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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #101,361
  • Jul 16, 2008 10:07am Jul 16, 2008 10:07am
Quoting peaches
good entry for bull in a downmarket

would be 205.800 (!)

price now is at the 61.8 retracement of this day on my chart.
this is the pinbar i was talking about.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #101,362
  • Jul 16, 2008 10:17am Jul 16, 2008 10:17am
For the people noting the drop from yesterday, excellent work to you. I hope everybody made profit on it. Now we're waiting for it to work out as Malcolm said it would yesterday. Come back up to retest and then drop like a rock. I'm just waiting now for another good entry.
I dream, therefore I become.
  • #101,363
  • Jul 16, 2008 10:19am Jul 16, 2008 10:19am
Quoting mike w
For the people noting the drop from yesterday, excellent work to you. I hope everybody made profit on it. Now we're waiting for it to work out as Malcolm said it would yesterday. Come back up to retest and then drop like a rock. I'm just waiting now for another good entry.
hey mike, what price are u waiting for to short again?
  • #101,364
  • Jul 16, 2008 10:20am Jul 16, 2008 10:20am
Quoting lilmoe
ultimately yes. but it could be higher. heck today's low might be the bottom!!!!

something i wrote earlier:
thats interesting and itīs always good to think in both directons.

but, we have seen a ranging market for weeks. This range is broken to the downsite. We are not at 214, 215, 216 now.

I look at other yen-crosses, they behave the same way, so the yen is strong against other currencys. This startet 1 or 2 days after the rate decision of BOJ.

I must agree that this is not a normal carry unwinding, because stochachstics from tnx and vix are at a high level but stochachstic are crossing. The conditions are good.

I also see the swissy gaining again other currencys and i see gold rising
on my charts. The dollar will break out to the upsite imho. I think this unwinding will not be a fast hard fall, but a slow unwinding.

sorry for bad spelling, its not my language.
  • #101,365
  • Jul 16, 2008 10:25am Jul 16, 2008 10:25am
Quoting lilmoe
this is the pinbar i was talking about.

Attachment
seeing by eye is good, but i have not the skills like mr. nison.

I trust my indicator for pinbars :-)

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpjpy4h.gif Size: 20 KB
Attached File(s)
File Type: mq4 Candel Sticks.mq4   8 KB | 399 downloads
  • #101,366
  • Jul 16, 2008 10:32am Jul 16, 2008 10:32am
Quoting peaches
good entry for bull in a downmarket

would be 205.800 (!)

price now is at the 61.8 retracement of this day on my chart.
if look in daily candle chart GJ we see a hammer .
but this hammer is a false hammer or really a hammer .
at any rate we see a break weekly trendline for GJ.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 5.gif Size: 15 KB
  • #101,367
  • Jul 16, 2008 10:44am Jul 16, 2008 10:44am
hey everyone.

GJ looking better than comparing for last 2 weeks. Made some pips today finally. looking to short again @ 1HR 50EMA & 100SMA
Do not follow my trades. Trade what you see on your own charts.
  • #101,368
  • Jul 16, 2008 10:45am Jul 16, 2008 10:45am
Quoting peaches
thats interesting and itīs always good to think in both directons.

but, we have seen a ranging market for weeks. This range is broken to the downsite. We are not at 214, 215, 216 now.

I look at other yen-crosses, they behave the same way, so the yen is strong against other currencys. This startet 1 or 2 days after the rate decision of BOJ.

I must agree that this is not a normal carry unwinding, because stochachstics from tnx and vix are at a high level but stochachstic are crossing. The conditions are good.

I also see the swissy gaining again other currencys and i see gold rising
on my charts. The dollar will break out to the upsite imho. I think this unwinding will not be a fast hard fall, but a slow unwinding.

sorry for bad spelling, its not my language.

The market caught me this morning in a gbpchf short ... but instead of closing it I am just letting her ride with a very large stop. I think gold and the CHF will get stronger

The news today and yesterday is designed to prop the markets up ,.... I mean come on oil dropped to $133 ....$133 is everyone insane that they are excited about $133 oil ... $75 oil now that would be something to get excited about.

The news last 2 day was designed to shake some week shorts out of the markets and to lure some bulls in ...

200 GBPJPY BEFORE August 15th
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #101,369
  • Jul 16, 2008 10:46am Jul 16, 2008 10:46am
Quoting mike w
For the people noting the drop from yesterday, excellent work to you. I hope everybody made profit on it. Now we're waiting for it to work out as Malcolm said it would yesterday. Come back up to retest and then drop like a rock. I'm just waiting now for another good entry.
Hey Mike. how are you?
Do not follow my trades. Trade what you see on your own charts.
  • #101,370
  • Jul 16, 2008 10:48am Jul 16, 2008 10:48am
Quoting lilmoe
yikes!
hmmmmm that 4 hr gbp/chf looks like a fresh long. But the 200 ema is close on the 4 hr. Could slap it down. Risky thought because if 2.0365 breaks to the upside, long it goes I think.
Edit: FOMC minutes soon. Who knows what could happen.
  • #101,371
  • Jul 16, 2008 10:55am Jul 16, 2008 10:55am
hey mike..what entry you thinking for that sjort..im looking at 210.24 shorted there yesterday for some nice pips..hopin to get that price again


Quoting mike w
For the people noting the drop from yesterday, excellent work to you. I hope everybody made profit on it. Now we're waiting for it to work out as Malcolm said it would yesterday. Come back up to retest and then drop like a rock. I'm just waiting now for another good entry.
Fear's for the other guy
  • #101,372
  • Jul 16, 2008 10:59am Jul 16, 2008 10:59am
211.10 is now a key spot...i will watch price here and see...coz we get the break back down from here so will be a good spot to short or it could drip drip to the upside...

lets see were the daily closes today...baby..i'm out of the market till next week..coz i need confirmation from the weekly..

however if i see an opportunity for a 300-400 pip ride i might join in baby.....
  • #101,373
  • Jul 16, 2008 11:04am Jul 16, 2008 11:04am
Quoting PipChick
hmmmmm that 4 hr gbp/chf looks like a fresh long. But the 200 ema is close on the 4 hr. Could slap it down. Risky thought because if 2.0365 breaks to the upside, long it goes I think.
Edit: FOMC minutes soon. Who knows what could happen.

i agree , i think its too early to short now we have to wait
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  • #101,374
  • Jul 16, 2008 11:05am Jul 16, 2008 11:05am
Quoting malcolmb14
The market caught me this morning in a gbpchf short ... but instead of closing it I am just letting her ride with a very large stop. I think gold and the CHF will get stronger

The news today and yesterday is designed to prop the markets up ,.... I mean come on oil dropped to $133 ....$133 is everyone insane that they are excited about $133 oil ... $75 oil now that would be something to get excited about.

The news last 2 day was designed to shake some week shorts out of the markets and to lure some bulls in ...

200 GBPJPY BEFORE August 15th

a friend of mine working in Japan Airlines told me that their higher ups told them (when oil was at 90-100$ levels) that if oil goes above 120 they might file for bankruptcy...
  • #101,375
  • Jul 16, 2008 11:07am Jul 16, 2008 11:07am
Here is some outlook for future GJ movement.
I think "wave 1" is in progress.

Correct me if I am wrong
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GJ EW Outlook 01-16-08.jpg Size: 259 KB
Do not follow my trades. Trade what you see on your own charts.
  • #101,376
  • Jul 16, 2008 11:09am Jul 16, 2008 11:09am
Quoting malcolmb14
The market caught me this morning in a gbpchf short ... but instead of closing it I am just letting her ride with a very large stop. I think gold and the CHF will get stronger

The news today and yesterday is designed to prop the markets up ,.... I mean come on oil dropped to $133 ....$133 is everyone insane that they are excited about $133 oil ... $75 oil now that would be something to get excited about.

The news last 2 day was designed to shake some week shorts out of the markets and to lure some bulls in ...

200 GBPJPY BEFORE August 15th

Absolutely 100% agree.
Lines at the second largest bank failure in USA history and the stk market rallies ..... what a f......g joke.

I see 200 by end of month.

Same as last summer.
  • #101,377
  • Jul 16, 2008 11:20am Jul 16, 2008 11:20am
Quoting hussin naiji
if look in daily candle chart GJ we see a hammer .
but this hammer is a false hammer or really a hammer .
at any rate we see a break weekly trendline for GJ.
i will tell what my indicators says, in 3 hours
  • #101,378
  • Jul 16, 2008 11:23am Jul 16, 2008 11:23am
Quoting malcolmb14
The market caught me this morning in a gbpchf short ... but instead of closing it I am just letting her ride with a very large stop. I think gold and the CHF will get stronger

The news today and yesterday is designed to prop the markets up ,.... I mean come on oil dropped to $133 ....$133 is everyone insane that they are excited about $133 oil ... $75 oil now that would be something to get excited about.

The news last 2 day was designed to shake some week shorts out of the markets and to lure some bulls in ...

200 GBPJPY BEFORE August 15th
100 % agree !

but 207.500 at end of the monthly would be enough for me.

This would form a bearish engulfing monthly candle.

Just dreaming....
  • #101,379
  • Jul 16, 2008 11:23am Jul 16, 2008 11:23am
g/j will go up
  • #101,380
  • Jul 16, 2008 11:24am Jul 16, 2008 11:24am
Quoting doughboi
g/j will go up
yes, but not now. we need to revisit some lows first.
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