucad3.gif Size: 29 KB
  • #4,718
  • Nov 30, 2010 7:19pm Nov 30, 2010 7:19pm
Quoting Arab
Hi
Lookin on A/U daily we are still in uptrend move dont U think ? I put TP at 9.4 but this uptrend line dont convince me of that.

http://img508.imageshack.us/f/audusdp.gif/
Hi,
A/U trend:
hr/ 4hr/ daily : down trend , key levels are .97 and .9950
weekly/monthly :up trend, key level is .94

IMO, stay short TP at .9420
  • #4,719
  • Dec 1, 2010 12:02am Dec 1, 2010 12:02am
i think up trend is finished
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audcad.gif Size: 72 KB
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  • #4,720
  • Dec 1, 2010 3:56am Dec 1, 2010 3:56am
we have Two scenarios for the gold
at the first maybe price make AB=CD pattern

second make bat on 1413.31 also i think 3dc to 7 dc it s good time zone for this pattern
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gild h4.gif Size: 67 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gold h42.gif Size: 74 KB
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