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Walk the Talk from a fun loving discretionary trader 46 replies

You talk the talk I walk the talk 8 replies

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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #17,521
  • Sep 14, 2009 10:24am Sep 14, 2009 10:24am
Quoting TradeWell
Steady....

One candle at a time....
yeah.. that's the way....
  • #17,522
  • Sep 14, 2009 6:09pm Sep 14, 2009 6:09pm
Defenetly, one candle at a time, the 23.6% fibo of the last run up is at 4718+/- and the 61.8% fibo of the last run down is at 1.4613 +/- if you go back at the august 2008 there it was some action, the last high at 4718 could be or should I sai, will, retest this high and maybe bounce back, if the fibo 61.8% wish is being breached, govern, then the retest to 4718 is a done deal, today tomorrow or the day after, and if the 61.8% is more important than the 23.6% of the last run up then a retest of the 1.6000 is in play for christmas maybe, if the crisis dosen't make the W wave that is rumored
a chart to explain myself bether, sorry my english is like my fourth language, in another words it will go to 4718 and it may go to 1.6000 but, last year was the same thing more or less and when it fail it didn't take no prisoners

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please correct me if I'm wrong
The Chonchy
  • #17,523
  • Sep 15, 2009 3:35am Sep 15, 2009 3:35am
Sept 15, Celebrating Lehman
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  • #17,524
  • Sep 15, 2009 4:10am Sep 15, 2009 4:10am
Remember Sept, 15...

$600billion erased in a single session...

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...58872&page=772 and following pages

A must-read

http://i2.photobucket.com/albums/y28/cesarnc/ws.jpg
  • #17,525
  • Sep 15, 2009 11:15am Sep 15, 2009 11:15am
Quoting cesarnc
Remember Sept, 15...

$600billion erased in a single session...

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...58872&page=772 and following pages

A must-read
I think it's more like this page.
  • #17,526
  • Sep 15, 2009 12:09pm Sep 15, 2009 12:09pm
Quoting TradeWell
I think it's more like this page.
I meant Sept, 15 for they are "celebrating" the collapse of Lehman Brothers as Day 1.
  • #17,527
  • Sep 15, 2009 12:30pm Sep 15, 2009 12:30pm
Quoting TradeWell
Steady....

One candle at a time....


Yes but one comes every minute How is everybody?
Just Trade It
  • #17,528
  • Sep 15, 2009 12:58pm Sep 15, 2009 12:58pm
Quoting cesarnc
Nice Ride!!!

But when you start your clothing company, you will look like me in the fabric-purchasing days...

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_0LlKkQ7nRJ...funny_bike.jpg

Check out that high tech 3 wheel suspension.
I'm not that far yet, sent my design to a designer () to finish out the logo, will study fabrics and stitching when I'm back from vacation.
Also researching manufactures .......in china, of course. Taiwan as well.
Just Trade It
  • #17,529
  • Sep 15, 2009 1:26pm Sep 15, 2009 1:26pm
Everybody? Here's how's everybody...


What if they planned a stock market correction and nobody came?

Although investors were widely expected to return after the Labor Day holiday, volume has remained surprisingly light. The reason: so many people are worried about a big selloff that they're staying out of stocks—at least for now. And that's kept the market relatively flat so far this month.


"Everyone is just kind of looking at the long end in general, hoping for a correction of some magnitude and it's not coming," says Michael Cohn, chief investment strategist at Atlantis Asset Management in New York. "So everyone is really just sitting on their hands and not doing anything to a great extent."
  • #17,530
  • Sep 15, 2009 1:30pm Sep 15, 2009 1:30pm
Quoting Big Wave Rider
Check out that high tech 3 wheel suspension.
I'm not that far yet, sent my design to a designer () to finish out the logo, will study fabrics and stitching when I'm back from vacation.
Also researching manufactures .......in china, of course. Taiwan as well.
Go for prime fabrics. Do not save a buck on this one...

Go for prime manufacturing quality. Every time I visit a new customer, they check the fabric once and the quality of the stitching 6 times. And they go "a-ha! very nice work"... You say the price, they can't whine.

You need to squeeze costs? Squeeze the Taiwan fellas.
  • #17,531
  • Sep 15, 2009 2:10pm Sep 15, 2009 2:10pm
Quoting cesarnc
... "So everyone is really just sitting on their hands and not doing anything to a great extent."
Well yeah, just wait until there IS a correction then everybody will want to jump on the bandwagon, making it a BIGGER correction. Then,,,BUY!!!
  • #17,532
  • Sep 15, 2009 6:28pm Sep 15, 2009 6:28pm
it is school dance time, everybody is afraid to be the first couple on the floor. c'mon already, get it over with!!!!!!!!!!
  • #17,533
  • Sep 15, 2009 7:03pm Sep 15, 2009 7:03pm
That's very funny...

Warren Buffet on the weekend right before Lehman's collapse.
(...)
He (Buffet) also recalls that he got a phone call Saturday night from Barclay Capital's Bob Diamond, asking about a complicated reinsurance deal that might have convinced the British government to allow Barclay's to come to Lehman's rescue.

About to go to a social event in Edmonton, he asked for a fax with details of the proposal. But when he got back to his hotel at midnight, there was no fax and he assumed the idea hadn't worked out.


Today, in a on-stage appearance (...) Buffett reveals that 10 months later, with the help of his tech-savvy daughter Susan, he discovered a number of voice-mail messages on his cell phone from that weekend, including one from Diamond.

Did his inability to work his cell phone send Lehman to its doom? Probably not. There was a lot going on that night, and it seems unlikely that one connection could have made everything go right when everything was going wrong. (My remark: we will never know, will we? )
  • #17,534
  • Sep 16, 2009 2:54am Sep 16, 2009 2:54am
Quoting cesarnc
Go for prime fabrics. Do not save a buck on this one...

Go for prime manufacturing quality. Every time I visit a new customer, they check the fabric once and the quality of the stitching 6 times. And they go "a-ha! very nice work"... You say the price, they can't whine.

You need to squeeze costs? Squeeze the Taiwan fellas.

Not looking to save money, not yet anyways. Looking at who can make the best quality without costing a fortune or having your design stolen from the same people making it. Quality is number 1 for this company since it will be here in Switzerland and every body here are quality freaks.
(hence no wal mart in Swiss land)
Just Trade It
  • #17,535
  • Sep 16, 2009 3:00am Sep 16, 2009 3:00am
Technically, euro has a free way to 1.50 now, no?

And UJ is about to lose the $90 figure, next stop $87. WTH is going on with Yen??!

Is it the end of the carry trade?
  • #17,536
  • Sep 16, 2009 3:31am Sep 16, 2009 3:31am
Quoting cesarnc
Technically, euro has a free way to 1.50 now, no?

And UJ is about to lose the $90 figure, next stop $87. WTH is going on with Yen??!

Is it the end of the carry trade?

Who cares? I have to get ready for my vacation in Spain. This is the set up that my system requires. Vacation and a box of cheap wine are my entry signal. Exit signal is when all wine has been consumed.
Just Trade It
  • #17,537
  • Sep 16, 2009 3:32am Sep 16, 2009 3:32am
Dow Fut +42 on Bernanke's comments that recession "likely over".

Not bad for someone who took 12 months to realize the US was in a recession...

  • #17,538
  • Sep 16, 2009 3:50am Sep 16, 2009 3:50am
Quoting cesarnc
Dow Fut +42 on Bernanke's comments that recession "likely over".

Not bad for someone who took 12 months to realize the US was in a recession...


A jobless recovery has me

So in order to get out of this recession we need easy credit with low intrest loans. Is that now how we got into this recession
I think the dow may rise, but we are a far away from recovery.

Key word, asset inflation
Then bubble
then *POOF*
Just Trade It
  • #17,539
  • Sep 16, 2009 4:01am Sep 16, 2009 4:01am
Gotta go.. Hitting the road today to visit customers, get my $$, deliver new collection.

I'm delivery guy / cash collector at least until next Tuesday...

Oh boy, I could use a good vacation, too....

Long Dow, Long Bovespa (60,000 points this week? ) Long oil
  • #17,540
  • Sep 16, 2009 5:03am Sep 16, 2009 5:03am
jobless recovery: think the 70's. there was gdp growth, but there was not alot of hiring, nor layoffs, hence jobless recovery. in layman's terms, all the jobs that were lost will not be coming back anytime soon, unless things change with govt spending and taxes.

easy credit is one thing, but giving easy credit and large lines of credit to people who do not make any money or can afford a house, along with the out of control govt spending, that is what got us into this recession.
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