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  • #32,841
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:22am Sep 22, 2008 11:22am
Quoting Algirdas

EUR/USD nera 1.4811
4811 is also 20 day high (the turtle breakout method main trigger).

I'm wondering where you got that exact number? Is that pivot or something?
  • #32,842
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:23am Sep 22, 2008 11:23am
Gold ... 110 touched
  • #32,843
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:24am Sep 22, 2008 11:24am
Quoting acumen
Looks like a up day on my charts.

Long term... headed south.

No one wants a weak dollar.

If you think the zone economies are bad now... put the EURO back above .6 for a quarter or two.

Sure... the US sucks... falling apart... if we collapse (we won't) we take the world with us. There's no decoupling.

I stand by my longer term analysis. You are witnessing the bottom of the US economy.

This may labor on for a few months but we move up after that.

m
I absolutely can’t agree with that, long term is LONG, middle term was short but after confirmation of that monthly pin bar it will be history, short term or intraday is long.
I only talk about what I have on my charts and that is what I trade.
Are we talking about the same currency pair, mine is EUR/USD.
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  • #32,844
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:26am Sep 22, 2008 11:26am
As the light oil going just straight up to 125.80$ now eurusd to test first 1.4820 resistant & if not break then possibly 1.4959 today.
Just waiting for the confirm break to short only . till then watch & watch.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #32,845
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:28am Sep 22, 2008 11:28am
Quoting fontu
As the light oil going just straight up to 125.80$ now eurusd to test first 1.4820 resistant & if not break then possibly 1.4959 today.

fontu

Oil is a madman, but I doubt it will sustain rally. This is a SAFE haven bet for people panicking to get out of markets, into gold, NYMEX
  • #32,846
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:28am Sep 22, 2008 11:28am
Quoting SunTrader
Figures, they never get the contract rollover right, or much else.
Sun how is your long USD trend??? Looks like your quotes on Oil are screwed too.

ouch!
  • #32,847
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:31am Sep 22, 2008 11:31am
Quoting seesaw
Oil is a madman, but I doubt it will sustain rally. This is a SAFE haven bet for people panicking to get out of markets, into gold, NYMEX
i fully agree....it is directly corelated to the ban on short selling implemented last thursday....people cant short anymore...they dont want to buy stocks either since its still a nasty situation so what do they do...they go where there is money to be made...commodities and currencies
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #32,848
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:31am Sep 22, 2008 11:31am
Quoting psiholog
oil +25 dollars for today.....what the fuuuuudgee....3 hurricanes rolled in...it went lower....and now all of a sudden +25 in one day?...talk about manipulation
I have a little over $14 at $119.17 what oil are you looking at?
  • #32,849
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:33am Sep 22, 2008 11:33am
Quoting homestudy
I have a little over $14 at $119.17 what oil are you looking at?
i was watching on bloomberg tv...it reached as high as 128$ per barrel
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #32,850
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:34am Sep 22, 2008 11:34am
Wow,

huge drop in gold, EURUSD up
  • #32,851
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:36am Sep 22, 2008 11:36am
Quoting psiholog
oil +25 dollars for today.....what the fuuuuudgee....3 hurricanes rolled in...it went lower....and now all of a sudden +25 in one day?...talk about manipulation
Oil is not +25 today. It is +$4.275 ATM. NYMEX crude front contract. How many times do I need to say it.

Edit: It is +$6.20 ATM look in wrong spot.
  • #32,852
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:36am Sep 22, 2008 11:36am
Oil trades in the month of october tomorrow. Options expire and big hedge funds having to buy back options. Thats the rumor
  • #32,853
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:39am Sep 22, 2008 11:39am
1M chart if you don't believe. And the last bar on that chart is 2:38 EST:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #32,854
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:41am Sep 22, 2008 11:41am
Quoting turboguru
Oil trades in the month of october tomorrow. Options expire and big hedge funds having to buy back options. Thats the rumor
Oil ends trading in the October contract tomorrow, you mean.

Then that is different, special situation, short squeeze. But most of the volume has moved to the Nov'08 contract. So this is the price going forward and that affects future delivery of gasoline.
  • #32,855
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:47am Sep 22, 2008 11:47am
Quoting SunTrader
Oil ends trading in the October contract tomorrow, you mean.

Then that is different, special situation, short squeeze. But most of the volume has moved to the Nov'08 contract. So this is the price going forward and that affects future delivery of gasoline.
They keep saying it starts in the october contract. Still don't understand all the cotract stuff new to all this.
  • #32,856
  • Edited 12:08pm Sep 22, 2008 11:48am | Edited 12:08pm
Quoting SunTrader
Oil is not +25 today. It is +$4.275 ATM. NYMEX crude front contract. How many times do I need to say it.

Edit: It is +$6.20 ATM look in wrong spot.
I'm not into oil, but at
http://www.livecharts.co.uk/MarketCharts/crude.php you clearly have two separate choices of quotes, one is labeled "Brent" and the other simply "Light"

The Light price is what the talking heads seem to be using, and the Brent price is very close to your quote. Everyone seems to be correct, but I have no idea who is right...
FUBAR...
  • #32,857
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:49am Sep 22, 2008 11:49am
Quoting cobraforex
I absolutely can’t agree with that, long term is LONG, middle term was short but after confirmation of that monthly pin bar it will be history, short term or intraday is long.
I only talk about what I have on my charts and that is what I trade.
Are we talking about the same currency pair, mine is EUR/USD.
You must trade what you see not what you believe.

I don't think we are seeing repricing here.

If we were - the US failures should put this pair above .6.

I just don't see that happening.

Let's bet dinner on it.

So...you think the EURO will be higher year end than it is now?

I say lower.

I like steak... medium rare... baked potato with enough butter so the tater disappears.

Will the pair be above or below .4800 in 2 months?
  • #32,858
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:50am Sep 22, 2008 11:50am
doesnt look like euro is retracting. short closes at 1.4815. who knows where this rollercoaster is going.
  • #32,859
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:52am Sep 22, 2008 11:52am
Quoting acumen
Let's bet dinner on it.

So...you think the EURO will be higher year end than it is now? I say lower.

I like steak... medium rare... baked potato with enough butter so the tater disappears.

Will the pair be above or below .4800 in 2 months?
Hey, you better save me a seat as well. The bacon crunchies are kinda nice.
FUBAR...
  • #32,860
  • Sep 22, 2008 11:54am Sep 22, 2008 11:54am
Quoting ak4x
Hey, you better save me a seat as well. The bacon crunchies are kinda nice.
Knights of the round table.

I want to be Sir Lancelot.. apparently he got all the tail.

m
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