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  • #26,721
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:34am Sep 3, 2008 9:34am
i hope this volatility would subside.i am still hanging in shorts.i hope that last bull wave did not take out your stops.i hope this pair comes back down soon.i am tired of this up down movements.trader801,acumen,jurassic,kasper,how are you guys holding out.
  • #26,722
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:35am Sep 3, 2008 9:35am
Quoting mikkom
About the bid/ask sizes - I don't think those values tell much, just a bit about volatility.

As I said, I think this is a bear market until there is some real evidence like couple of updays and price not going back to 1.4440.

I think it's just gaining momentum and will break it but I wouldn't short right now (I still however have one short that is in profit and I'm keeping it open)
you will have your answer soon. 1.4500 is currently the strong resistance, if it becomes the support...well you figure it out

shorter term, 1.4465 is termporary strong support..if broken...the bears mauled this taurus to death =/
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #26,723
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:36am Sep 3, 2008 9:36am
Quoting ak4x
I don't know about a "2 day fib" unless it means something significant price wise. I look for swing hi/lo's no matter the duration.

Suntrader had an excellent post a few days ago about his swing points. You have to start right to end up right....

Bottom line for me is this fib has been up for some time now on my chart, and price missed the -79% by 3 pips. Works for me....
Appreciate the reply.
Up or down, gimme a ticket
  • #26,724
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:38am Sep 3, 2008 9:38am
I'm still shorting this pair
  • #26,725
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:38am Sep 3, 2008 9:38am
Quoting oolides
i hope this volatility would subside.i am still hanging in shorts.i hope that last bull wave did not take out your stops.i hope this pair comes back down soon.i am tired of this up down movements.trader801,acumen,jurassic,kasper,how are you guys holding out.
I'm still short 2 lots.

I'll be out one at .4450 and the other at .4420.

Really - did I miss something... News... an Event?

Mike
  • #26,726
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:39am Sep 3, 2008 9:39am
Quoting Jurrasic
There was someone here posting those before once, looks like in slower and more calm market conditions it can really help to scalp small waves or observe a trend starting. Donno.. if and when I can afford the 2k monthly he mentioned (which should take some time.. ) I think it'll definetly be worth to get such a feed. Are you using that info to trade occasionaly ?
Eh I edited the reply to be more clear so it looks totally different now.. I always post too fast and then notice that I was unclear and edit the post..

No I don't use that info at all except to estimate the current volatility.

I don't scalp..
  • #26,727
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:40am Sep 3, 2008 9:40am
Quoting acumen
I'm still short 2 lots.

I'll be out one at .4450 and the other at .4420.

Really - did I miss something... News... an Event?

Mike
All you missed was big bounce off long-term support, as predicted by one of our posters a bit earlier. Now working its way back down from 4500 to either 4440, 4435 or SOUTH.
Up or down, gimme a ticket
  • #26,728
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:41am Sep 3, 2008 9:41am
Quoting oolides
i hope this volatility would subside.i am still hanging in shorts.i hope that last bull wave did not take out your stops.i hope this pair comes back down soon.i am tired of this up down movements.trader801,acumen,jurassic,kasper,how are you guys holding out.

oolides after my monster kill from margin, i am doing 4 cents a pip.. i feel so less stress now.. am rather happy LoL this is wierd
  • #26,729
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:41am Sep 3, 2008 9:41am
Quoting acumen
I'm still short 2 lots.

I'll be out one at .4450 and the other at .4420.

Really - did I miss something... News... an Event?

Mike
It's the long term support line at 4440. For me this looks that big players are trying to decide if that should be the bottom with order sizes that really move the market at the moment.
  • #26,730
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:43am Sep 3, 2008 9:43am
I'm short, a bit bigger than I should be. The longs from yesterday got to me. Will tp most around 430. I'm repeatedly reminded of how I should stick to trading 5m-15m charts and intraday trends and forget about this larger picture stuff alltogether. Waiting for days and more on positions is totally not for me, relative profit potential sucks, and just takes a lot more patience and nerves to trade.
Quoting trading801
oolides after my monster kill from margin, i am doing 4 cents a pip.. i feel so less stress now.. am rather happy LoL this is wierd
Just don't forget that a bit of stress is still good. Otherwise you'll be tempted to jump in the market every minute.
On the path to Enrichment.
  • #26,731
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:43am Sep 3, 2008 9:43am
Looking at price action we are going up atleast to 1.46..But it's very risky to trade against major trend...
  • #26,732
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:46am Sep 3, 2008 9:46am
Can you give link to Suntrader post about 'the Suntrader excellent post a few days ago about his swing points.' ???



Quoting ak4x
I don't know about a "2 day fib" unless it means something significant price wise. I look for swing hi/lo's no matter the duration.

I plot fibs all over the place and when I find the ones that work, I tend to stick with them. For me that's essentially daily hi'lo's when in a range, and swing hi/lo's on longer TF's always.

Only thing I don't do is try to fib price cycles that are uncompleted, in other words, altho the current session low has a very good chance of being todays daily low, it's not a closed period yet, and therefor not valid, at least for me anyway. Daily low would be yesterday at 5pm for me as that's when my new daily bar starts. Suntrader had an excellent post a few days ago about his swing points. You have to start right to end up right....

Bottom line for me is this fib has been up for some time now on my chart, and price missed the -79% by 3 pips. Works for me....
  • #26,733
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:47am Sep 3, 2008 9:47am
Quoting trading801
oolides after my monster kill from margin, i am doing 4 cents a pip.. i feel so less stress now.. am rather happy LoL this is wierd
you mean 40 cents a pip.that also what i have been trading since 08 08 08.dont worry we would be back bigger and better
  • #26,734
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:50am Sep 3, 2008 9:50am
The channel is not broken for me. I'm staying in for my t/p as mentioned in my earlier post.
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  • #26,735
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:50am Sep 3, 2008 9:50am
Quoting acumen
I'm still short 2 lots.

I'll be out one at .4450 and the other at .4420.

Really - did I miss something... News... an Event?

Mike
do you seriously think prices would reach those levels.i really wish they could but i think we are approaching a bullish run now.what do you think
  • #26,736
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:51am Sep 3, 2008 9:51am
Quoting Jurrasic
I'm short, a bit bigger than I should be. The longs from yesterday got to me. Will tp most around 430. I'm repeatedly reminded of how I should stick to trading 5m-15m charts and intraday trends and forget about this larger picture stuff alltogether. Waiting for days and more on positions is totally not for me, relative profit potential sucks, and just takes a lot more patience and nerves to trade.
agreed....scalping especially is my favorite. longer term is irrelevant when trading in the moment. however...take a look at 4hour candlesticks...you say your short...how do you interpret that?
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #26,737
  • Edited 2:11pm Sep 3, 2008 9:52am | Edited 2:11pm
Quoting acumen
I'm still short 2 lots.

I'll be out one at .4450 and the other at .4420.

Really - did I miss something... News... an Event?

Mike
There was a H&S in formation about 1.5 H ago that I traded till 14495 TP (wasn't the most beautifull one 15M TF)
Now looks like it gets some kind of quiet, better shutting off.
  • #26,738
  • Sep 3, 2008 9:57am Sep 3, 2008 9:57am
It could also be that euro got nervous as we're nearing 1.43 and seems like oil should get closer to 100 before it really bounces up, so it's preparing for that last fall..
Quoting psiholog
agreed....scalping especially is my favorite. longer term is irrelevant when trading in the moment. however...take a look at 4hour candlesticks...you say your short...how do you interpret that?
1hr-15m suffices for that.
On the path to Enrichment.
  • #26,739
  • Sep 3, 2008 10:00am Sep 3, 2008 10:00am
Quoting oolides
you mean 40 cents a pip.that also what i have been trading since 08 08 08.dont worry we would be back bigger and better

no bro.. my funds are not in yet.. so it is really 4 CENTS hahahaah
  • #26,740
  • Sep 3, 2008 10:00am Sep 3, 2008 10:00am
Quoting 786 trading
Can you give link to Suntrader post about 'the Suntrader excellent post a few days ago about his swing points.' ???
nope, sorry. I just remember that he explained how he does it, and I picked up a good tip. Maybe do a search, or pm him real nice to point you in the right direction..

add: i think the post you want might be on page 1654 according to the google people.
FUBAR...
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