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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #2,861
  • May 17, 2010 11:55am May 17, 2010 11:55am
Quoting Patience
May as well throw the SSI out there so you can see how your fellow traders are positioned.


hey p.... thanks for the info..............

//-----

will somebody please go next door and wake that dang eurchf up..... must have a hangover from the weekend party.... spring break is over guys, get movin..... start stirrin around, or i'll take my business elsewhere........h
to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #2,862
  • May 17, 2010 12:03pm May 17, 2010 12:03pm
Quoting Patience
May as well throw the SSI out there so you can see how your fellow traders are positioned.

May I echo the previous posters thanks I see these come from FXCM too.

An astonishing difference between last weeks COT positioning and FXCMs customer positioning, even with the largejump today in FCXM customer $ longs. Cheers.
  • #2,863
  • May 17, 2010 12:08pm May 17, 2010 12:08pm
shahab8b - Tremendous work, and an excellent ethic for posting details and explanations, a true gentleman

I have to say I use some similar price analysis by the looks of things, but may I ask what other indicators you use beyond price action, and COT data of course I see RSI often on your charts. Pivot points? Any other indicators? Any otehr sentiment guages? etc

Many thanks.
  • #2,864
  • May 17, 2010 12:17pm May 17, 2010 12:17pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
Closed 2nd short on E/U from 1.2400 at 1.2318 (82+)
2nd short on E/J from 114.75 at 113.55 (120+)

I'm almost done for the week (reached my 4% weekly target on Sun & Mon), may be I take a break. We'll see.

On a separate note, US/UK/Europe equities are about to fall hard imo, try to catch the move on short A/U, N/U A/J N/J Cad/J E/J G/J.
Hey there Shahab...
Sounds like a good start of the week for you!
This week I joined the train as well.
Got some shorts A/U , long U/CAD running.

After cashing in last week on A/J and CAD/J I had pending sell orders for those around the weekly pivots.. but those have not been filled.

Small Long EUR/AUD did also do pretty nice today with EUR recovering more.
But took profit on that one already now

Still happy with my A/U and U/CAD though.
For A/J and CAD/J I will now look for possible entries. without a new low now we could still see the levels of daily / weekly pivots on those crosses.
Or what other possible re-entries do you see?

Regards and happy pippin
-Tuner-
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: cad_jpy.gif Size: 18 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: aud_jpy.gif Size: 19 KB
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #2,865
  • May 17, 2010 12:26pm May 17, 2010 12:26pm
Quoting shahab8b
Closed 2nd short on E/U from 1.2400 at 1.2318 (82+)
2nd short on E/J from 114.75 at 113.55 (120+)

I'm almost done for the week (reached my 4% weekly target on Sun & Mon), may be I take a break. We'll see.

On a separate note, US/UK/Europe equities are about to fall hard imo, try to catch the move on short A/U, N/U A/J N/J Cad/J E/J G/J.
Nice job Shahab!
  • #2,866
  • Edited 2:14pm May 17, 2010 12:34pm | Edited 2:14pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting hayseed
hey p.... thanks for the info..............

//-----

will somebody please go next door and wake that dang eurchf up..... must have a hangover from the weekend party.... spring break is over guys, get movin..... start stirrin around, or i'll take my business elsewhere........h
Hey there hayseed,

Hope you are doin fine..
EUR/CHF can go on like this for days.. or even weeks.
pretty tight range without either bad news for the EUR again... or some SNB-action again.
I got a small long from 1,40 with tight stopLoss. Hoping for some action as well. So are you long as well..or waiting for the break to the downside?

The 1,40 seems to be another important area at the moment.
If SNB intervenes as they used to we could sure see partytime to the upside
But lookin at the PA here it seems to me that the SNB is already active "protecting" that level.

edit: Just cashed in for tiny 13 pips. prefer the sure pips on EUR at the moment.
Left a lil micro-lot open..just in case...or just for fun
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #2,867
  • May 17, 2010 3:39pm May 17, 2010 3:39pm
hey tuner..... it's all too sunny here.... keep expectin that lighting bolt......

no doubt it has been my best 5 days ever.... priscilla is down at the walmart , shopping for a new tv now..... nothing wrong with the 15" we have, it gits 3 channels and you can't watch but 1 at a time anyway..........

//------


yep, i'm long the eurchf...... really would like to see 1.4125 but will except whats given.... it is my diet coke and diet dr pepper money..... no, i'm not addicted..... can quit anytime......h
to trade and code, keep both simple... no call to impress....h
  • #2,868
  • May 17, 2010 4:07pm May 17, 2010 4:07pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting hayseed
hey tuner..... it's all too sunny here.... keep expectin that lighting bolt......

no doubt it has been my best 5 days ever.... priscilla is down at the walmart , shopping for a new tv now..... nothing wrong with the 15" we have, it gits 3 channels and you can't watch but 1 at a time anyway..........

//------


yep, i'm long the eurchf...... really would like to see 1.4125 but will except whats given.... it is my diet coke and diet dr pepper money..... no, i'm not addicted..... can quit anytime......h
That sounds good

So your EAs perform well at the moment?
The one on Shahabs TFM with the LSR in action as well?
would be interesting to see some results

Could need a new TV as well.. but not enough profits for that yet
On April 1st.. I was lucky with the EUR/CHF. entered a long 10 minutes before SNB intervention. quickest 200+ pips I ever earned.
But it looks a bit different this time to me. we will see...

Good luck to you!
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #2,869
  • May 17, 2010 6:05pm May 17, 2010 6:05pm
Quoting shahab8b
I think we should open a Hedge Fund, you and I, you as the risk manager as whenever you said I should be cautious and I didn't listen I burnt my fingers.(like that short gold which I lost 4% on one call)
lol - I missed this post the first time around. I don't think investors would be overwhelmed with my trading results. You achieve 4% in a couple of days, I'm lucky if I can achieve 4% in the odd month Yeah, I'm too conservative - probably would be a good risk manager.

Mighty fine turnaround this afternoon I see with US indices actually eeking out gains. Some traders will be needing a neck brace with all this whiplashing. No sentiment reading this evening - bit sporadic these days.
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #2,870
  • May 17, 2010 6:15pm May 17, 2010 6:15pm
Kiwi short trade;

I'm not trading it as I will be out at night with friends, but seems good RRR and set up for short

S>R
Div
W.S1
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #2,871
  • May 17, 2010 6:29pm May 17, 2010 6:29pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting Patience
lol - I missed this post the first time around. I don't think investors would be overwhelmed with my trading results. You achieve 4% in a couple of days, I'm lucky if I can achieve 4% in the odd month Yeah, I'm too conservative - probably would be a good risk manager.

Mighty fine turnaround this afternoon I see with US indices actually eeking out gains. Some traders will be needing a neck brace with all this whiplashing. No sentiment reading this evening - bit sporadic these days.

If you guys open a hedge-fund I am in...
You can offer the different risk-leves then...
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #2,872
  • May 17, 2010 6:30pm May 17, 2010 6:30pm
Quoting Saxon
Nice job Shahab!
Hi Shahab,

I am beating my head for missing this trade cuz I fell asleep just woke up,but either ways I ended up making arnd +90 pips for the whole day! will be following you and Saxon closely for some good trades

Keep em coming

Thanks

Mahsam
  • #2,873
  • May 17, 2010 7:45pm May 17, 2010 7:45pm
Hi,

First of all I would like to say that I've been quietly observing this thread for some time now and I find it very interesting.

I thought I would share a link which I came across. It is too related to COT reports and having COT as a filter.

http://articles.mql4.com/867

Check it out and tell me what you think.

It could work well together with RSI setup.

Regards,
Marek
  • #2,874
  • May 17, 2010 8:57pm May 17, 2010 8:57pm
Quoting Bouzies
Ok, here is my first try at this strategy on EURGBP

RSI < 50 on daily chart --> SHORT setup
RSI >= 70 on 1h chart --> SHORT @ 0.8583

We will let you guys how it goes.

Ended up closing this trade on Friday @ 0.8513 for +70 pips and a decent result with using this strategy for the first time. I decided to close on Friday as I didn't want to leave trade open over the weekend and it also hit an area of support on the 1h chart.

Will keep on testing this strategy when the setup is right.
  • #2,875
  • May 17, 2010 10:47pm May 17, 2010 10:47pm
G'day team,

Can someone please post a pivot point indicator which plots "Daily" and "Weekly" pivots for me?

I formatted my HD and hence lost all the data, including indicator, template.

Thanks in advance.

Cheers
Puks
  • #2,876
  • May 17, 2010 10:53pm May 17, 2010 10:53pm
Quoting puks
G'day team,

Can someone please post a pivot point indicator which plots "Daily" and "Weekly" pivots for me?

I formatted my HD and hence lost all the data, including indicator, template.

Thanks in advance.

Cheers
Puks
Take your pick.

Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 #Pivot-point-vTEXT-v2.ex4   19 KB | 398 downloads


Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 FXI Pivots.ex4   25 KB | 380 downloads


Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 PivotsDaily.ex4   11 KB | 406 downloads


Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 PivotsMonthly.ex4   11 KB | 373 downloads


Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 P-Monthly.ex4   6 KB | 363 downloads
  • #2,877
  • May 17, 2010 11:06pm May 17, 2010 11:06pm
Quoting puks
G'day team,

Can someone please post a pivot point indicator which plots "Daily" and "Weekly" pivots for me?

I formatted my HD and hence lost all the data, including indicator, template.

Thanks in advance.

Cheers
Puks
You can turn on/off Daily/weekly/Monthly Pivots.
Attached File(s)
File Type: mq4 AutoPivotIndicator.mq4   14 KB | 251 downloads
  • #2,878
  • May 18, 2010 3:06am May 18, 2010 3:06am
Hi

How does this trade look .. any views on this ?

Buy USD/CAD @1.0222 SL:1.01900 TP:1.02800.

http://i592.photobucket.com/albums/t...ntaims2/uc.gif
Anything is possible; everything is negotiable
  • #2,879
  • May 18, 2010 3:41am May 18, 2010 3:41am
Quoting longshort25
You can turn on/off Daily/weekly/Monthly Pivots.
Thanks guys.
  • #2,880
  • May 18, 2010 3:41am May 18, 2010 3:41am
Quoting TheLastCoke
Take your pick.

Attachment

Attachment

Attachment

Attachment

Attachment
Thanks a lot mate.

cheers
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