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  • #148,121
  • Sep 30, 2009 11:10am Sep 30, 2009 11:10am
Bears on the US session shorting, again and will be taking home a lump of coal. {again}
----- Dragonfly out in the sun you know what I mean, don't you know
  • #148,122
  • Sep 30, 2009 11:22am Sep 30, 2009 11:22am
As for now market couldn't pass and close above %38.2 Fib retrace at 1.4650 on H4 time frame.

If a candle closes above that level then %50 at 4690 and then %61.8 at 4725 are possible next target for this retrace in the way up ... If not then 1.4400 would be the next major support for the next leg down.
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #148,123
  • Sep 30, 2009 11:24am Sep 30, 2009 11:24am
Quoting Byrd
That's up for debate...


I posted this chart earlier before the rally but it still holds true. Monthly resistance at 1.4750, a close below 1.4621 would make me feel pretty good about shorts for the next few months.

To be seen
what you happen a close below 1.4621 ? not understand. can you explain in details please.
thanks ,
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #148,124
  • Sep 30, 2009 11:33am Sep 30, 2009 11:33am
Quoting X.Oden
Go short....Daily is in a downtrend......

Can you point to it????
Maybe you could just define trend for us.

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  • #148,125
  • Sep 30, 2009 11:35am Sep 30, 2009 11:35am
Quoting fontu
what you happen a close below 1.4621 ? not understand. can you explain in details please.
thanks ,
fontu

61.8% retrace on the daily = 1.4621
  • #148,126
  • Sep 30, 2009 11:36am Sep 30, 2009 11:36am
Quoting The Fool
E/U - S&P correlation has been fickle. Bullish signs all around, though. I only said I would bet on a dip off the green NFP figure. Right now, I'm short off .4671 for 20 pips. If I can stay awake til NFP I will play a short break-out - tight sl, maybe 30 pip tp. A gamble, nothing more.
Well, I was wrong about the employment figure, but I still got the pips anyway. I love forex!
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #148,127
  • Sep 30, 2009 11:39am Sep 30, 2009 11:39am
i think even i shud stay out till NFP time to rest for a while...will wait for new fresh set ups...
  • #148,128
  • Sep 30, 2009 11:40am Sep 30, 2009 11:40am
Quoting The Fool
Well, I was wrong about the employment figure, but I still got the pips anyway. I love forex!

When I saw the numbers I thought {damn I hope he still shorts}
  • #148,129
  • Sep 30, 2009 11:41am Sep 30, 2009 11:41am
Quoting The Fool
Well, I was wrong about the employment figure, but I still got the pips anyway. I love forex!
true forex is lovable

trading is best profession on earth if u really understand and know what u are doing
  • #148,130
  • Sep 30, 2009 12:10pm Sep 30, 2009 12:10pm
what's your lowest short?


Quoting fontu
Yes daily down but H4 stoches posing strikingly up & strong sr at 1.4636. I did not close any of my shorts builded & now they are lot & will not close before near 1.4610. whatever happen.
fontu
In Charts We Trust!
  • #148,131
  • Sep 30, 2009 12:11pm Sep 30, 2009 12:11pm
Quoting acumen
no telling what the bank turd cutters have on tap.

i'm done for today.

won't trade until after NFP.

m

PS - if you must short wait until after 3.
i did for a whopping 20 PIPS.

i wish i would have held on because the 3 o'clock fade really did fade today.
  • #148,132
  • Sep 30, 2009 12:11pm Sep 30, 2009 12:11pm
You see the top? You see where price is? its in a downtrend...if it were an uptrend, price would be at the top....understand? We've been in a downtrend for 6 days now...





Quoting knuckledrag
Can you point to it????
Maybe you could just define trend for us.

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In Charts We Trust!
  • #148,133
  • Sep 30, 2009 12:23pm Sep 30, 2009 12:23pm
Quoting X.Oden
You see the top? You see where price is? its in a downtrend...if it were an uptrend, price would be at the top....understand? We've been in a downtrend for 6 days now...


Oh, you mean the retrace. here you can see it better on the four hour. that's it there with the thing that looks like an inverted H&S at the end.

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  • #148,134
  • Sep 30, 2009 12:28pm Sep 30, 2009 12:28pm
In approximately 33 minutes those Porsche tires are going to be in my garage!
----- Dragonfly out in the sun you know what I mean, don't you know
  • #148,135
  • Sep 30, 2009 12:28pm Sep 30, 2009 12:28pm
Quoting acumen
i did for a whopping 20 PIPS.

i wish i would have held on because the 3 o'clock fade really did fade today.
I took it a little before 3:00, as soon as it fell under R1 and got 21 pips. Too much consolidation around 4620 from earlier today so I bailed @ 4628 when it started stalling.

Mike
  • #148,136
  • Sep 30, 2009 12:31pm Sep 30, 2009 12:31pm
We might see some super moves in and around asian session. Be on the look out.
  • #148,137
  • Sep 30, 2009 12:37pm Sep 30, 2009 12:37pm
Quoting X.Oden
You see the top? You see where price is? its in a downtrend...if it were an uptrend, price would be at the top....understand? We've been in a downtrend for 6 days now...
I don't see this as a downtrend just yet, and for that reason caution is needed when entering short or long.....imo
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Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #148,138
  • Sep 30, 2009 1:08pm Sep 30, 2009 1:08pm
Agreed...caution is always a good thing.

Quoting realjumper
I don't see this as a downtrend just yet, and for that reason caution is needed when entering short or long.....imo
In Charts We Trust!
  • #148,139
  • Sep 30, 2009 1:15pm Sep 30, 2009 1:15pm
Quoting X.Oden
Agreed...caution is always a good thing.
Indeed. I might be tempted into a long soon, but it depends on how this plays out....
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Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #148,140
  • Sep 30, 2009 1:48pm Sep 30, 2009 1:48pm
Back to 1.4650 after a 12-hour jay walk of emotions and money.
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